Jalen Duren▼

DET · C

PPG

18.7

RPG

10.6

APG

1.7

L5 PPG

19.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.1

18.7

19.8

RPG-1.8

10.6

8.8

APG-0.7

1.7

1.0

SPG-0.3

0.9

0.6

BPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

OVER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

16.5

ORL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ORL: 16 pts

CLE

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CLE: 24 pts

SAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAS: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs BKN: 17 pts

MIA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIA: 24 pts

BKN

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BKN: 26 pts

PHI

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHI: 14 pts

MEM

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MEM: 30 pts

TOR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs TOR: 20 pts

WAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs WAS: 9 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 16.5STAKE

72%

REB

OVER 10.5STAKE

68%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

65%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

62%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

70%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

68%

P+R

OVER 26.5STAKE

70%

P+A

UNDER 17.5STAKE

64%

R+A

OVER 11.5STAKE

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

21.3

19.2

RPG

12.0

9.2

APG

1.6

1.7

vs WAS (H2H)12 games

PPG

12.8

RPG

12.0

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nic Claxton	4	27	57%	-7.5%	medium
Onyeka Okongwu	4	25	61%	-12.0%	medium
Neemias Queta	3	23	71%	+6.8%	medium
Wendell Carter Jr.	4	23	75%

Duren Bounces Back After Knee Issue vs. Wizards' Weak Interior Defense

Jalen Duren returns to action after limited minutes (10 pts, 6 reb in 10 min) in his last meeting with Washington on 3/17, sidelined briefly with a right knee injury. Over his last 5 games, he's averaged 19.8 PPG and 8.8 RPG on strong efficiency (63.9% FG), though minutes have dipped to 22.6 MPG. Washington's defense ranks poorly (123.95 rating) and allows 2.0 points above expected, making this an ideal matchup. Alex Sarr will likely defend him and has allowed 32 points on 52% FG in prior matchups—concerning for the Wizards.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.8(↓ from 18.7)

RPG

8.8(↓ from 10.6)

Blocks

1.2(↑ from 0.9)

vs. WAS (Career)

9.0(↓ from 12.8)

Key Matchup

Alex Sarr will likely guard Duren and has historically allowed 32 points on 52% FG in their matchups. Washington's overall defense (123.95 rating) suppresses opponents by only 2.0 points, suggesting a favorable environment for Duren's efficiency.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jalen Duren▼	Points	16.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	60%	36	✓
Jalen Duren▼	Rebounds	10.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	11	✓
Jalen Duren▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✗
Jalen Duren▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✓
Jalen Duren▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	60%	0	✓
Jalen Duren▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	40%	1	✗
Jalen Duren▼	P+R	26.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	47	✓
Jalen Duren▼	P+A	17.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	38	✗
Jalen Duren▼	R+A	11.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	13	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA32.5OVER20%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PTS22.5UNDER15%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

AST2OVER46%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 8x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTA7.5UNDER6%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A12.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

P+A24UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

REB10.5OVER20%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

BLK1UNDER48%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

FTM6UNDER29%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R32UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Jalen Duren

Points OVER 16.5MEDIUM

Duren's season average is 18.7 PPG and last-5 is 19.8 PPG. While his last game vs. Washington was limited (9 pts in 10 min due to knee injury), a healthy return against a weak interior defense (123.95 rating) should exceed 16.5. The line appears slightly conservative for his true scoring upside, though recent away-game performance (19.2 PPG) and potential minute management post-injury warrant moderate confidence rather than high.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Alex Sarr	3	19	20	43%	48%
Anthony Gill	3	5	3	100%	100%
Justin Champagnie	3	3	5	33%	42%
Tristan Vukcevic	2	3	0	0%	0%
Marvin Bagley III	1	3	3	50%	75%

pointsOVER 16.572%HIGH

Season average 18.7 PPG, last-5 average 19.8 PPG. Washington's weak interior defense (123.95 rating, +2.0 scoring suppression) should allow Duren to exceed 16.5. Previous game vs. WAS was limited due to injury; healthy Duren typically scores higher.

reboundsOVER 10.568%MEDIUM

Season RPG 10.6, last-5 8.8, though last-20 is 10.4. At home, he averages 12.0 RPG, but this is an away game. Last meeting vs. WAS saw 6 rebounds in 10 minutes. The line at 10.5 is reasonable but his season norm supports a slight lean OVER.

assistsUNDER 1.565%MEDIUM

Season APG 1.68, last-5 only 1.0. Duren is a role-playing center with limited playmaking responsibilities. Recent trend shows declining assists; 1.5 line is slightly aggressive for his usage pattern.

blocksOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

Last-5 average 1.2 BPG, last-10 average 1.2 BPG. Season average 0.9 BPG shows recent uptick. 0.5 line is low; he's hit 1+ blocks in 6 of last 10 games.

stealsUNDER 0.570%HIGH

Season SPG 0.9, but last-5 average only 0.6 SPG. Against Washington, career average is even lower per game context. At 0.5, this is a toss-up; recent trend favors UNDER.

stocksOVER 1.568%MEDIUM

Season stocks (STL+BLK) average 1.74, last-5 average 2.1. Recent form shows consistent 1.8+ stocks per game. 1.5 projected line is conservative given his recent defensive activity uptick.

prOVER 26.570%HIGH

Points+Rebounds: Season average is 29.3 (18.7 + 10.6). Last-5 average 28.6 (19.8 + 8.8). 26.5 line is below season norm; slight OVER lean given recent scoring uptick.

paUNDER 17.564%MEDIUM

Points+Assists: Season average 20.38 (18.7 + 1.68). Last-5 average 20.8 (19.8 + 1.0). Against Washington historically, his assists are suppressed. 17.5 is below season average but accounts for weak assist production.

raOVER 11.566%MEDIUM

Rebounds+Assists: Season average 12.28 (10.6 + 1.68). Last-5 average 9.8 (8.8 + 1.0). The decline is notable, but 11.5 is just below season norm; recent form is concern, but rebounding should carry this.

timelineOVER 16.5 PTS