Sion James▼

CHA · PF

PPG

5.4

RPG

3.5

APG

1.9

L5 PPG

3.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.8

5.4

3.6

RPG-0.3

3.5

3.2

APG-0.3

1.9

1.6

SPG-0.4

0.6

0.2

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

5.5

IND

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs IND: 2 pts

POR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs POR: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 13 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 6 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 3 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 3 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 11 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 4 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 0 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5STAKE

72%

REB

OVER 2.5STAKE

65%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

68%

3PM

OVER 0.5

62%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

75%

STL+BLK

UNDER 0.85

68%

P+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

70%

P+R

UNDER 8.5STAKE

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.4

3.5

RPG

3.3

3.5

APG

1.7

2.0

vs MIA (H2H)4 games

PPG

5.3

RPG

1.5

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Rollins	4	15	75%	+24.8%	medium
James Harden	3	13	53%	+9.7%	medium
Brandon Ingram	4	12	56%	+12.3%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	54%

James faces familiar foe in limited role; expect modest output

Sion James is trending down sharply, averaging just 3.6 PPG over his last 5 games on only 15.6 MPG—a significant dip from his 5.4 season average. He's playing 23% fewer minutes recently and saw just 2 minutes in his last outing vs Miami on 3/17. Against the Heat specifically, James has struggled across 4 matchups (5.25 PPG, 18 MPG), with his most recent game being a near-DNP. Miami's defense allows a -1.288 three-point suppression, which could limit his shooting volume. With reduced playing time and cold recent form, James presents limited upside tonight at home.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.6(↓ from 5.4)

MPG

15.6(↓ from 23.1)

Assists

1.6(→ from 1.9)

Rebounds

3.2(→ from 3.5)

Key Matchup

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the primary defender for Charlotte, having allowed 13 points on 54.5% FG across 9.1 minutes vs James in recent matchups. However, James' DNP-2 in the most recent Heat-Hornets game (3/17) suggests severely limited playing time regardless of individual defense.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Sion James▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	70%	2	✓
Sion James▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	4	✓
Sion James▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	2	✓
Sion James▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✗
Sion James▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Sion James▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Sion James▼	STL+BLK	0.85	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Sion James▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	4	✓
Sion James▼	P+R	8.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	6	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA11.5UNDER18%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/1947%▼

P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x8/1942%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x11/1958%▼

R+A5.5OVER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)OVER 5x12/1963%▼

Featured Pick

Sion James

Points UNDER 5.5HIGH

James has crashed to 3.6 PPG over his last 5 games and posted just 3 points in his last two outings combined. His most recent game vs Miami was a 2-minute appearance, and the trend against this specific opponent is concerning (5.25 PPG across 4 matchups). Recent minutes decline and cold form make under 5.5 a high-conviction play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	4	9	13	55%	59%
Davion Mitchell	3	5	5	40%	50%
Norman Powell	2	3	3	33%	50%
Andrew Wiggins	2	2	5	67%	83%
Tyler Herro	2	2	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 5.572%HIGH

James averaged 3.6 PPG over last 5 games and has struggled vs Miami (5.25 PPG across 4 games, including a 2-minute DNP most recently). Recent trend strongly suggests staying under 5.5.

reboundsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

James has been consistent on the boards at 3.2-3.5 RPG across recent windows. Playing at home, he maintains 3.3 RPG home average, giving slight edge to over 2.5.

assistsUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 average of 1.6 APG and vs Miami specifically only 0.5 APG across 4 games. Reduced minutes (15.6 MPG recently) limit playmaking opportunities well below 2.5.

threesOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

Season average 0.99 3PM and recent average 1.0 3PM. Home splits show 1.03 3PM at home. Slight lean over the 0.5 line despite Miami's three-point suppression.

stealsUNDER 0.570%HIGH

Last 5 games show only 0.2 SPG. Season average 0.6 and recent mean 0.4 both well below the 0.5 threshold; limited minutes reduce defensive steal opportunities.

blocksUNDER 0.575%HIGH

James averages just 0.2-0.3 BPG across all recent windows. Last 5 games: 0.2 BPG. At 15.6 MPG recently, blocking opportunities are minimal.

stocksUNDER 0.8568%MEDIUM

Recent stocks (STL+BLK) average 0.4 over last 5 games, well below season mean of 0.87. Reduced minutes and limited defensive impact support under.

paUNDER 7.570%HIGH

Last 5 combined PPG + APG = 5.2. Season average P+A is 7.3, but recent deterioration and vs Miami struggles (5.75 P+A) push under 7.5.

prUNDER 8.566%MEDIUM

Last 5: 3.6 PPG + 3.2 RPG = 6.8. While season average P+R is 8.89, recent form and limited minutes suggest under 8.5 has edge.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS