Thomas Bryant▲

CLE · C

PPG

5.8

RPG

3.0

APG

0.6

L5 PPG

8.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.0

5.8

8.8

RPG+0.6

3.0

3.6

APG-0.4

0.6

0.2

SPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

BPG+0.3

0.5

0.8

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 5 pts

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 11 pts

DET

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DET: 13 pts

BKN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BKN: 4 pts

DET

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DET: 9 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 3 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 12 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 10 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

68%

REB

OVER 3.5

62%

3PM

OVER 1

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 1

64%

AST

UNDER 0.5

72%

PRA

UNDER 11.5

66%

P+A

UNDER 9

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.4

8.2

RPG

3.0

4.2

APG

0.4

1.1

vs MIL (H2H)9 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

1.4

APG

0.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Moussa Diabaté	2	9	100%	+49.4%	low
Kel'el Ware	3	7	106%	+27.2%	medium
Jericho Sims	3	6	0%	-50.6%	medium
Paul Reed	2	6	60%

Bryant Trending Up but Limited vs. Milwaukee's Elite Defense

Thomas Bryant has elevated his game significantly in the last 5 games, averaging 8.8 PPG on 16.0 MPG with improved efficiency and defensive production (1.4 stocks). However, he faces a Milwaukee team with an elite 116.1 defensive rating and exceptional three-point suppression (1.421). Critically, Bryant's historical matchup vs. Milwaukee is poor—just 5.0 PPG on 10.8 MPG across 9 prior meetings. While he's averaging 8.2 PPG away from home, his limited role and the Bucks' defensive prowess suggest a regression to seasonal norms in this contest.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.8(↑ from 5.8)

RPG

3.6(→ from 3.0)

3PM

1.4(↑ from 0.8)

Stocks

1.4(↑ from 0.8)

Key Matchup

Jericho Sims (7.9 MIN) has allowed only 3 PPG in limited defensive minutes, but the primary concern is overall Milwaukee defense (116.1 rating, 18.5% scoring suppression). Bryant's poor historical output vs. the Bucks (5.0 PPG across 9 games, most recently 11 PPG on 2/25) and elite three-point suppression (1.421) significantly dampen his recent positive form.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Thomas Bryant▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	5	✓
Thomas Bryant▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	0	✗
Thomas Bryant▼	3PM	1	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	1	✗
Thomas Bryant▼	STL+BLK	1	OVER	64%MEDIUM	—	20%	0	✗
Thomas Bryant▼	Assists	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Thomas Bryant▼	PRA	11.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	5	✓
Thomas Bryant▼	P+A	9	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS9UNDER34%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB5UNDER8%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)6/1932%▼

P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)9/1947%▼

3PA3UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%▼

FTA2UNDER70%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 10x4/1921%▼

PRA14UNDER30%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)7/1937%▼

P+A8.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)12/1963%▼

3PM1UNDER28%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)5/1926%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM1UNDER52%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 10x7/1937%▼

Featured Pick

Thomas Bryant

Points UNDER 6.5MEDIUM

Bryant's season average of 5.8 PPG, combined with his historically poor matchup vs. Milwaukee (5.0 PPG), strongly suggests the UNDER despite his recent uptick to 8.8 in the last 5 games. The Bucks' elite defensive rating and scoring suppression should force him closer to his seasonal floor. The line at 6.5 offers slight value on the under, especially given his limited 11.3 MPG season average may be further constrained by Milwaukee's defensive discipline.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jericho Sims	3	6	1	0%	0%
Bobby Portis	3	2	5	50%	63%
Giannis Antetokounmpo	1	2	2	50%	50%
Ousmane Dieng	2	1	6	50%	75%
Pete Nance	1	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 6.568%MEDIUM

Bryant's season average is 5.8 PPG with a line at 6.5. While last 5 shows 8.8 PPG, he averages just 5.0 PPG vs. Milwaukee specifically and faces elite defensive discipline. The Bucks' 116.1 defensive rating and three-point suppression (1.421) negate his recent shooting uptick.

reboundsOVER 3.562%MEDIUM

Bryant averages 3.5 RPG over last 10 games and 3.6 in last 5. Away splits show 4.2 RPG with reasonable volume on the boards. Milwaukee's pace (100) is neutral, and his recent rebounding has been consistent.

threesOVER 165%MEDIUM

Bryant has shot 1.4 3PM over last 5 games with 1.2 in last 10, a marked improvement from season 0.76. Recent games show consistent volume (1-2 makes per game). However, Milwaukee's three-suppression is elite, creating some downside risk.

stocksOVER 164%MEDIUM

Bryant has posted 1.4 stocks in last 5 and 1.1 in last 10, up from season 0.78. Recent games vs. DAL, ORL, DET showed 2-3 stock games. Milwaukee's pace and defensive scheme may offer opportunities for steals/blocks.

assistsUNDER 0.572%HIGH

Bryant's season average is just 0.58 APG; recent mean is 0.3 despite elevated minutes. vs. Milwaukee (9 games), he's averaged 0.11 APG. His role is primarily rim-running and defense, not playmaking.

praUNDER 11.566%MEDIUM

Combined, Bryant's last 5 averages are 8.8 + 3.6 + 0.2 = 12.6 PRA. However, his vs. Milwaukee average (5.0 PPG + 1.44 RPG + 0.11 APG) totals 6.55. The Bucks' defense should compress his recent upside significantly.

paUNDER 969%MEDIUM

Bryant's P+A (8.8 + 0.2 = 9.0 last 5 avg) appears close, but Milwaukee's elite defense and his historical 5.1 P+A vs. this team suggest regression. Limited playmaking role further suppresses assists.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS