Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Williams | 4 | 23 | 60% | +0.1% | medium |
| Zach Edey | 2 | 18 | 33% | -26.6% | low |
| Mitchell Robinson | 3 | 14 | 30% | -29.9% | medium |
| Bam Adebayo | 2 | 12 | 64% |
Ivica Zubac is available despite a recent left ankle sprain (dated 2026-03-18), though minutes remain uncertain. He's significantly more productive on the road (13.0 PPG, 10.2 RPG) compared to home (8.0 PPG, 8.6 RPG), and tonight's away matchup vs. the Knicks is one where he's performed well historically (11.1 PPG, 9.8 RPG across 12 games). His last 10 games show a cooling trend with points down to 11.0 PPG and rebounds at 9.7 RPG, though rebounds remain near double-digit range. The Knicks' defense is slightly below average (110.61 DEFRTG), and Mitchell Robinson's limited 3-point defense (allowing 15 PPG on .368 FG%) presents a favorable matchup.
Mitchell Robinson is Zubac's primary defender, having allowed 15 PPG on .368 FG% in previous matchups—below Zubac's season average, indicating a favorable interior matchup. However, the Knicks' overall defense (110.61 DEFRTG) is slightly below league average but paired with Zubac's recent scoring decline and ankle sprain concerns, expect a more defensive, controlled performance.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ivica Zubac▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 70% | 11 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 50% | 7 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | P+R | 18.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 40% | 18 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | R+A | 10.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 50% | 8 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 80% | 1 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | STL+BLK | 1.2 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 90% | 3 | ✗ |
Zubac's rebound consistency remains his most reliable stat, posting 10.0 RPG in last 5 games and 9.7 over last 10 despite minutes reduction. Away splits (10.2 RPG) and vs. NYK history (9.8 RPG) both support the over. The ankle sprain is unlikely to significantly impact rebounding mechanics, making this the safest prop given injury uncertainty around scoring volume and assist opportunities.
| low |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 12 | 50% | -14.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Robinson | 3 | 14 | 6 | 30% | 30% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 12 | 27 | 45% | 50% |
| Ariel Hukporti | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| OG Anunoby | 3 | 1 | 6 | 100% | 100% |
| Jalen Brunson | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Recent form shows 10.2 PPG over last 5 games despite home/away split favoring away performance (13.0 PPG). Ankle sprain concern and reduced minutes (27.0 MPG last 5 vs. 30.4 season) limit upside; line sits just above recent trend.
Zubac has posted 10.0 RPG over last 5 games and maintains 9.7 RPG over last 10 despite minutes dips. Away performance (10.2 RPG) combined with consistent rebound appetite supports exceeding 8.5; season std of 3.88 shows stability.
Last 5 games show 1.6 APG, only marginally above the line. Last 10 drops to 1.6 APG as well; vs. NYK history shows just 1.3 APG across 12 matchups. Recent std of 0.66 reflects lower volatility, favoring under.
Points + Rebounds combined: recent average ~21.2 (10.2 + 1.6 APG not counted). While away splits favor 23.2 combined, ankle injury and reduced minutes create downside risk; line sits above immediate form.
Rebounds + Assists: last 5 shows 10.0 + 1.6 = 11.6, comfortably over 10.5. Even at reduced minutes, double-digit rebound floor combined with assist floor supports line; away matchup reinforces over bias.
Last 5 BPG: 0.6; last 10: 0.4; season 0.8. Recent volatility and ankle injury reducing vertical explosiveness create downside; Knicks centers Robinson/Towns vary, but overall block upside limited.
Zubac averages 0.4 SPG season-wide, 0.2 SPG over last 5 and last 10 games. Ankle sprain limits lateral mobility; market sets line high relative to recent data.
Combined steals + blocks: last 5 = 0.8, last 10 = 0.6. Season 1.18 std of 0.95 shows volatility, but recent trend and mobility concerns from ankle injury suggest under-performing recent average.