Andrew Nembhard▲

IND · PG

PPG

17.0

RPG

2.8

APG

7.3

L5 PPG

13.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.6

17.0

13.4

RPG-0.2

2.8

2.6

APG-1.1

7.3

6.2

SPG+0.5

0.9

1.4

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

NYK

2026-02-10

2026-02-10 vs NYK: 24 pts

WAS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs WAS: 5 pts

DAL

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs DAL: 22 pts

PHI

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs PHI: 23 pts

CHA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHA: 20 pts

LAC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs LAC: 5 pts

LAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAL: 17 pts

POR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs POR: 14 pts

PHX

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHX: 23 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 8 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5FANDUEL

68%

AST

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

OVER 2.5BETONLINEAG

62%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

65%

STL

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

P+A

UNDER 20.5FANDUEL

66%

P+R

UNDER 16.5BETMGM

70%

PRA

UNDER 22.5BETMGM

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.4

14.9

RPG

2.9

3.3

APG

7.4

7.6

vs NYK (H2H)12 games

PPG

12.5

RPG

2.8

APG

5.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	3	21	56%	+5.8%	medium
Payton Pritchard	4	19	38%	-6.7%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	17	63%	+14.1%	medium
Jaylen Brown	3	15	53%

Nembhard struggles vs NYK defense despite recent uptick; Questionable status adds uncertainty

Andrew Nembhard is listed as Questionable with a right calf injury ahead of this matchup against New York. His last two games vs the Knicks tell a cautionary tale: 24 PPG on Feb 10 (away) but just 8 PPG on Mar 13 (home, most recent). Over 12 career games vs NYK, he averages 12.5 PPG—nearly 4.5 points below his season average of 17.0. Last 5 games show a dip to 13.4 PPG on reduced minutes (26.4 mpg vs 31.2 season). Jalen Brunson has been NYK's primary perimeter defender, allowing 82 points across 54.5 minutes of matchup time.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.4(↓ from 17.0)

APG

6.2(↓ from 7.3)

vs NYK (career)

16.0(→ from 12.5)

Key Matchup

Jalen Brunson is NYK's primary perimeter defender with 54.5 minutes logged vs opposing guards, allowing 1.50 PPM. Nembhard's career 12.5 PPG vs NYK is significantly depressed vs his 17.0 season average, indicating the Knicks' defensive scheme (110.61 DEF RTG) is effective against him. Most recent game (Mar 13 home) netted only 8 PPG.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Andrew Nembhard▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Andrew Nembhard▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%
Andrew Nembhard▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Andrew Nembhard▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Andrew Nembhard▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	70%HIGH	—	80%
Andrew Nembhard▼	P+A	20.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	30%
Andrew Nembhard▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%
Andrew Nembhard▼	PRA	22.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	30%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16UNDER17%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R19OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB2OVER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA27.5UNDER38%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A24.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)13/2065%▼

3PA6UNDER43%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

AST8OVER37%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM2UNDER53%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 10x6/2030%▼

FTA4UNDER7%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

FTM3UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Andrew Nembhard

Points UNDER 14.5MEDIUM

Nembhard averages 12.5 PPG vs NYK across 12 games, a clear 2 full points below this line. His most recent matchup (Mar 13, 8 PPG) and overall trend down (13.4 last 5, reduced minutes 26.4 vs 31.2 season) support the under. Questionable injury status adds additional downside risk. This is the cleanest sell given the historical data and current form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Brunson	3	17	31	58%	63%
Landry Shamet	1	4	3	50%	75%
Jose Alvarado	1	2	0	0%	0%
Mikal Bridges	2	2	0	0%	0%
Tyler Kolek	1	2	5	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 14.568%MEDIUM

Nembhard averages 12.5 PPG vs NYK (career), well below the 14.5 line. Most recent matchup (Mar 13) yielded just 8 PPG. Questionable injury status and reduced recent form (13.4 last 5) support the under.

assistsOVER 5.572%HIGH

Nembhard's season APG is 7.3 and last 5 is 6.2, both above 5.5. He averages 5.25 APG vs NYK but has shown 10+ assist games vs this opponent recently (10 on Feb 10). Distribution should exceed the line even in a reduced role.

reboundsOVER 2.562%MEDIUM

Season rebounds average 2.8 RPG, and last 5 is 2.6. Vs NYK career average is 2.75. The 2.5 line is slightly below all rolling averages, offering modest edge on the over.

threesOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Nembhard has shot 1.88 3PM season average with 1.9 last 10 and 2.0 last 20. Last 5 sits at 1.0 (variance due to small sample), but season trajectory supports clearing 1.5. His home splits show 2.3 3PM per game.

stealsOVER 0.570%HIGH

Nembhard averages 0.9 SPG season and 1.4 last 5, well above 0.5. Career vs NYK is harder to isolate, but recent form (1-2 steals in 4 of last 5) suggests solid over play.

paUNDER 20.566%MEDIUM

Points + Assists: Season PA is 24.3, but last 5 drops to 19.6 and vs NYK career sits at 17.75 (12.5 PPG + 5.25 APG). Reduced minutes and lower scoring vs this defense put him below 20.5.

prUNDER 16.570%HIGH

Points + Rebounds: Season PR is 19.8, but last 5 is 16.0 and career vs NYK is 15.25 (12.5 PPG + 2.75 RPG). Injury status and recent downturn support under on 16.5.

praUNDER 22.564%MEDIUM

Points + Rebounds + Assists: Season PRA is 27.1, but last 5 is 22.2 and vs NYK career is 20.5. The line sits just above recent form; uncertainty from injury status tilts toward under.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS