Landry Shamet—

NYK · PG

PPG

9.9

RPG

1.8

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

9.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

9.9

9.0

RPG+0.4

1.8

2.2

APG-0.3

1.5

1.2

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 15 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 7 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 14 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 10 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 10 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 9 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 7 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 9 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 10 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

62%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

65%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

70%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

68%

PRA

UNDER 8.5STAKE

60%

P+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.3

9.3

RPG

1.6

1.8

APG

1.9

1.7

vs IND (H2H)8 games

PPG

9.8

RPG

2.1

APG

1.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Aaron Nesmith	3	11	69%	+6.1%	medium
Andrew Nembhard	2	7	0%	-43.9%	low
Norman Powell	3	7	61%	+6.1%	medium
Jamal Murray	2	7	44%

Shamet's Home Splits Shine Against Pacers Defense

Landry Shamet shows a clear home court advantage (13.3 PPG at home vs 9.3 away) and is playing at elevated minutes recently (29 MPG last 5 games, 26.7 last 10). Indiana's defense allows 119.91 points per 100 possessions and actually suppresses three-point shooting (-0.554), but Shamet's 39.5% three-point clip this season and recent 2.0 3PM per game in his last five contests suggest he can still find looks. In his last matchup vs Indiana (3/13), he played 37 minutes and scored 9 points with 2 made threes; tonight's home setting and elevated role should support modest scoring production.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.0(→ from 9.9)

3PM

2.0(→ from 2.1)

Assists

1.2(↓ from 1.5)

Steals

0.8(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

Aaron Nesmith has defended Shamet in limited capacity (8.9 minutes, held him to 3 points on 25% FG). Indiana's overall defensive rating of 119.91 is relatively poor, but their specific three-point suppression (-0.554 factor) could limit Shamet's perimeter volume despite his solid conversion rate.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Landry Shamet▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	2	✓
Landry Shamet▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✓
Landry Shamet▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Landry Shamet▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	1	✓
Landry Shamet▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Landry Shamet▼	PRA	8.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	0%	4	✓
Landry Shamet▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	0%	3	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R11UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A11UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A3UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Landry Shamet

Steals OVER 0.5MEDIUM

Shamet's last 10 games average 0.9 steals per game, up from his season 0.6 SPG. Last 5 games show 0.8 SPG. Only needs one steal to hit; recent defensive activity trend is positive. This offers solid value against a line that undervalues his recent uptick in steals.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Aaron Nesmith	3	11	11	50%	69%
Andrew Nembhard	2	7	0	0%	0%
Ben Sheppard	3	3	5	100%	125%
T.J. McConnell	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jarace Walker	2	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 12.562%MEDIUM

Season average is 9.9 PPG; even with home court advantage (13.3 PPG at home), the 12.5 line is elevated. Recent games show scoring volatility (7-15 PPG range). Indiana allowed 8.5 PPG to Shamet in their season series average.

threesUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

Shamet averages 2.14 threes season-wide and 2.0 in last 5 games. Indiana's defense actively suppresses three-point shooting (-0.554 suppression factor). Line sits just above recent output; slight lean to under given opponent profile.

assistsUNDER 1.565%MEDIUM

Season average is 1.48 APG; last 5 games show just 1.2 APG. Recent trend is slightly downward. Shamet is not a primary playmaker; Indiana allows limited assists to opposing guards.

reboundsUNDER 2.570%HIGH

Season average is 1.84 RPG; last 10 games show 1.8 RPG. At 2.5, the line requires above-average rebounding production. Recent games log modest rebound totals (0-5 range); unlikely to sustain over line.

stealsOVER 0.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 games average 0.8 SPG; last 10 games show 0.9 SPG. Recent uptick in defensive activity supports exceeding the 0.5 line. Only needs one steal to cash; positive recent trend.

praUNDER 8.560%MEDIUM

Season PRA average: 13.3 (PPG 9.9 + RPG 1.8 + APG 1.5). Recent 5-game PRA average closer to 12.4 (9.0+2.2+1.2). Line at 8.5 seems low, but accounting for opponent's scoring suppression, realistic projection is 11-12 range.

paUNDER 8.563%MEDIUM

Points + Assists: Season average 11.4 (9.9+1.5). Last 5 games show 10.2 (9.0+1.2). Line of 8.5 is below expectation, but recent assists decline warrants moderate confidence on slight under lean.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS