Kobe Brown▲

IND · SF

PPG

4.7

RPG

2.7

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.7

4.7

7.4

RPG+2.3

2.7

5.0

APG+0.6

1.0

1.6

SPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

PHI

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs PHI: 9 pts

CHA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHA: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MEM: 9 pts

LAC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs LAC: 5 pts

LAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAL: 8 pts

POR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs POR: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAC: 5 pts

PHX

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHX: 7 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 8 pts

MIL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIL: 9 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5BOVADA

62%

REB

UNDER 5.5BOVADA

58%

AST

OVER 1.5

65%

3PM

OVER 1

60%

STL+BLK

OVER 1

62%

PRA

UNDER 12.5BOVADA

60%

P+R

PUSH 12.5BOVADA

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.0

6.6

RPG

4.1

4.0

APG

1.0

1.2

vs NYK (H2H)6 games

PPG

3.7

RPG

2.2

APG

0.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
OG Anunoby	2	9	55%	-1.1%	low
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	2	6	45%	-6.6%	low
Jaren Jackson Jr.	3	6	57%	-3.7%	medium
Kadary Richmond	2	5	0%

Brown Heating Up Against Knicks; Recent Minutes Surge Supports Elevated Scoring Line

Kobe Brown has been a significant beneficiary of increased playing time over his last 5 games (22.8 MPG vs 13.7 season average), translating to 7.4 PPG—a 58% bump from his season average of 4.7 PPG. He just faced the Knicks on 3/13 (30 minutes, 8 points, 7 rebounds) and showed competence in that matchup despite limited scoring efficiency. With continued elevated minutes and a home opponent (Knicks defense allows -1.091 PPG relative to league average), Brown's scoring floor appears higher than his season baseline, though his recent shooting consistency (FG% ranging 29-100% across last 10 games) introduces variance risk.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↑ from 4.7)

RPG

5.0(↑ from 2.7)

APG

1.6(↑ from 1.0)

3PM

1.2(↑ from 0.6)

MPG

22.8(↑ from 13.7)

Key Matchup

OG Anunoby has primary defender responsibility and has limited Brown to 0.55 PPG on 20% FG in 5.5 minutes of prior matchups. New York's defense rates 110.61 (league-average) with neutral scoring suppression (-1.091 PPG) and minimal three-suppression (-0.162), providing no special advantage to Brown but also no notable disadvantage given his role.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	Trend	Actual	Result
Kobe Brown▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	100%	13	✗
Kobe Brown▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	60%	5	✓
Kobe Brown▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	40%	0	✗
Kobe Brown▼	3PM	1	OVER	60%MEDIUM	20%	3	✓
Kobe Brown▼	STL+BLK	1	OVER	62%MEDIUM	10%	2	✓
Kobe Brown▼	PRA	12.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	60%	18	✗
Kobe Brown▼	P+R	12.5	PUSH	55%MEDIUM	60%	18	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER9%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)5/1926%+17.2% edge▼

REB6.5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x6/1932%+7.8% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA20.5UNDER28%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x6/1932%+13.9% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA2UNDER58%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 9x2/1911%▼

P+R14.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x10/1953%▼

P+A12UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x9/1947%▼

3PM1.5UNDER32%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x6/1932%▼

3PA3UNDER32%gbtAvoid (6/20)8/1942%▼

FTM1UNDER22%gbtAvoid (6/20)7/1937%▼

AST2.5OVER32%gbt_assistsAvoid (4/20)OVER 5x7/1937%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

Featured Pick

Kobe Brown

Points UNDER 10.5MEDIUM

Brown's recent 7.4 PPG significantly undercuts the 10.5 line despite elevated minutes. His vs-Knicks history (3.67 PPG across 6 games) and inconsistent FG% (29-100% range in last 10) suggest the sportsbook is pricing in sustainable efficiency gains that recent data does not support. The 8-point outing on 30 minutes vs NYK on 3/13 is the most telling comparable; even with full role minutes, he struggled to reach double-digits against this specific defense.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
OG Anunoby	2	9	12	45%	55%
Mohamed Diawara	3	4	2	25%	25%
Mikal Bridges	2	4	0	0%	0%
Landry Shamet	2	1	0	0%	0%
Pacôme Dadiet	2	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 10.562%MEDIUM

Brown is 7.4 PPG in last 5 games, well below the 10.5 line. While minutes are elevated, his FG% volatility (ranging 20-100% in recent games) and vs-NYK history (3.67 PPG in 6 prior matchups on 10.2 MPG) suggest the line prices in unsustainable efficiency. Recent 8-point outing vs Knicks on 3/13 despite 30 minutes supports caution on double-digits.

reboundsUNDER 5.558%MEDIUM

Brown averages 5.0 RPG in last 5 games and 4.4 RPG in last 10, sitting near the line. His vs-NYK history shows only 2.17 RPG across 6 matchups. While home splits favor him slightly (4.1 RPG home vs 2.96 away), recent 7-rebound game vs NYK was an outlier. Expect reversion to mid-4s range.

assistsOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Brown is 1.6 APG in last 5 and last 10 games, directly in line with this projected threshold. Recent 30-min outing vs Knicks featured 0 assists, but his elevated recent minutes (22.8 MPG) and home-court consistency support slightly exceeding 1.5 on average. Variance is notable given 0-5 assist range in recent games.

threesOVER 160%MEDIUM

Brown is 1.2 3PM in last 5 and 0.9 in last 10, hovering near the 1.0 projected line. He is 0.9 3PM at home vs 0.7 away. Recent shooting variance (0-2 threes) introduces risk, but 22.8 recent MPG and elevated volume should support slight over on this lower threshold.

stocksOVER 162%MEDIUM

Brown is 0.7 stocks (STL+BLK) in last 5 games and 0.7 in last 10. Projected line of 1.0 is slightly aggressive but justified by home split (0.5) and higher minutes. Away he averages 0.8 stocks, and elevated court time should push this over 0.7. Recent games show inconsistent defensive activity (0-2 stocks), so confidence is moderate.

praUNDER 12.560%MEDIUM

Brown's combined PPG+RPG+APG in last 5 is 7.4+5.0+1.6 = 14.0, but that assumes consistent elevated minutes. The 12.5 line is achievable, but his vs-NYK history (3.67 PPG, 2.17 RPG, 0.17 APG = 5.99 combined) and recent volatility (9-point, 8-rebound, 0-assist outing on 30 min) suggest risk to exceeding 12.5 consistently.

prPUSH 12.555%MEDIUM

Points (7.4 L5) + Rebounds (5.0 L5) = 12.4, matching the line almost exactly. His recent vs-NYK game yielded 8+7=15, but prior matchups average lower. Recent MPG elevation supports staying near line, but variance in both scoring (7-9 PPG range) and rebounding (1-10 RPG range) makes this highly uncertain. Marginal lean to slight under given historic underperformance vs this opponent.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS