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NightlyHoops/Predictions/2026-03-16
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NBA Slate

Monday, March 16, 2026

8 games · 40 tracked props · 391 graded picks

Slate Result
52%
205-186
Slate Read

A loaded 8-game slate features multiple elite scorers in peak form, with rest advantages and matchups creating significant value opportunities. Phoenix's Devin Booker and Luka Dončić are on historic scoring runs, while several complementary stars are primed to exceed their lines against fatigued opponents.

Game Board

Each matchup card shows the strongest props for that game first. Open a card for the full preview.

DAL@NOP
Board Readyscheduled

Dallas limps into New Orleans on a back-to-back while the Pelicans enjoy a three-day rest advantage, allowing Zion Williamson (27.2 PPG lifetime vs DAL) to exploit exhausted defenders.

Top Props
Zion Williamson
Points 24.5
OVER78%Hit
Cooper Flagg
Points 22.5
OVER76%Miss
Daniel Gafford
Rebounds 8.5
UNDER

Featured Props

Devin Booker
Points OVER 29.5HIGH

Booker is averaging 32.6 PPG over his last 5 games with three days rest facing a Celtics team that allows points; his recent elite form and momentum make this a core play.

Luka Dončić
Points OVER 32.5HIGH

Dončić's historic 38.2 PPG last 5 games significantly exceeds this line, and Houston's porous defense (115.32 PPG allowed) provides an ideal matchup for him to stay in peak form.

Jalen Johnson
Points OVER 22.5HIGH

Johnson's 25.2 PPG last 5 games and season average of 23.0 PPG both exceed the line; Atlanta's two-day rest and his 36.4 MPG usage ensure he clears this total against a fatigued Orlando team.

Parlay of the Day

Devin Booker — Points OVER 29.5Leg 1
Full Prop Board

Use this when you want the entire slate in one sortable table.

40 picks
Filter:
PlayerPropLinePickConfidenceTrendActualResult
Luka Dončić▼
LAL
Points32.5OVER82%HIGH60%36✓
Devin Booker▼
PHX
Points29.5OVER82%HIGH80%40✓
Matas Buzelis▼
CHI
Points16.5OVER80%HIGH80%29✓
Jalen Green▼
PHX
Points12.5OVER79%HIGH100%21✓
Zion Williamson▼
NOP
Points24.5OVER78%HIGH0%27✓
Trae Young▼
WAS
Points17.5OVER78%HIGH0%21✓
Kevin Durant▼
HOU
Points25.5OVER78%HIGH40%18✗
Josh Giddey▼
CHI
Assists7.5OVER78%HIGH100%13✓
Jalen Johnson▼
ATL
Points22.5OVER78%HIGH60%24✓
Donovan Clingan▼
POR
Rebounds11.5OVER78%HIGH60%11✗
Victor Wembanyama▼
SAS
Points25.5OVER78%HIGH100%21✗
Cooper Flagg▼
DAL
Points22.5OVER76%HIGH40%21✗
Tristan da Silva▼
ORL
Points12.5OVER76%HIGH40%7✗
Jerami Grant▼
POR
Points19.5OVER76%HIGH80%12✗
Bennedict Mathurin▼
LAC
Points15.5OVER76%HIGH100%16✓
Brandin Podziemski▼
GSW
Points12.5OVER75%HIGH80%10✗
Neemias Queta▼
BOS
Rebounds8.5OVER75%HIGH80%3✗
Daniel Gafford▼
DAL
Rebounds8.5UNDER74%HIGH20%——
Desmond Bane▼
ORL
Points24.5OVER72%MEDIUM40%18✗
De'Aaron Fox▼
SAS
Points17.5OVER72%MEDIUM80%18✓
Derrick White▼
BOS
Assists5.5OVER71%MEDIUM20%5✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼
ATL
Rebounds8.5OVER70%MEDIUM40%7✗
Saddiq Bey▼
NOP
Points17.5UNDER68%MEDIUM40%23✗
Alperen Sengun▼
HOU
Points19.5UNDER68%MEDIUM80%——
Tre Jones▼
CHI
Points13.5OVER68%MEDIUM80%17✓
Paolo Banchero▼
ORL
Points28.5UNDER68%MEDIUM80%18✓
Jaylen Brown▼
BOS
Points29.5OVER68%MEDIUM20%41✓
John Collins▼
LAC
Rebounds4.5OVER68%MEDIUM60%9✓
Bilal Coulibaly▼
WAS
Points9.5OVER66%MEDIUM80%21✓
Jabari Smith Jr.▼
HOU
Rebounds7.5OVER66%MEDIUM20%8✓
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼
MEM
Points10.5OVER65%MEDIUM80%13✓
Deni Avdija▼
POR
Assists6.5OVER65%MEDIUM80%5✗
Stephon Castle▼
SAS
Assists7.5OVER65%MEDIUM60%8✓
Trey Murphy III▼
NOP
Assists3.5OVER64%MEDIUM80%7✓
Draymond Green▼
GSW
Assists5.5OVER64%MEDIUM60%7✓
Amen Thompson▼
HOU
Assists5.5OVER64%MEDIUM80%5✗
Nic Claxton▼
BKN
Assists3.5OVER64%MEDIUM60%1✗
Jrue Holiday▼
POR
Assists5.5OVER63%MEDIUM40%5✗
De'Anthony Melton▼
GSW
Points12.5OVER62%MEDIUM40%27✓
Jaylen Wells▼
MEM
Rebounds3.5UNDER62%MEDIUM80%3✓

Results & Analysis

52.4%205/391 picks hit
HIGH60%
90/151
MEDIUM48%
115/240
OVER47%
103/220
UNDER60%
102/171
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.
74%
Saddiq Bey
Points 17.5
UNDER68%Miss
Trey Murphy III
Assists 3.5
OVER64%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
GSW@WAS
Board Readyscheduled

Golden State arrives on the second night of a back-to-back while the Wizards enjoy full rest, giving Trae Young (24.7 PPG career vs GSW) a prime setup to exploit a fatigued Warriors perimeter.

Top Props
Trae Young
Points 17.5
OVER78%Hit
Brandin Podziemski
Points 12.5
OVER75%Miss
Bilal Coulibaly
Points 9.5
OVER66%Hit
Draymond Green
Assists 5.5
OVER64%Hit
De'Anthony Melton
Points 12.5
OVER62%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
LAL@HOU
Board Readyscheduled

A high-octane track meet erupts as Luka Dončić (38.2 PPG last 5) faces one of the league's worst defenses, with Kevin Durant adding 26+ PPG to create a scoring explosion in Houston.

Top Props
Luka Dončić
Points 32.5
OVER82%Hit
Kevin Durant
Points 25.5
OVER78%Miss
Alperen Sengun
Points 19.5
UNDER68%
Jabari Smith Jr.
Rebounds 7.5
OVER66%Hit
Amen Thompson
Assists 5.5
OVER64%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
MEM@CHI
Board Readyscheduled

Two young, dynamic rosters clash with fresh legs after three days rest, as Matas Buzelis (22.4 PPG last 5) and Josh Giddey (12.2 APG last 5) look to dominate against favorable matchups.

Top Props
Matas Buzelis
Points 16.5
OVER80%Hit
Josh Giddey
Assists 7.5
OVER78%Hit
Tre Jones
Points 13.5
OVER68%Hit
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Points 10.5
OVER65%Hit
Jaylen Wells
Rebounds 3.5
UNDER62%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
ORL@ATL
Board Readyscheduled

The Hawks' rest advantage meets the Magic's back-to-back fatigue in a high-octane affair. Jalen Johnson is on a tear at 25.2 PPG over his last 5 and should punish a tired Orlando defense.

Top Props
Jalen Johnson
Points 22.5
OVER78%Hit
Tristan da Silva
Points 12.5
OVER76%Miss
Desmond Bane
Points 24.5
OVER72%Miss
Onyeka Okongwu
Rebounds 8.5
OVER70%Miss
Paolo Banchero
Points 28.5
UNDER68%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
PHX@BOS
Board Readyscheduled

The hot Suns bring three days rest and historic scoring form to Boston's backcourt, with Devin Booker (32.6 PPG last 5) ready to light up in a showcase Eastern Conference matchup.

Top Props
Devin Booker
Points 29.5
OVER82%Hit
Jalen Green
Points 12.5
OVER79%Hit
Neemias Queta
Rebounds 8.5
OVER75%Miss
Derrick White
Assists 5.5
OVER71%Miss
Jaylen Brown
Points 29.5
OVER68%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
POR@BKN
Board Readyscheduled

Portland's momentum carries over as Donovan Clingan (13.0 RPG last 5) dominates the glass and Jerami Grant (20.0 PPG vs BKN) takes advantage of a well-rested but vulnerable Nets defense.

Top Props
Donovan Clingan
Rebounds 11.5
OVER78%Miss
Jerami Grant
Points 19.5
OVER76%Miss
Deni Avdija
Assists 6.5
OVER65%Miss
Nic Claxton
Assists 3.5
OVER64%Miss
Jrue Holiday
Assists 5.5
OVER63%Miss
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
SAS@LAC
Board Readyscheduled

Two well-rested offensives clash as Victor Wembanyama's (33 PPG last 5) Spurs meet the Clippers' hot trio, with Bennedict Mathurin (24.2 PPG last 5) and De'Aaron Fox (26.7 PPG vs LAC career) ready to produce.

Top Props
Victor Wembanyama
Points 25.5
OVER78%Miss
Bennedict Mathurin
Points 15.5
OVER76%Hit
De'Aaron Fox
Points 17.5
OVER72%Hit
John Collins
Rebounds 4.5
OVER68%Hit
Stephon Castle
Assists 7.5
OVER65%Hit
5 picks on this matchupShow More →
Luka Dončić — Points OVER 32.5
Leg 2
Josh Giddey — Assists OVER 7.5Leg 3
Zion Williamson — Points OVER 24.5Leg 4

This parlay pairs the two most explosive scorers in peak form (Booker and Dončić both on historic runs) with Giddey's elite playmaking in a favorable pace matchup and Zion's rest advantage against a fatigued Dallas defense. All four legs benefit from either elite recent form significantly above their lines or favorable rest/matchup dynamics, creating a high-probability four-leg parlay with strong individual correlations to their respective game environments.