T.J. McConnell▲

IND · SG

PPG

9.3

RPG

2.2

APG

4.9

L5 PPG

8.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.1

9.3

8.2

RPG+0.4

2.2

2.6

APG+0.9

4.9

5.8

SPG-0.4

1.0

0.6

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

NYK

2026-02-10

2026-02-10 vs NYK: 13 pts

WAS

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs WAS: 9 pts

PHI

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs PHI: 7 pts

CHA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHA: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MEM: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs LAC: 6 pts

LAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAL: 10 pts

POR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs POR: 6 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 10 pts

MIL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIL: 9 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 8.5STAKE

68%

AST

OVER 4.5STAKE

76%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

62%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

P+A

OVER 13.5STAKE

70%

R+A

OVER 7.5STAKE

65%

P+R

UNDER 11.5STAKE

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.6

8.9

RPG

2.0

APG

5.2

4.4

vs NYK (H2H)16 games

PPG

8.6

RPG

2.8

APG

5.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Rollins	2	10	50%	-3.8%	low
Jase Richardson	3	9	60%	+6.2%	medium
Craig Porter Jr.	3	8	33%	-20.5%	medium
Jose Alvarado	3	8	100%

McConnell's assist upside outweighs scoring concerns in rematch vs. Knicks

T.J. McConnell has been trending up over his last 5 games (5.8 APG on 19.8 MPG) and faces a Knicks defense rated 110.61 in efficiency—well above league average. He's averaging 5.6 APG across 16 career meetings with New York, with a recent 6-assist performance on March 13 at home. However, his scoring has dipped to 8.2 PPG in the last 5, and he appears limited by a right hamstring injury noted on March 18. The matchup against Jalen Brunson and Miles McBride shouldn't suppress his playmaking, but scoring volume remains modest. Neither team is on a back-to-back, so minutes should be standard.

Stat Trends

APG

5.8(↑ from 4.9)

PPG

8.2(↓ from 9.3)

RPG

2.6(↑ from 2.2)

SPG

0.6(↓ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

Jalen Brunson is noted as the primary defender but has allowed 24 PPG on elevated FG% in samples—however, McConnell's modest scoring profile and setup role mean Brunson won't be the primary concern. Miles McBride (5 PPG allowed) represents a tighter individual matchup for perimeter offense, but McConnell's value lies in playmaking rather than scoring volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
T.J. McConnell▼	Points	8.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	10	✗
T.J. McConnell▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	76%HIGH	2/2	50%	10	✓
T.J. McConnell▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	3	✓
T.J. McConnell▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	50%	0	✓
T.J. McConnell▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	20	✓
T.J. McConnell▼	R+A	7.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	13	✓
T.J. McConnell▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	13	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R11UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A8UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A14.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

T.J. McConnell

Assists OVER 4.5HIGH

McConnell's last 5 average (5.8 APG) is well above 4.5, and his career 5.6 APG vs. NYK across 16 games confirms consistency in this matchup. Even with hamstring caution limiting scoring, his facilitating role remains intact. Recent games (11, 6, 7, 5, 3 assists in last 5) show multiple games well over this line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jordan Clarkson	3	6	8	75%	100%
Jose Alvarado	2	5	10	75%	100%
Tyler Kolek	2	4	3	50%	75%
Jalen Brunson	3	3	6	43%	43%
Landry Shamet	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 8.568%MEDIUM

McConnell has averaged only 8.2 PPG over his last 5 games with recent hamstring concerns limiting upside. vs. NYK career average (8.6 PPG) supports the under, and recent 6–10 point range in last 4 games suggests scoring remains subdued.

assistsOVER 4.576%HIGH

McConnell is averaging 5.8 APG in the last 5 and 5.6 APG vs. NYK across 16 career matchups. His playmaking role is consistent, and the Knicks' modest scoring suppression (-1.1) won't discourage his facilitating. Recent 6 and 11 assist games underscore the over's merit.

reboundsOVER 2.562%MEDIUM

McConnell has grabbed 2.6 RPG in the last 5 games and 2.8 RPG vs. NYK career-wide. Recent games show 3 and 4 rebounds, and increased minutes (19.8 MPG last 5 vs. 17.1 season average) provide slight rebound upside despite modest volume.

stealsUNDER 0.572%HIGH

McConnell has averaged only 0.6 SPG in his last 5 games, down from 1.0 season average. Recent games show 0–1 steals per contest, and the Knicks' three suppression (-0.162) is modest, offering no volume boost for defensive counting stats.

paOVER 13.570%HIGH

McConnell's 8.2 PPG + 5.8 APG in the last 5 equals 14 combined, sitting above 13.5. Career vs. NYK he averages 8.6 PPG and 5.6 APG (14.2 total). Assist momentum and stable scoring support the over.

raOVER 7.565%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game average of 2.6 RPG + 5.8 APG = 8.4, comfortably over 7.5. Career vs. NYK he averages 2.8 RPG + 5.6 APG (8.4 total). Rebounds trending up supports this over.

prUNDER 11.563%MEDIUM

McConnell's last 5 average of 8.2 PPG + 2.6 RPG = 10.8, just below 11.5. While rebound upside exists, hamstring concerns and recent scoring dip (6–10 point range in 4 of last 5) suggest narrow miss on this line.

timelineUNDER 8.5 PTS