Dean Wade▼

CLE · PF

PPG

5.9

RPG

4.2

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

7.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.1

5.9

7.0

RPG+0.4

4.2

4.6

APG-0.9

1.5

0.6

SPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

BPG0.0

0.4

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

BKN

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs BKN: 11 pts

CHA

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs CHA: 8 pts

OKC

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs OKC: 0 pts

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 0 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 0 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 12 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

78%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

62%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

69%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

65%

P+R

UNDER 13.5STAKE

72%

P+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

65%

R+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.6

3.8

RPG

5.6

3.5

APG

1.1

1.4

vs MIL (H2H)17 games

PPG

5.5

RPG

3.9

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	12	54%	-1.5%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	11	25%	-18.2%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	7%	-36.5%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	75%

Wade Struggles on Road Against Elite Bucks Defense; Home/Away Split Screams UNDER

Dean Wade has a stark home/away split: 8.6 PPG at home vs. 3.8 PPG on the road. Tonight's away matchup at Milwaukee compounds this vulnerability—the Bucks' elite defense (116.1 DRtg, 18.5% scoring suppression) has held Wade to just 5.5 PPG across 17 career meetings. His last appearance in Milwaukee (Feb 25) saw him score 0 points on 4 FGA. Recent form shows volatility (7.0 PPG last 5, down from season 5.9), but the trend is downward and minutes remain modest at ~21 MPG. Bobby Portis (primary defender in recent matchups) has limited Wade to 0.4 FG% historically.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.0(↓ from 5.9)

Home PPG

(→ from 8.6)

Away PPG

(↓ from 3.8)

vs. MIL Career

0.0(↓ from 5.5)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.2)

Key Matchup

Bobby Portis has been Wade's primary defender in recent Bucks meetings, holding him to 0.4 FG% with minimal production. Giannis Antetokounmpo may also see minutes against Wade; the Bucks' elite defense (116.1 DRtg, 18.5% scoring suppression) historically suppresses Wade's scoring, especially on the road.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dean Wade▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	2/2	50%	9	✗
Dean Wade▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	2	✓
Dean Wade▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	2	✓
Dean Wade▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Dean Wade▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	P+R	13.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%	11	✓
Dean Wade▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	11	✗
Dean Wade▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	4	✓
Dean Wade▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R10.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Dean Wade

Points UNDER 7.5HIGH

Wade's home/away chasm (8.6 vs. 3.8 PPG) is one of the steepest in the dataset. vs. MIL career (5.53 PPG) sits below this line, and his last game in Milwaukee (Feb 25) yielded 0 points. Bucks' elite perimeter defense and Portis's historical hold make 7.5 overvalued for a road reserve on just 21 MPG.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Bobby Portis	4	9	2	100%	100%
Myles Turner	3	8	0	0%	0%
Ryan Rollins	4	5	16	50%	57%
Gary Trent Jr.	2	3	4	50%	50%
Kyle Kuzma	3	3	3	20%	30%

pointsUNDER 7.578%HIGH

Wade averages 3.8 PPG away vs. 8.6 at home—a massive 4.8 PPG penalty on the road. vs. MIL career mark is 5.53 PPG, below this line. Bucks' 18.5% scoring suppression and Bobby Portis's defensive hold (0.4 FG% in prior meetings) make this line vulnerable.

reboundsUNDER 5.562%MEDIUM

Away rebounding splits to 3.58 RPG vs. 4.79 at home. Career vs. MIL: 3.94 RPG. At 5.5, the line is above both his away average and opponent-specific history. Rebounds are more consistent than points, but road context suggests UNDER edge.

assistsUNDER 2.569%MEDIUM

Season APG is 1.49 (vs. 2.5 line = +67% bar). Last 5: 0.6 APG. Last 10: 1.1 APG. vs. MIL career: 1.29 APG. Despite slight home assist uptick (1.69), limited offensive opportunities on the road and low volume (21 MPG) make 2.5 a stretch.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

Season SPG: 0.8. Last 5: 0.4. Last 10: 0.6. Wade hits over 0.5 in 50%+ of games. Against a Bucks team with pace 100, decent opportunity for active perimeter defense. Slight edge to OVER given floor is 0.

blocksUNDER 0.565%MEDIUM

Season BPG: 0.4. Last 5 & 10: 0.4-0.5. Wade is not a shot-blocker. At 0.5, the line sits at his ceiling. Hits UNDER in majority of games; limited upside vs. centers in Bucks' rotation.

prUNDER 13.572%HIGH

Points (7.5 line) + Rebounds (5.5 line) = 13.0 natural combo floor. Wade's away splits (3.8 PPG + 3.58 RPG = 7.38) fall well short. Last 10 PR: 6.5 + 4.7 = 11.2. Road context + Bucks defense pushes this UNDER.

paUNDER 9.565%MEDIUM

Points (7.5) + Assists (2.5) = 10.0 at sportsbook lines. Wade's season PA average: ~7.4 PPG + 1.49 APG = 8.89. Away context (3.8 PPG + lower assists) suggests ~5.3, well under 9.5.

raUNDER 7.563%MEDIUM

Rebounds (5.5) + Assists (2.5) = 8.0 at sportsbooks. Season RA: 4.25 + 1.49 = 5.74. Away RA: 3.58 + 1.4 = ~4.98, below 7.5. Road diminishment across both categories supports UNDER.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Season stocks (STL + BLK): 1.19. Last 5: 0.8. Last 10: 1.1. Line at 1.5 sits above season mean and recent forms. Defensive upside limited on the road; 1.5 is a stretch.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS