PF
Kyle Kuzma▼
MIL · PF
PPG
13.2
RPG
4.6
APG
2.6
L5 PPG
15.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.8
13.2
15.0
RPG-1.6
4.6
3.0
APG+1.0
2.6
3.6
SPG+0.7
0.7
1.4
BPG0.0
0.4
0.4
OVER 8.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
8.5
19
MIA
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs MIA: 19 pts
17
CLE
2026-02-25
2026-02-25 vs CLE: 17 pts
17
NYK
2026-02-27
2026-02-27 vs NYK: 17 pts
10
CHI
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs CHI: 10 pts
16
ATL
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs ATL: 16 pts
18
UTA
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs UTA: 18 pts
33
PHX
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs PHX: 33 pts
5
MIA
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MIA: 5 pts
11
ATL
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs ATL: 11 pts
8
IND
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs IND: 8 pts
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 8.5FANDUEL
72%
REB
OVER 1.5FANDUEL
65%
AST
OVER 2.5STAKE
68%
3PM
OVER 1.5FANDUEL
70%
STL
OVER 0.5STAKE
62%
BLK
UNDER 0.5STAKE
58%
P+R
OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS
71%
P+A
OVER 14.5STAKE
70%
R+A
OVER 7.5STAKE
68%
PRA
OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS
73%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
16.9
12.4
RPG
4.2
5.1
APG
4.1
3.0
vs CLE (H2H)16 games
PPG
15.9
RPG
5.6
APG
2.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George | 3 | 14 | 50% | -15.8% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 4 | 11 | 46% | -13.4% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 3 | 10 | 44% | -11.6% | medium |
| Kon Knueppel | 3 | 10 | 70% |
Kuzma Surges at Home Against Cavaliers After Recent Inconsistency
Kyle Kuzma is playing a home game against Cleveland, where he averages 16.9 PPG compared to 12.4 away—a significant 4.5-point split. Despite a down trend overall, his last-5 numbers (15.0 PPG, 3.6 APG) show he's staying involved offensively and as a facilitator. The Cavaliers' defense allows 114.87 DRTG with slight three-point suppression, but Kuzma has faced Cleveland before (15.9 PPG in 16 career matchups) and shot well at home against them on Feb 25 (17 PTS, 5 3PM). Expect solid mid-range production with elevated three-point volume at home.
Stat Trends
PPG
15.0(↑ from 13.2)
APG
3.6(↑ from 2.6)
3PM
2.4(↑ from 1.2)
RPG
3.0(↓ from 4.6)
Key Matchup
Evan Mobley is the primary defender on Kuzma, allowing 24 PPG on 62.5% FG in prior meetings. Dean Wade has limited Kuzma to just 8 PPG on strong defense (75% FG), but Kuzma's home court advantage and recent three-point volume should help him find looks against Cleveland's 114.87 DRTG.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Points | 8.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 3 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Rebounds | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 2 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 1 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | P+R | 10.5 | OVER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 3 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | P+A | 14.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 5 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | R+A | 7.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 2 | ✗ |
Kyle Kuzma▼ | PRA | 13.5 | OVER | 73%HIGH | 1/2 | 90% | 5 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼
P+R17.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
Featured Pick
Kyle Kuzma
Points + Assists + Rebounds OVER 13.5HIGH
Kuzma's home splits (16.9 PPG + 4.1 APG + 4.2 RPG = 25.2) vastly exceed this line. Even last-5 rolling average (15.0 + 3.6 + 3.0 = 21.6) provides comfortable cushion. DK line of 13.5 is undervalued for a starting PF playing at home with elevated volume.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.