Bobby Portis▲

MIL · PF

PPG

13.7

RPG

6.4

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

18.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.7

13.7

18.4

RPG+0.6

6.4

7.0

APG+0.1

1.5

1.6

SPG+0.4

0.6

1.0

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

OVER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

CLE

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs CLE: 10 pts

NYK

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs NYK: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 18 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 12 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 12 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 18 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 19 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 29 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

REB

UNDER 9.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

3PM

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

65%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

70%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

62%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

75%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

68%

PRA

OVER 28.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

P+R

OVER 28.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

P+A

OVER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

14.1

RPG

5.1

7.2

APG

1.4

2.0

vs CLE (H2H)19 games

PPG

12.4

RPG

8.3

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Sandro Mamukelashvili	3	9	86%	+22.6%	medium
Naz Reid	2	9	83%	+17.9%	low
Moritz Wagner	3	9	60%	+11.2%	medium
Evan Mobley	3	8	56%

Portis Heating Up at Home with Explosive Last-5 Window vs. Cavs Defense

Bobby Portis has surged to 18.4 PPG over his last 5 games—a significant 4.7-point jump from his 13.7 season average—while shooting 46.3% from three. Tonight at home against Cleveland, he faces a Cavaliers defense allowing opponents to shoot 41.7% against Evan Mobley and 84.6% against Jarrett Allen in recent matchups. Portis is 10 PPG in 19 career games vs. CLE but has been more aggressive and efficient lately; his last meeting (Feb 25) saw just 10 points in 21 minutes, suggesting room for elevated role minutes. With no back-to-back fatigue and strong recent form, Portis projects as an aggressive scorer tonight.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.4(↑ from 13.7)

3PM

3.0(↑ from 2.1)

RPG

7.0(→ from 6.4)

Steals

1.0(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

Evan Mobley is the primary defender and has allowed 26 points on 41.7% FG in recent action vs. Portis; Jarrett Allen surrendered 26 points on 84.6% FG in a small sample. Cleveland's overall defense rates 114.87—below-average—and their three-point suppression (+1.216) is strong, making Portis's three-point volume a key test. Milwaukee's home environment and Portis's elevated role in the last 5 games give him a structural edge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Bobby Portis▼	Points	18.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	20%	19	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Rebounds	9.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	9	✓
Bobby Portis▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	3	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	4	✗
Bobby Portis▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Bobby Portis▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✓
Bobby Portis▼	PRA	28.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	20%	32	✓
Bobby Portis▼	P+R	28.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	10%	28	✗
Bobby Portis▼	P+A	21.5	OVER	71%HIGH	2/2	10%	23	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA20.5OVER13%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS14UNDER9%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

REB5.5UNDER1%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 5x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

AST1OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

3PM2.5UNDER7%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

3PA4UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA1UNDER5%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Bobby Portis

Points + Rebounds OVER 25.4HIGH

Last-5 P+R average is exactly 25.4 (18.4 + 7.0). Portis has hit 29, 19, 18, 18, and 14 in his last five games, with rebound floor of 4-10. Home splits (15.6 PPG, 5.84 RPG) slightly undercut recent form but still support a 25-26 projection. This two-category combo isolates Portis's core strengths and avoids the weakness in assists, offering cleaner positive EV than full PRA or individual props.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Evan Mobley	3	8	10	56%	56%
Dean Wade	4	6	2	25%	25%
Thomas Bryant	3	5	7	43%	50%
Jaylon Tyson	3	3	0	0%	0%
Larry Nance Jr.	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 18.572%HIGH

Last-5 average of 18.4 PPG nearly matches the line; explosive recent form and home court advantage (15.6 PPG at home) support upside. Cavs' key defenders have shown mixed results—Mobley and Allen both surrendered 26 points to Portis in recent matchups.

reboundsUNDER 9.568%MEDIUM

Last-5 and last-10 averages (7.0 and 5.2 RPG) fall shy of 9.5. Season-long 6.4 RPG and recent 5.2 last-10 suggest 9.5 is high. Home splits (5.84 RPG) further support under.

threesUNDER 3.565%MEDIUM

Last-5 average is 3.0 3PM; home splits show 2.8 3PM vs. 1.6 away. Opponent three-point suppression stands at +1.216, indicating Cleveland contests threes effectively. Season variance (std 1.43) adds uncertainty at 3.5.

assistsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

Season assists 1.55 is just above line; last-5 (1.6) and last-10 (1.3) average near the mark. Role as scorer-rebounder (not primary passer) limits upside. Career 1.3 APG vs. CLE supports lower output.

stealsOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

Last-5 steals 1.0 PPG doubles season 0.6 average. Recent trend and elevated defensive activity justify a modest over at 0.5. Home environment may also increase urgency.

blocksUNDER 0.575%HIGH

Season blocks just 0.2 BPG; last-5 only 0.4. Portis is a power forward, not a rim protector. 0.5 is too high given historical volume and role.

stocksUNDER 1.568%MEDIUM

Last-5 stocks (steals + blocks) 1.4; season 0.77. Even with recent uptick, 1.5 requires both steals and blocks to outperform. Recent games show inconsistency (0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0).

praOVER 28.570%HIGH

Last-5 P+R+A: (18.4 + 7.0 + 1.6) = 27.0; last-10 (15.9 + 5.2 + 1.3) = 22.4. Recent explosion in scoring pushes combo above line. Assists remain low but rebounds solid at home.

prOVER 28.572%HIGH

Last-5 P+R: (18.4 + 7.0) = 25.4; last-10 (15.9 + 5.2) = 21.1. Recent scoring surge combined with consistent 7 RPG last-5 supports 28.5. Cleaner two-category combo than full PRA.

paOVER 21.571%HIGH

Last-5 P+A: (18.4 + 1.6) = 20.0; recent momentum in scoring (29 vs. IND, 19 vs. MIA, 18 vs. ORL) pushes this within striking distance. Home court and good FG% support points upside.

timelineOVER 18.5 PTS