Cade Cunningham▲

DET · PG

PPG

24.9

RPG

5.6

APG

10.1

L5 PPG

17.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-7.9

24.9

17.0

RPG-1.4

5.6

4.2

APG+0.3

10.1

10.4

SPG+0.3

1.5

1.8

BPG-0.7

0.9

0.2

UNDER 23.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

23.5

CLE

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs CLE: 25 pts

ORL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ORL: 29 pts

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 10 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 26 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 26 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 21 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 8 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 17 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 33 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 6 pts

Over 23.5

Under 23.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 23.5STAKE

62%

AST

OVER 8.5STAKE

78%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

58%

STL

OVER 1.5STAKE

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

71%

P+A

OVER 33.5STAKE

68%

P+R

UNDER 29.5STAKE

60%

R+A

OVER 14.5STAKE

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.3

24.7

RPG

5.8

5.3

APG

10.6

9.9

vs WAS (H2H)14 games

PPG

24.4

RPG

6.2

APG

7.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Derrick White	4	17	68%	+3.9%	medium
Dyson Daniels	3	16	50%	+3.9%	medium
Davion Mitchell	3	14	58%	+7.7%	medium
Peyton Watson	2	12	13%

Cunningham Faces Tough Wizards Defense After Recent Blowout; Points Line Offers Value

Cade Cunningham's 5-minute, 6-point appearance in the last matchup vs Washington (3/17) was a significant anomaly—likely a blowout situation. Looking at his broader body of work, he's averaging 24.4 PPG across 14 games vs the Wizards while maintaining elite playmaking at 10.1 APG on the season. However, Washington's defense ranks in the bottom tier (DEF rating 123.95), and Cunningham's last 5 games show a PPG dip to 17.0 with reduced minutes (25.2 MPG). Away splits favor scoring (24.7 PPG vs 20.3 at home), and Kyshawn George (primary defender) has allowed 15 PPG on decent efficiency, but Cunningham's recent offensive fluctuations and the B2B rest advantage for Washington create meaningful variance. His assists remain reliable (10.4 APG last 5), positioning that as the safest prop.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.0(↓ from 24.9)

APG

10.4(→ from 10.1)

RPG

4.2(↓ from 5.6)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 2.0)

SPG

1.8(↑ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Kyshawn George (primary defender, 15.9 min vs Cunningham) has allowed 15 PPG on 57% FG, indicating he can be breached. Washington's overall defense (DEF 123.95, well below league average) presents an exploitable matchup, but Cunningham's recent 25.2 MPG and 17.0 PPG trend suggests he may not fully capitalize on weak perimeter D.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cade Cunningham▼	Points	23.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	6	✓
Cade Cunningham▼	Assists	8.5	OVER	78%HIGH	2/2	70%	0	✗
Cade Cunningham▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Cade Cunningham▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✗
Cade Cunningham▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Cade Cunningham▼	P+A	33.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	6	✗
Cade Cunningham▼	P+R	29.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	8	✓
Cade Cunningham▼	R+A	14.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%	2	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A34.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (14/20)10/1953%▼

P+R29.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)10/1953%▼

PTS26UNDER24%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA40UNDER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

REB6UNDER31%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)7/1937%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PA6UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)7/1937%▼

R+A16.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)9/1947%▼

AST10UNDER2%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -4.0▼

STL1UNDER1%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PM2UNDER35%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x7/1937%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTM3UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA4UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/1947%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -4.0▼

Featured Pick

Cade Cunningham

Assists OVER 8.5HIGH

Cunningham's playmaking has been relentlessly consistent: 10.1 season APG, 10.4 last 5, 10.2 last 10, and 7 of last 10 games at 8+ assists. Even in the 5-minute blowout game, the floor remains high. Washington's weak defense (123.95 DEF) will not shut down his passing lanes, and he maintains elite vision regardless of personal scoring struggles. This is the safest, highest-confidence prop on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kyshawn George	2	6	2	0%	0%
Bub Carrington	3	5	8	60%	80%
Jamir Watkins	1	4	5	100%	125%
Khris Middleton	1	3	2	100%	100%
Cam Whitmore	1	3	3	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 23.562%MEDIUM

Last 5 average of 17.0 PPG is 6.5 points below the line. While season average (24.9) and vs-opponent average (24.4) suggest hitting, recent form and reduced minutes (25.2 MPG last 5) point to regression. Washington's defense (123.95 DEF rating) is exploitable but his current trajectory favors the under.

assistsOVER 8.578%HIGH

Cunningham has hit 8+ assists in 7 of last 10 games. Season APG of 10.1, last 5 APG of 10.4, and last 10 APG of 10.2 all comfortably clear 8.5. His playmaking remains elite and consistent regardless of scoring fluctuations.

reboundsUNDER 5.558%MEDIUM

Last 5 RPG average 4.2, falling short of 5.5. Season average (5.6) and last 10 (4.8) provide mixed signals. Reduced minutes last 5 (25.2 MPG) lower rebound opportunities. Away splits show 5.3 RPG but recent data suggests dip below season norm.

stealsOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 SPG average 1.8 and he's hit 1+ steal in 6 of last 10 games. Season average (1.5) is right at the line; recent trend (1.8 last 5, 1.4 last 10) tilts slightly positive. Decent volatility but upside play.

blocksUNDER 0.571%HIGH

Cunningham is a guard with limited shot-blocking. Last 5 BPG average 0.2, and he's blocked 0 in 3 of the last 5 games. Season average (0.9) inflated by outliers; recent form heavily under 0.5.

paOVER 33.568%MEDIUM

Points + Assists: Season combined 34.95, last 5 combined 27.4 (higher variance). Assistsd locked in around 10.4, so need ~23.5 PPG. Last 5 PPG of 17.0 makes this close, but vs-opponent PPG average of 24.4 suggests slight push. Recent form below season but combo still has positive EV.

prUNDER 29.560%MEDIUM

Points + Rebounds: Season combined 30.5. Last 5 combined (17.0 + 4.2) = 21.2, well below 29.5. Even last 10 (20.1 + 4.8) = 24.9 falls short. Recent form does not support hitting 29.5; reduced PPG and RPG last 5 both contribute to underperformance.

raOVER 14.572%HIGH

Rebounds + Assists: Season combined 15.7, last 5 combined (4.2 + 10.4) = 14.6, just clearing. Last 10 combined (4.8 + 10.2) = 15.0. Assists are reliable; only need ~4 rebounds. Last 5 RPG (4.2) is within range and combo should consistently hit 14.5+.

timelineUNDER 23.5 PTS