Tristan Vukcevic—

WAS · C

PPG

8.4

RPG

3.0

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

10.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.8

8.4

10.2

RPG+1.0

3.0

4.0

APG-0.2

1.2

1.0

SPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

BPG-0.3

0.7

0.4

OVER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

IND

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs IND: 12 pts

IND

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs IND: 14 pts

ATL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs ATL: 5 pts

ATL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs ATL: 11 pts

TOR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs TOR: 13 pts

MIA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIA: 3 pts

ORL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ORL: 11 pts

BOS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BOS: 22 pts

GSW

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs GSW: 11 pts

DET

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DET: 4 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 8.5

62%

REB

OVER 3.5

65%

AST

UNDER 1.5

58%

3PM

OVER 1

66%

STL+BLK

OVER 1

60%

PRA

OVER 14.5

64%

P+R

OVER 13.5

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.1

8.7

RPG

3.6

2.9

APG

1.7

1.2

vs DET (H2H)3 games

PPG

6.0

RPG

2.3

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Onyeka Okongwu	3	10	30%	-17.9%	medium
Jay Huff	4	9	95%	+32.1%	medium
Paul Reed	3	7	60%	+12.1%	medium
Jakob Poeltl	2	6	100%

Vukcevic Faces Minute Uncertainty vs Detroit After Recent Blowout Usage

Vukcevic is in a volatile situation heading into tonight's B2B home game. His last matchup vs Detroit (3/17) saw him limited to just 4 minutes despite the team needing depth, raising concerns about rotation usage. However, his last 10 games show promising upside: 10.6 PPG on 16.2 MPG with 4.5 RPG and strong 3-point volume (1.7 made). Tonight's home split favors him (10.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 1.8 stocks at home), and Detroit's defense allows +1.3 points relative to pace (109.76 DRtg). The critical variable is whether he regains the 15-20 minute range he's been trending toward, or returns to the 4-7 minute despair from the last game.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.2(↑ from 8.4)

RPG

4.0(↑ from 3.0)

3PM

2.0(↑ from 0.9)

MPG

13.4(→ from 13.1)

Key Matchup

Isaiah Stewart will likely guard Vukcevic but has minimal matchup history (1.9 minutes, 0% FG in prior meeting). Detroit's interior defense is mediocre (109.76 DRtg), allowing slightly above-pace scoring, but Vukcevic's usage tonight depends entirely on Washington's depth availability post-B2B.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tristan Vukcevic▼	Points	8.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9	✓
Tristan Vukcevic▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	4	✓
Tristan Vukcevic▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✓
Tristan Vukcevic▼	3PM	1	OVER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	0	✗
Tristan Vukcevic▼	STL+BLK	1	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✗
Tristan Vukcevic▼	PRA	14.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	14	✗
Tristan Vukcevic▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	13	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA18.5UNDER20%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼

PTS11.5OVER8%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x11/1861%▼

REB4.5UNDER41%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x6/1833%+7.0% edge▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)6/1833%▼

3PM1.5UNDER7%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)10/1856%▼

3PA4.5UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)9/1850%▼

FTM1.5UNDER28%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x9/1850%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/1844%▼

P+A14OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x9/1850%▼

AST1OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)7/1839%▼

FTA2UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)6/1833%▼

Featured Pick

Tristan Vukcevic

Rebounds OVER 3.5MEDIUM

Vukcevic's last 10 games average 4.5 rebounds, and he's significantly more productive at home (3.6 RPG vs 2.6 away). Even on limited minutes, his rebounding rate has been consistent. This is the safest play in his profile, as rebounds are volume-independent relative to scoring.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Paul Reed	3	7	8	60%	60%
Jalen Duren	2	3	10	83%	83%
Isaiah Stewart	1	2	2	0%	0%
Caris LeVert	3	2	9	75%	113%
Tolu Smith	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 8.562%MEDIUM

Last 5 avg 10.2 PPG and home split shows 10.1 PPG. However, massive minute variance (4 min last game vs 20+ two games prior) creates uncertainty. Only lean OVER if he gets 15+ minutes.

reboundsOVER 3.565%MEDIUM

Last 10 shows 4.5 RPG, last 5 at 4.0 RPG. Home splits favor him at 3.6 RPG. Should clear 3.5 with decent playing time.

assistsUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

Season assists average 1.17 with recent uptick to 1.5, but high variance (std 1.07). Limited offensive role as backup center keeps AST volume modest.

threesOVER 166%MEDIUM

Last 5 avg 2.0 made 3s on strong 33% season rate. Last 10 shows 1.7 per game. Recent games show confidence in 3-point range (6-for-7 vs BOS, 3-for-5 vs TOR).

stocksOVER 160%MEDIUM

Last 10 avg 1.3 stocks; home split at 1.8 stocks. However, last 5 declining to 0.6. Variance is high (std 1.68), making this a volatile prop.

praOVER 14.564%MEDIUM

Last 10 PPG (10.6) + RPG (4.5) + APG (1.4) = 16.5 combined. Home advantage pushes this modestly OVER the projected line, pending minute allocation.

prOVER 13.568%MEDIUM

Last 10 PPG (10.6) + RPG (4.5) = 15.1. Home splits strongly favor this combo, and rebounds have been consistent in recent games.

timelineOVER 8.5 PTS