Nightly Hoops
Tonight's picks · 4 games

Friday, May 1, 2026.

0 Core · 0 List · filtered for stale minutes, inactive starters, and unpriced books.

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Tonight's board · 9 picks
Sorted by confidence
  1. 01
    Best betCLE @ TOR
    70
    Donovan Mitchellra
    under9.5—

    Under L3 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 8.3 R+A

  2. 02
    Best betCLE @ TOR
    70
    Evan Mobleypa
    under20.5—

    Under L5/20 games this season, avg 22.5 PA

  3. 03
    Best betCLE @ TOR
    70
    Sam Merrillpr
    under8.5—

    Under L5/20 games this season, avg 13.4 PR

  4. 04
    Best betDET @ ORL
    —
    Jalen Durenpa
    under16.5—

    Unanimous agreement across all three analysts at High confidence. L5 straight games under at avg 12.4 P+A is a strong recent trend, and Orlando's 6th-best defensive rating provides a strong contextual suppressor. The sample is consistent and the line offers significant cushion over the recent average.

  5. 05
    Best betDET @ ORL
    —
    Cade Cunninghamra
    under15.5—

    Unanimous agreement at High confidence. L3 straight games under at avg 12.7 R+A is a sharp recent signal, and the L9/19 season sample (avg 15.3) is right at the line, meaning recent form is clearly trending down. Orlando's elite defense reinforces the under.

  6. 06
    Best betDET @ ORL
    —
    Cade Cunninghampr
    under35.5—

    Unanimous agreement at High/Medium confidence. L16/19 games under with a season avg of 28.3 PR is an overwhelming hit rate. Orlando's defense suppresses guards, and the notable guard matchup data (Cunningham 49 pr against ORL is an outlier vs others like Green 9 pr) is mixed but season-long consistency dominates.

  7. 07
    Best betLAL @ HOU
    71
    Marcus Smartpa
    under14.5—

    Under L12/20 games this season, avg 15.1 PA

  8. 08
    Best betLAL @ HOU
    71
    Rui Hachimurapa
    under12.5—

    Under L8/20 games this season, avg 12.7 PA

  9. 09
    Best betLAL @ HOU
    71
    Rui Hachimurapr
    under16.5—

    Under L14/20 games this season, avg 15.4 PR

By game
CLE@TOR
final
Spread lean
-4
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
72%
Best bets
70
Donovan Mitchellra
under9.5—

Under L3 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 8.3 R+A

70
Evan Mobleypa
under20.5—

Under L5/20 games this season, avg 22.5 PA

70
Sam Merrillpr
under8.5—

Under L5/20 games this season, avg 13.4 PR

More prop picks
70
Evan Mobleypr
under26.5—

Under L8/20 games this season, avg 28.8 PR

70
Evan Mobleyra
under12.5—

Under L10/20 games this season, avg 13.1 RA

70
Jarrett Allenpr
under19.5—

Under L5 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 15.2 P+R

70
Jarrett Allenpa
under12.5—

Under L5/20 games this season, avg 16.9 PA

70
Jarrett Allenra
under9.5—

Under L8/20 games this season, avg 9.7 RA

CLE vs TOR preview →
DET@ORL
final
Spread lean
-8
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
82%
Best bets
—
Jalen Durenpa
under16.5—

Unanimous agreement across all three analysts at High confidence. L5 straight games under at avg 12.4 P+A is a strong recent trend, and Orlando's 6th-best defensive rating provides a strong contextual suppressor. The sample is consistent and the line offers significant cushion over the recent average.

—
Cade Cunninghamra
under15.5—

Unanimous agreement at High confidence. L3 straight games under at avg 12.7 R+A is a sharp recent signal, and the L9/19 season sample (avg 15.3) is right at the line, meaning recent form is clearly trending down. Orlando's elite defense reinforces the under.

—
Cade Cunninghampr
under35.5—

Unanimous agreement at High/Medium confidence. L16/19 games under with a season avg of 28.3 PR is an overwhelming hit rate. Orlando's defense suppresses guards, and the notable guard matchup data (Cunningham 49 pr against ORL is an outlier vs others like Green 9 pr) is mixed but season-long consistency dominates.

More prop picks
—
Ausar Thompsonpa
under13.5—

Unanimous agreement but at mixed Medium confidence. L13/20 games under at avg 12.7 PA shows solid season-long consistency. Orlando's defense and forward matchup data (Thompson 12 pa in one game vs ORL) support the under. The line is reasonably set above the season average.

—
Ausar Thompsonpr
under16.5—

Unanimous agreement at Medium/High confidence. L13/20 games under at avg 15.7 PR is a strong season-long signal. The notable forward matchup data includes a Thompson outlier of 21 pr vs ORL, but that is only one data point against a strong season trend.

—
Ausar Thompsonra
under10.5—

Unanimous agreement at Medium/High confidence. L13/20 games under at avg 10.0 RA is just below the line. Orlando's defense and forward matchup data (Thompson 21 ra vs ORL is one outlier) are noted but the season-long trend holds. The Thompson 21 ra data point is a concern but insufficient to override the broad sample.

—
Cade Cunninghampa
under38.5—

Unanimous agreement at High/Medium confidence. L14/19 games under at avg 33.1 PA is a strong season-long trend. Notable guard matchup data does show Cunningham hit 50 pa vs ORL once, but that is one outlier against a 14/19 hit rate. The line has ample cushion over the season average.

—
Jalen Durenra
under11.5—

Unanimous agreement at Medium confidence. L3 straight games under at avg 10.7 R+A provides recent momentum, and while the L8/20 season rate (40%) is below 50%, the recent trend and Orlando's defensive context support the under. The line offers modest cushion over recent averages.

DET vs ORL preview →
LAL@HOU
final
Spread lean
-18.5
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
92%
Best bets
71
Marcus Smartpa
under14.5—

Under L12/20 games this season, avg 15.1 PA

71
Rui Hachimurapa
under12.5—

Under L8/20 games this season, avg 12.7 PA

71
Rui Hachimurapr
under16.5—

Under L14/20 games this season, avg 15.4 PR

More prop picks
71
Deandre Aytonpa
under12.5—

Under L10/20 games this season, avg 12.8 PA

71
Deandre Aytonpr
under21.5—

Under L13/20 games this season, avg 19.5 PR

71
Deandre Aytonra
under10.5—

Under L14/20 games this season, avg 8.2 RA

71
Austin Reavespa
under30.5—

Under L4 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 23.8 P+A

71
Austin Reavespr
under28.5—

Under L4 STRAIGHT games this season, avg 23 P+R

LAL vs HOU preview →
OKC@PHX
scheduled
Spread lean
4.5
Total
UNDER
Projected
—
Confidence
85%

No surviving picks for this matchup.

OKC vs PHX preview →
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