Ryan Rollins▲

MIL · SG

PPG

16.8

RPG

4.6

APG

5.6

L5 PPG

17.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.6

16.8

17.4

RPG-1.8

4.6

2.8

APG+1.0

5.6

6.6

SPG+0.1

1.5

1.6

BPG0.0

0.4

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

NYK

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs NYK: 13 pts

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 11 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 5 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 16 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 20 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

68%

AST

OVER 4.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

75%

3PM

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

66%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 22.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

PRA

UNDER 25.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.2

18.9

RPG

4.8

4.6

APG

5.7

7.0

vs CLE (H2H)6 games

PPG

12.8

RPG

2.3

APG

4.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyrese Maxey	3	25	57%	+2.7%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	20	65%	+4.9%	medium
Jalen Pickett	2	17	44%	-14.0%	low
Jalen Brunson	3	16	71%

Rollins Faces Defensive Ceiling vs. Cavs Despite Recent Hot Streak

Rollins is in excellent form over his last 5 games, averaging 17.4 PPG and 6.6 APG with elevated minutes (33.0 MPG). However, his head-to-head record vs. Cleveland is concerning—he averages just 12.8 PPG and 4.2 APG across 6 matchups with limited play (20 MPG), suggesting the Cavaliers' defense specifically limits his impact. With Donovan Mitchell holding him to 15 points on 38% FG in prior meetings, tonight's point totals should lean under despite his recent momentum.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.4(↑ from 16.8)

APG

6.6(↑ from 5.6)

Stocks (STL+BLK)

2.0(→ from 1.9)

3PM

2.8(↑ from 2.5)

vs Cavs PPG

(↓ from 12.8)

Key Matchup

Donovan Mitchell's defense has proven effective vs. Rollins (15 pts on 38% FG in prior meetings), and Cleveland's +1.216 three-point suppression targets guards who attempt volume from deep. Rollins' playmaking (6.6 APG last 5) remains elite, but scoring upside is capped by this specific matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ryan Rollins▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	19	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	70%	4	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	80%	3	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	3	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	—	70%	1	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	P+A	22.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	23	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	PRA	25.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	26	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS15.5OVER4%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA29.5OVER2%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

3PA7UNDER45%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)3/2015%▼

FTM2UNDER39%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

AST7UNDER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼

STL1UNDER19%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

3PM2.5UNDER33%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

REB4UNDER15%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Ryan Rollins

Assists OVER 4.5HIGH

Rollins is averaging 6.6 APG over his last 5 games and 6.2 APG over 20 games. This is well above the 4.5 line, and his playmaking consistency suggests he will exceed this threshold even against a solid defensive opponent. Recent form is undeniable.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donovan Mitchell	3	13	17	40%	43%
Sam Merrill	4	9	3	11%	17%
Dennis Schröder	2	5	3	100%	100%
Keon Ellis	2	3	3	50%	75%
Jaylon Tyson	3	3	3	33%	50%

pointsUNDER 18.568%MEDIUM

Despite scoring 17.4 PPG in last 5, Rollins averages only 12.8 PPG across 6 matchups vs. Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell's defense has been effective (15 pts on 38% FG), and the Cavs' opponent three-point suppression (+1.216) should limit his 3-point volume.

assistsOVER 4.572%HIGH

Rollins is averaging 6.6 APG over last 5 games and 6.2 APG over last 20. Recent mean of 6.6 assists easily clears the 4.5 line, and he maintains his playmaking edge even vs. tough defenses.

reboundsOVER 2.575%HIGH

Rollins averages 4.6 RPG on the season and 4.7 RPG over last 10 games. The 2.5 line is well below his season floor, making this an easy over despite modest per-game variance.

threesUNDER 3.566%MEDIUM

While Rollins shoots 2.8 3PM in last 5, season average is 2.45 and recent 10-game mean is 2.3. Cleveland's three-point suppression (+1.216 vs. league) should suppress this; 3.5 is above his typical volume.

stocksOVER 1.570%HIGH

Rollins averages 1.9 stocks on season and 2.0 over last 5 games. Consistent defensive output above 1.5 baseline makes this a solid over play.

paUNDER 22.565%MEDIUM

Points + assists projection: 18.5 (projected points UNDER) + 4.5 (assists line) = ~23. Given the Cavs' defensive matchup history limiting Rollins' scoring, the combo falls just short of 22.5.

praUNDER 25.562%MEDIUM

Points (under 18.5) + rebounds (likely ~3-4) + assists (over 4.5) would be ~26-27, but the scoring suppression vs. Cleveland is significant enough to put this slightly below 25.5 threshold on average.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS