Norman Powell▼

MIA · SF

PPG

22.6

RPG

3.7

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

15.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-7.4

22.6

15.2

RPG-0.9

3.7

2.8

APG0.0

2.6

SPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

18.5

ORL

2026-01-28

2026-01-28 vs ORL: 22 pts

CHI

2026-01-29

2026-01-29 vs CHI: 21 pts

BOS

2026-02-06

2026-02-06 vs BOS: 24 pts

WAS

2026-02-08

2026-02-08 vs WAS: 21 pts

ATL

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs ATL: 15 pts

MEM

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs MEM: 25 pts

MIL

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs MIL: 26 pts

PHI

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs PHI: 3 pts

ORL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ORL: 20 pts

CHA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CHA: 2 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

UNDER 4.5FANATICS

68%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

65%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

70%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

62%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

P+A

UNDER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

P+R

UNDER 22.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

PRA

UNDER 26.5DRAFTKINGS

71%

R+A

UNDER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

24.7

16.2

RPG

2.9

3.6

APG

3.1

2.2

vs CHA (H2H)13 games

PPG

14.7

RPG

2.8

APG

2.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Anthony Black	4	16	50%	+2.7%	medium
Mikal Bridges	4	14	100%	+27.7%	medium
Landry Shamet	3	13	70%	+2.7%	medium
Jalen Suggs	5	13	56%

Powell's Road Struggles and Recent Injury Return Cloud Outlook vs. Charlotte

Norman Powell is in a significant downtrend, averaging just 15.2 PPG over his last 5 games compared to 22.6 for the season. Most concerning: he just returned from injury (cleared 3/16) and played only 9 minutes in his last outing vs. Charlotte on 3/17, scoring 2 points. His away splits are particularly weak (16.2 PPG, 2.5 TOV) compared to his strong home numbers (24.7 PPG), and he's historically struggled vs. the Hornets, averaging 14.7 PPG across 13 matchups. With limited minutes in the recent game and a clear downward trajectory, expect cautious deployment.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.2(↓ from 22.6)

Minutes

21.4(↓ from 30.1)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 2.9)

Away PPG

15.2(↓ from 16.2)

Key Matchup

Charlotte's defense ranks middle-of-pack (112.55 DEF RTG) but allows minimal three-point shooting (0.327 suppression). Powell's only recent exposure vs. CHA (3/17) yielded 9 minutes and 2 points, signaling either foul trouble, injury precaution, or coach's game plan—all limiting factors. Miles Bridges (primary defender in recent meeting) held Powell to 0.25 FG% in limited matchup time.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Norman Powell▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	30%	17	✓
Norman Powell▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	6	✗
Norman Powell▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	3	✗
Norman Powell▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	1	✓
Norman Powell▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	0	✗
Norman Powell▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Norman Powell▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	20	✓
Norman Powell▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	23	✗
Norman Powell▼	PRA	26.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	70%	26	✓
Norman Powell▼	R+A	8.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	9	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS18.5OVER5%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)14/2070%+18.8% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.435▼

PRA23.5OVER0%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)15/2075%+21.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.491; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+R23OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A22OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

REB3.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

3PM2.5UNDER15%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%▼

AST2.5UNDER29%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Norman Powell

Points UNDER 18.5MEDIUM

Powell's recent return (9 min, 2 pts vs. CHA on 3/17) combined with a 7.4-point drop from season average (15.2 last 5 vs. 22.6 season) creates a compelling fade. His away-game PPG (16.2) and head-to-head CHA average (14.7) both sit well below the FanDuel line. With three days rest for both teams but Powell's minutes still ramping post-injury, expect continued caution.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Miles Bridges	2	7	6	60%	60%
Sion James	2	4	2	100%	100%
Kon Knueppel	2	3	10	80%	100%
Liam McNeeley	1	2	0	0%	0%
Grant Williams	1	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 18.572%HIGH

Powell is shooting just 15.2 PPG in his last 5 games, played only 9 minutes vs. Charlotte recently (2 pts), and historically averages 14.7 PPG vs. this opponent. Recent injury return limits upside.

reboundsUNDER 4.568%MEDIUM

Away rebounding splits show 3.6 RPG but recent 5-game average is 2.8 RPG. Last game vs. CHA: 2 rebounds in 9 minutes indicates limited volume opportunity.

assistsUNDER 2.565%MEDIUM

Season away average is 2.2 APG, recent 5-game average 2.6, but with reduced minutes (21.4 last 5) and low usage vs. CHA (2.23 away assist average), projection favors under.

threesUNDER 2.570%HIGH

Last 5 games: 1.6 3PM. Season average 2.86, but recent decline and 0 three-pointers in 9 minutes vs. Charlotte indicate reduced volume and efficiency.

stealsOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

Season average 1.2 SPG, recent 5-game average 0.8. Line is low and Powell has shown consistent defensive activity even in limited minutes.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game stocks average 1.2 with minimal blocks (0.4 BPG). Away stocks average just 0.9; reduced minutes limit upside on this line.

paUNDER 21.570%HIGH

Recent form (15.2 PPG) plus away-game weakness (16.2 PPG) and poor CHA history (14.7 PPG vs. opponent) combine to project below this line even accounting for assists.

prUNDER 22.568%MEDIUM

Last 5: 15.2 PPG + 2.8 RPG = 18.0 combined. Away metrics and recent injury return limit offensive ceiling needed to clear 22.5.

praUNDER 26.571%HIGH

Last 5 composites: 15.2 + 2.8 + 2.6 = 20.6 average. Away splits (16.2 + 3.6 + 2.2 = 22.0) and reduced minutes in recent CHA game strongly suggest under on 26.5.

raUNDER 8.564%MEDIUM

Recent 5: 2.8 + 2.6 = 5.4 combined. Away splits yield only 3.6 + 2.2 = 5.8. High line not supported by recent trends or CHA matchup history.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS