Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolu Smith | 1 | 1 | 0% | -33.3% | low |
| Paul Reed | 1 | 0 | 100% | +66.7% | low |
| Ronald Holland II | 1 | 0 | 0% | -33.3% | low |
| Marcus Sasser | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Colin Castleton is listed as Out with an injury status dated 2026-03-18, making him unavailable for tonight's matchup. Even if cleared, his recent production has been highly volatile—7.6 PPG and 7.2 RPG over the last 5 games mask single-game extremes (16 pts/8 reb vs ATL on 4/11, but just 2 pts on 1/4 FG vs WAS on 4/9). Against OKC specifically, he's averaged only 2.5 PPG on 7.5 MPG across 2 prior meetings. Orlando is on a back-to-back, which typically reduces bench rotation minutes, further limiting Castleton's upside.
OKC's defense (107.71 DRtg, -1.76 scoring suppression) is slightly below league average but not a major liability. However, Jaylin Williams has logged minimal defense vs Castleton (1.7 min, 3 pts allowed in prior matchups), suggesting matchup data is limited. The real constraint is Castleton's injury status and Orlando's B2B fatigue.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colin Castleton▼ | Points | 7.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 70% |
Colin Castleton▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 20% |
Colin Castleton▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 50% |
Colin Castleton▼ | STL+BLK | 0.8 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 50% |
Last 5 average of 7.6 PPG is modest, and vs OKC he's averaged just 2.5 PPG historically. Injury status + B2B context suggests reduced playing time if available.
Last 5 average of 7.2 RPG is above the projected line. Rebounding is his most consistent stat; 14-rebound outing on 4/9 shows ceiling potential.
Castleton is currently listed as Out, which overrides all prop analysis. If he plays despite the injury tag, his 2.5 PPG average vs OKC, combined with B2B minute restrictions and recent inconsistency, suggests the Under is the safer play. The 7.6 L5 average is inflated by one 16-point game; median production is far lower.
| low |
Last 5 and last 10 both at 1.4 APG; recent games show minimal assist volume. Rotation role limits playmaking opportunities.
Last 5 stocks of 0.4 (STL+BLK) falls short of projected 0.8. Limited defensive impact in recent outings vs upper-tier competition.