Duncan Robinson▼

DET · SG

PPG

11.9

RPG

2.7

APG

2.0

L5 PPG

10.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.5

11.9

10.4

RPG+0.1

2.7

2.8

APG+0.6

2.0

2.6

SPG-0.4

0.6

0.2

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

UNDER 9.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

9.5

ORL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ORL: 0 pts

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 8 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 15 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 3 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 19 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 14 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 1 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 3 pts

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 9.5STAKE

72%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

64%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

68%

3PM

UNDER 2

70%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

62%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

65%

P+A

UNDER 10.5STAKE

70%

P+R

UNDER 11.5STAKE

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.0

8.9

RPG

2.7

2.5

APG

3.1

1.8

vs WAS (H2H)16 games

PPG

11.1

RPG

2.4

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Isaac Okoro	4	17	0%	-44.8%	medium
Sam Merrill	3	15	69%	+5.2%	medium
Tre Johnson	3	14	64%	+12.3%	medium
Ben Sheppard	3	13	14%

Robinson Struggles in Recent Road Trip; Faces Tough Defensive Matchup in Washington

Duncan Robinson is in a severe shooting slump, averaging just 9.4 PPG over his last 5 games with multiple single-digit outings, including 3 points vs. Washington on 3/17 in just 8 minutes. His away splits are significantly weaker than home (8.9 PPG away vs. 15.0 PPG home), and tonight he faces the Wizards' stout perimeter defense (123.95 D-rating, 0.677 three-point suppression). Robinson's recent minute reduction and poor shooting efficiency (0-4 FG vs. ORL, 1-5 FG vs. WAS) suggest continued offensive struggles, though his assist rate has ticked up recently (2.6 APG last 5). Against Coulibaly's defense specifically, Robinson has allowed just 4 points on 33% shooting across their recent matchups.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.4(↓ from 11.9)

3PM

2.0(↓ from 2.8)

APG

2.6(↑ from 2.0)

Away PPG

8.5(→ from 8.9)

Key Matchup

Bilal Coulibaly will likely handle primary perimeter defense on Robinson. Coulibaly has held Robinson to just 4 points on 33% shooting in their recent meetings, and Washington's scheme ranks in the top-5 for three-point suppression—Robinson's primary weapon. The Wizards' defense (123.95 D-rating, +2.0 scoring suppression) represents a significant headwind for an already-slumping shooter.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Duncan Robinson▼	Points	9.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	50%	8	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	3	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	3	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	3PM	2	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	1	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Duncan Robinson▼	P+A	10.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	11	✗
Duncan Robinson▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	11	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+A14UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

REB3UNDER43%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)4/2020%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

FTM0.5UNDER20%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTA0.5UNDER3%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

PRA15OVER38%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

AST2OVER9%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

3PA6OVER1%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

3PM2.5OVER8%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Duncan Robinson

Points UNDER 9.5MEDIUM

Robinson is averaging 8.9 PPG on the road with a downward trend (last 5: 10.4, but last 10: 8.9). His most recent game vs Washington (3/17) saw him score just 3 points in 8 minutes. Washington's elite perimeter defense and three-point suppression (0.677 factor) directly neutralizes his shooting, and his recent form suggests continued offensive struggles. The line of 9.5 sits just above his away average—under has value.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Tre Johnson	3	14	18	57%	64%
Bub Carrington	4	5	11	56%	56%
Bilal Coulibaly	1	5	0	0%	0%
Justin Champagnie	2	4	2	100%	100%
Will Riley	3	4	4	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 9.572%HIGH

Robinson averages just 8.9 PPG on the road and is in freefall (3 pts vs WAS last time). Washington's defense ranks top-10 in three-point suppression, directly targeting his strength.

reboundsOVER 2.564%MEDIUM

Robinson has consistently grabbed 2.5-2.8 RPG across all splits; recent games show 0-6 rebound range but season/recent average is 2.7 RPG with stable performance.

assistsOVER 1.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 games Robinson averages 2.6 APG, up from 2.0 season average. Even on the road he's hit 2+ assists in 5 of last 10 games, and his recent trend shows improved playmaking.

threesUNDER 270%HIGH

Robinson is shooting 2.0 3PM in last 5 games (down from 2.82 season), and the Wizards suppress three-pointers at an elite rate (0.677). Last road game vs WAS he shot 0-2 from three.

stealsUNDER 0.562%MEDIUM

Season average 0.6 SPG but last 5 games drops to 0.2 SPG. Limited defensive activity in recent outings; 0 steals in last 3 games.

stocksUNDER 165%MEDIUM

Season stocks average 0.91 but recent mean 0.9 with high volatility (std 1.22). Last 5 games he's averaging just 0.2 stocks with limited defensive engagement.

paUNDER 10.570%HIGH

Robinson's points+assists combined average 12.4 in last 5 games, but he's averaging only 10.5 on road games this season. Limited scoring plus modest assist output keeps this under.

prUNDER 11.568%MEDIUM

Points + rebounds should total near 11.1 based on recent road splits (8.9 PPG + 2.7 RPG away). Washington's elite defense will further suppress scoring; rebounds alone won't carry this over.

timelineUNDER 9.5 PTS