Goga Bitadze▼

ORL · C

PPG

5.9

RPG

4.9

APG

1.2

L5 PPG

4.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.3

5.9

4.6

RPG-1.3

4.9

3.6

APG0.0

1.2

SPG-0.6

0.6

0.0

BPG-1.0

1.0

0.0

UNDER 3.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

3.5

CLE

2026-01-24

2026-01-24 vs CLE: 2 pts

SAS

2026-02-01

2026-02-01 vs SAS: 4 pts

BKN

2026-02-05

2026-02-05 vs BKN: 6 pts

PHX

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs PHX: 4 pts

WAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs WAS: 9 pts

DAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DAL: 8 pts

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 4 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 7 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 0 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 4 pts

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 3.5STAKE

72%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

68%

AST

UNDER 1.5STAKE

70%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

65%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

70%

P+A

UNDER 8.5STAKE

68%

R+A

UNDER 6.5STAKE

66%

P+R

UNDER 6.5STAKE

70%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.4

6.2

RPG

4.6

4.9

APG

0.6

1.1

vs OKC (H2H)7 games

PPG

5.1

RPG

4.9

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Duren	3	12	100%	+32.7%	medium
Kel'el Ware	3	12	64%	-10.2%	medium
Micah Potter	3	9	63%	-17.3%	medium
Onyeka Okongwu	3	7	30%

Bitadze faces severe minute restrictions vs. elite OKC defense on back-to-back

Goga Bitadze has seen his role significantly diminished over the last 5 games, averaging just 6.6 MPG and 4.6 PPG compared to his season average of 15 MPG and 5.9 PPG. The trend is decidedly downward—last 5 stats are all below season norms across points, rebounds, and steals. Orlando is on a back-to-back (high-volume schedule), which typically limits bench rotation players. OKC's elite defense (107.71 D-rating, -1.76 scoring suppression) and the presence of Chet Holmgren (who has held Bitadze to 16 pts in 7.6 min in prior matchups) will create a tough matchup for a rotation player with reduced opportunity.

Stat Trends

PPG

4.6(↓ from 5.9)

RPG

3.6(↓ from 4.9)

MPG

6.6(↓ from 15.0)

Stocks (STL+BLK)

0.0(↓ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

Chet Holmgren is the primary defender and has limited Bitadze effectively in prior meetings. OKC's elite defense (107.71 D-rating, -1.76 scoring suppression) combined with Bitadze's reduced role and back-to-back fatigue for Orlando creates a challenging environment for offensive or rebounding volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Goga Bitadze▼	Points	3.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	20%	0	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	1	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	100%	0	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	P+A	8.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	R+A	6.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	2	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	P+R	6.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	20%	1	✓
Goga Bitadze▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	100%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R10UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x6/1346%▼

FTM2UNDER50%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x4/1331%▼

P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)5/1339%▼

PTS6OVER3%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)4/1331%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

REB4OVER10%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)5/1339%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

PRA10UNDER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/1346%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)4/1331%▼

AST1UNDER15%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1346%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTA2UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x5/1339%▼

Featured Pick

Goga Bitadze

Points UNDER 3.5HIGH

Bitadze's last 5 games: 4.6 PPG. Last 10: 4.8 PPG. Both averages are above 3.5, but the recent trend shows he played just 5, 4, 8, 4, and 12 minutes in his last 5 games. Orlando is on a back-to-back, and Bitadze is a rotation player likely to see DNPs or minimal minutes. OKC's strong defense suppression (-1.76) and Holmgren's track record of shutting down Bitadze make the under at -303 odds a sharp play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Isaiah Hartenstein	1	1	0	0%	0%
Chet Holmgren	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jared McCain	1	0	2	100%	100%
Ajay Mitchell	1	0	0	0%	0%
Isaiah Joe	1	0	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 3.572%HIGH

Bitadze's last 5 games average 4.6 PPG on just 6.6 MPG—well below the 3.5 line expectation. Back-to-back rest and OKC's strong defense suppression suggest continued limited opportunity.

reboundsUNDER 4.568%MEDIUM

Despite rebounding being a relative strength (season 4.9 RPG, last 5 avg 3.6), reduced minutes to 6.6 MPG last 5 games make 4.5 a tough target. His per-36 rebound rate is solid, but volume is the constraint.

assistsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

Last 5 games: 1.2 APG on minimal usage. Last 10: 0.8 APG. The line is heavily favored toward under (-244 to -256 odds). Bitadze's low playmaking volume and reduced minutes make assists difficult to hit.

blocksUNDER 1.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 0.0 BPG. Last 10: 0.3 BPG. Despite season average of 1.0 BPG, recent form and minimal minutes (6.6 MPG last 5) make 1.5 blocks unlikely.

stealsUNDER 0.570%HIGH

Last 5 and last 10 games: 0.0 SPG. Season average 0.6 SPG is marginal, and recent drought combined with reduced minutes suggests under is safer.

paUNDER 8.568%MEDIUM

Points + Assists combined. Last 5: 4.6 PPG + 1.2 APG = 5.8 total. Last 10: 4.8 + 0.8 = 5.6. Well below 8.5 threshold given current minute restrictions.

raUNDER 6.566%MEDIUM

Rebounds + Assists. Last 5: 3.6 RPG + 1.2 APG = 4.8. Last 10: 3.6 + 0.8 = 4.4. Below 6.5 in both recent windows despite reasonable per-minute rates.

prUNDER 6.570%HIGH

Points + Rebounds. Last 5: 4.6 + 3.6 = 8.2 (likely over), but at 6.6 MPG the variance is high. Last 10: 4.8 + 3.6 = 8.4. Marginal; slight lean under due to minute collapse.

stocksUNDER 1.572%HIGH

Steals + Blocks combined. Last 5: 0.0 STL + 0.0 BLK = 0.0. Last 10: 0.0 + 0.3 = 0.3. Recent drought in defensive stats and low volume make 1.5 a difficult line.

timelineUNDER 3.5 PTS