Evan Mobley▲

CLE · C

PPG

17.9

RPG

8.7

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

20.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.9

17.9

20.8

RPG+0.7

8.7

9.4

APG-1.2

3.6

2.4

SPG-0.6

0.8

0.2

BPG+0.5

1.9

2.4

UNDER 23.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

23.5

OKC

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs OKC: 15 pts

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 12 pts

DET

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DET: 23 pts

BKN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BKN: 17 pts

DET

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DET: 18 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 24 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 15 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 18 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 29 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 18 pts

Over 23.5

Under 23.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 23.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

REB

UNDER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

3PM

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 2.6

66%

BLK

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

P+R

UNDER 38.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

P+A

UNDER 27.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

R+A

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.3

17.9

RPG

8.2

9.6

APG

3.5

2.6

vs MIL (H2H)13 games

PPG

16.5

RPG

6.9

APG

2.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Scottie Barnes	3	16	44%	-11.1%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	14	59%	-2.9%	medium
Adem Bona	4	14	40%	-14.8%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	12	68%

Mobley's Hot Streak Stalls Against Elite Bucks Defense Led by Giannis

Evan Mobley is trending up with 20.8 PPG over his last 5 games, but faces a significant test against Milwaukee's elite defense (116.1 DRtg, 18.5% scoring suppression). Historically vs. the Bucks, Mobley averages just 16.5 PPG on 30.6 MPG across 13 matchups—well below his season mean of 17.9 PPG. Giannis Antetokounmpo has allowed just 3.43 PPG in 22.5 minutes of direct matchup time, suggesting tough perimeter defense and interior pressure that limits Mobley's scoring opportunities.

Stat Trends

PPG

20.8(↑ from 17.9)

RPG

9.4(↑ from 8.7)

BPG

2.4(↑ from 1.9)

vs. MIL (Career)

(↓ from 16.5)

Key Matchup

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been a highly efficient defender against Mobley, allowing just 3.43 PPG in 22.5 minutes across their head-to-head history. Milwaukee's elite perimeter defense (116.1 DRtg, 18.5% scoring suppression) and interior presence via Bobby Portis will limit driving lanes and force contested outside attempts, negating Mobley's recent scoring surge.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Evan Mobley▼	Points	23.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	80%	27	✗
Evan Mobley▼	Rebounds	14.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	15	✗
Evan Mobley▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	2	✓
Evan Mobley▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Evan Mobley▼	STL+BLK	2.6	OVER	66%MEDIUM	—	40%	3	✓
Evan Mobley▼	Blocks	2.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✓
Evan Mobley▼	P+R	38.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	100%	42	✗
Evan Mobley▼	P+A	27.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	29	✗
Evan Mobley▼	R+A	17.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	17	✓

ML Scout Analysis

REB8.5OVER10%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

P+R28.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

R+A12OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+A22UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

PTS18UNDER30%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST3UNDER1%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

3PA2UNDER55%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 10x6/2030%▼

PRA33UNDER25%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

BLK0.5UNDER26%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA5UNDER27%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM2UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Evan Mobley

Points UNDER 23.5HIGH

Mobley's season PPG (17.9) and vs. MIL history (16.5 PPG) are both significantly below 23.5, representing a 5.6 and 7.0 point spread respectively. While his last 5 games show 20.8 PPG, Giannis's defensive efficiency (3.43 PPG allowed) and the Bucks' elite scoring suppression (0.185) counteract any recent hot streak. This is a sharp under layup.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Myles Turner	2	8	10	33%	44%
Bobby Portis	3	7	5	25%	31%
Jericho Sims	3	7	4	100%	100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo	2	7	23	63%	63%
Pete Nance	1	3	5	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 23.572%HIGH

Mobley's season PPG of 17.9 sits 5.6 points below the 23.5 line, and his vs. MIL average (16.5 PPG) compounds the concern. Recent 5-game hot streak (20.8 PPG) is offset by Bucks' elite scoring suppression and Giannis's defensive effectiveness.

reboundsUNDER 14.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 games show 9.4 RPG and season average is 8.7 RPG, both well below 14.5. vs. MIL history shows 6.9 RPG. Recent games log shows only one double-digit rebound performance in last 10 (13 vs. ORL, 13 vs. BKN).

assistsUNDER 3.570%HIGH

Mobley's last 5 APG average just 2.4, and last 10 shows only 2.1 APG. Season mean 3.64 is marginal vs. the 3.5 line, but recent trend is sharply down. vs. MIL history: 2.77 APG, reinforcing the under case.

threesOVER 0.565%MEDIUM

Mobley averages 1.13 3PM season-wide and 1.2 over last 10 games. Recent games show consistent 3-point volume (4 of last 10 games with 2+ 3PM). 0.5 line is conservative given his offensive role expansion.

stocksOVER 2.666%MEDIUM

Last 5 games average 2.6 stocks exactly (STL+BLK), last 20 at 2.6, and season mean 2.7. Recent game log shows consistent 2.0–4.0 stock range. Blocks trending at 2.4 (last 5), steals stable at 0.2–0.8.

blocksOVER 2.562%MEDIUM

Last 5 BPG: 2.4, last 10 BPG: 1.7, season BPG: 1.9. Recent games show volatility (0–4 blocks), but three of last five games at 2+ blocks. Against Bucks' pace (100), interior opportunities should sustain rim defense upside.

prUNDER 38.570%HIGH

Season P+R average is 26.64 (17.9 + 8.7), well below 38.5. Last 5 games P+R: 30.2 (20.8 + 9.4). Even at peak form, Mobley's combo props sit 8+ points under the line given defensive matchup quality.

paUNDER 27.568%MEDIUM

Season P+A average is 21.54 (17.9 + 3.64). Last 5 P+A: 23.2 (20.8 + 2.4). Even accounting for recent hot streak, 27.5 requires above-season-average scoring AND assists—difficult vs. Bucks' defense and Mobley's low assist volume trend.

raUNDER 17.569%MEDIUM

Season R+A average is 12.34 (8.7 + 3.64). Last 5 R+A: 11.8 (9.4 + 2.4). Line of 17.5 requires nearly +5 point surge in combined volume. vs. MIL history (6.9 RPG, 2.77 APG) supports the under at 9.67 R+A average.

timelineUNDER 23.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Mobley's Hot Streak Stalls Against Elite Bucks Defense Led by Giannis

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 23.5 PTS