Jericho Sims▼

MIL · C

PPG

4.2

RPG

5.0

APG

1.1

L5 PPG

6.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.2

4.2

6.4

RPG-0.8

5.0

4.2

APG+0.5

1.1

1.6

SPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

5.5

CLE

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs CLE: 11 pts

NYK

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs NYK: 2 pts

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 2 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 3 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 6 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 10 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 7 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 7 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 2 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5

68%

REB

UNDER 6

62%

AST

OVER 1.5

65%

STL+BLK

UNDER 0.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 13.5

66%

P+R

UNDER 11.5

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.9

6.5

RPG

7.8

5.6

APG

2.5

1.1

vs CLE (H2H)10 games

PPG

1.9

RPG

4.1

APG

0.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Paolo Banchero	3	12	56%	-35.2%	medium
Jalen Duren	3	10	67%	-12.9%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	3	7	50%	-29.6%	medium
Day'Ron Sharpe	2	6	75%

Sims Struggles vs. Cavs Defense Despite Recent Minutes Uptick

Jericho Sims has seen increased playing time over the last 10 games (23.7 MPG vs. 18.1 season average), translating to modest scoring and rebounding gains. However, his matchup history vs. Cleveland is concerning—he averages just 1.9 PPG and 4.1 RPG across 10 prior meetings, with limited impact in 13.7 MPG. Jarrett Allen, who defends most opposing centers, has allowed 29 points on 68% FG in matchups tracked, though Sims' role is more limited. With no back-to-back fatigue and stable defensive metrics from Cleveland (114.87 DRtg), Sims projects for modest line utility.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.4(↓ from 4.2)

RPG

4.2(↓ from 5.0)

APG

1.6(↑ from 1.1)

MPG

23.2(↑ from 18.1)

Key Matchup

Jarrett Allen is the primary defender and has allowed 29 points on 68% FG in tracked matchups, but Sims plays a much more limited role (13.7 MPG vs. CLE historically) than other opposing centers. The Cavaliers' 114.87 DRtg and -0.102 scoring suppression rate are league-neutral, offering no special advantage for a role player like Sims.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jericho Sims▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	4	✓
Jericho Sims▼	Rebounds	6	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	6	✗
Jericho Sims▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	0	✗
Jericho Sims▼	STL+BLK	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Jericho Sims▼	PRA	13.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	10	✓
Jericho Sims▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	10	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%+24.5% edge▼

PRA13.5OVER23%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

REB8.5UNDER26%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%+12.4% edge▼

P+R12.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A8UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

FTA1OVER6%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

AST2OVER12%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x5/2025%▼

Featured Pick

Jericho Sims

Points UNDER 5.5MEDIUM

Sims' season average (4.2 PPG) and stark 10-game head-to-head history vs. Cleveland (1.9 PPG in 13.7 MPG) outweigh the recent 5-game uptick to 6.4 PPG. The Feb 25 home game vs. CLE (11 points) was a statistical outlier; typical matchups yield 2-4 points. With no injury concern and stable minutes expected, the under is the safer play despite modest confidence due to role volatility.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jarrett Allen	3	6	10	80%	80%
Evan Mobley	3	4	2	17%	17%
Thomas Bryant	3	4	2	50%	50%
Dean Wade	4	2	0	0%	0%
Sam Merrill	3	2	10	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 5.568%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game PPG (6.4) inflated by one 10-point outing. Head-to-head vs. CLE shows just 1.9 PPG average across 10 games. Last meeting (2/25) was an outlier at 11 points; typical vs. this opponent is 2-4 PPG.

reboundsUNDER 662%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 4.2 RPG; last 10: 6.4 RPG. Season home split (7.8) higher, but vs. CLE historically averages just 4.1 RPG in 13.7 MPG. Trend is downward from early-season peaks.

assistsOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Last 10 games: 1.8 APG; last 20: 1.9 APG. Home splits favor this (2.5 APG at home vs. 1.1 away). Recent games show consistent 1-3 assist range with increased ball movement in starting role.

stocksUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

Last 5: 0.4 stocks; season: 0.45 stocks. Last 5 games show 0 blocks consistently and minimal steal upside. Variance is high (std 0.69 season, 0.64 recent) making this a low-confidence play.

praUNDER 13.566%MEDIUM

Combining PPG (5.5 proj), RPG (6.0 proj), APG (1.5 proj) yields ~13.0 baseline. vs. CLE history (1.9 PPG + 4.1 RPG + 0.8 APG = 6.8 total in limited minutes) suggests significant headwind in this specific matchup.

prUNDER 11.564%MEDIUM

Recent P+R average: ~10.6 (last 10). Home game favorable (4.22 PPG + 5.44 RPG home splits), but CLE matchup history pulls down expectation. Sims' role remains role-dependent; consistency is limited.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS