Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro | 3 | 10 | 33% | -12.5% | medium |
| Tre Jones | 3 | 8 | 63% | +4.2% | medium |
| Davion Mitchell | 1 | 7 | 33% | -12.5% | low |
| Kevin Huerter | 3 | 7 | 117% |
Trae Young is in an excellent position tonight facing Detroit's league-average defense (109.76 rating) at home on the back-to-back. His season-long edge at home (20.5 PPG vs 19.1 away) combined with his dominant history vs the Pistons (29.4 PPG over 14 games) creates a strong scoring setup. The Pistons offer minimal three-point resistance (-1.288 suppression), and Young's recent three-point volume (2.2 per game last 10) has been elevated. Assists should flow naturally as well, given his 10.6 APG average vs Detroit.
Detroit's primary guard defenders—Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, and Tobias Harris—have limited recent defensive minutes (8.0, 3.0, and 2.6 respectively in prior matchups). With Cunningham holding Young to 10 points on 25% FG in limited sample and Detroit's defense rated 109.76 (below league average), Young should operate freely, especially on the perimeter where Detroit shows -1.288 three-point suppression.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trae Young▼ | Points | 25.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 20% |
Trae Young▼ | Assists | 8.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 70% |
Trae Young▼ | 3PM | 2 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | Steals | 0.8 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 60% |
Trae Young▼ | STL+BLK | 1.1 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 40% |
Trae Young▼ | PRA | 32 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 30% |
Trae Young▼ | P+A | 33.5 | OVER | 76%HIGH | 30% |
Trae Young's 29.4 PPG average vs Detroit (14 games) combined with his 20.5 PPG home split and favorable three-point environment create a strong setup. On a B2B at home with minutes likely healthy (recent average 24.3), exceeding 25.5 points is a high-probability outcome against a league-average defensive unit.
| medium |
| Jalen Suggs | 2 | 6 | 94% | +32.0% | low |
Young averages 29.4 PPG vs Detroit historically and 20.5 PPG at home this season. On a B2B at home with favorable defensive matchups and recent uptick in scoring, 25.5 is a reasonable threshold to exceed.
Young's season average is 8.0 APG, but he averages 10.6 assists vs Detroit specifically. Home splits also favor assists (9.0 APG). Line set at 8.5 offers value given the opponent matchup.
Young averages only 2.0 RPG season-wide and 1.9 RPG at home. Recent games show minimal rebounding volume; this is not a strength against Detroit's defensive board presence.
Young has shot 2.2 per game last 10 and 2.3 per game last 20. Home splits show 2.7 3PM per game. Detroit offers weak three-point suppression (-1.288), supporting elevated volume.
Young averages 0.9 SPG season-wide and 1.1 at home. Recent 5-game window dipped to 0.6, but home environment and defensive opportunity vs Detroit supports returning closer to 0.9.
Young's stocks (STL+BLK) average 1.0 season-wide but reach 1.3 at home. Recent 10-game average is 1.0; home court and Pistons' offensive profile support reaching 1.1 or better.
Combining 25.5 points + 8.5 assists + 2.0 rebounds projects to ~36 in a favorable home spot vs Detroit. Young's PRA ceiling vs this opponent is very high historically.
Points (25.5) + Assists (8.5) total to 34, well above a 33.5 line given Young's dominance vs Detroit historically (29.4 PPG, 10.6 APG) and home-court advantage.