Isaiah Hartenstein▼

OKC · C

PPG

9.9

RPG

9.3

APG

3.5

L5 PPG

3.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-6.7

9.9

3.2

RPG-2.5

9.3

6.8

APG-0.1

3.5

3.4

SPG-0.4

1.0

0.6

BPG+0.4

0.8

1.2

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

LAL

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs LAL: 10 pts

PHX

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs PHX: 8 pts

BKN

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs BKN: 10 pts

CLE

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs CLE: 13 pts

TOR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs TOR: 11 pts

DEN

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DEN: 9 pts

DAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DAL: 7 pts

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIN: 0 pts

ORL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs ORL: 0 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

72%

REB

UNDER 7.5STAKE

65%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

68%

P+R

UNDER 15.5STAKE

70%

P+A

OVER 10.5STAKE

62%

R+A

UNDER 10.5STAKE

66%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

64%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

63%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.0

6.4

RPG

8.3

7.0

APG

5.0

2.3

vs ORL (H2H)11 games

PPG

6.3

RPG

6.5

APG

3.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	3	18	43%	-19.0%	medium
Deandre Ayton	4	17	63%	+0.6%	medium
Luke Kornet	3	16	75%	+13.1%	medium
Drew Eubanks	3	14	50%

Hartenstein Struggles vs Orlando: Sharp Decline in Scoring and Minutes

Isaiah Hartenstein is in freefall, averaging just 3.2 PPG over his last 5 games on 18.8 MPG—a dramatic drop from his season 9.9 PPG. His most recent matchup vs Orlando (3/17) was particularly concerning: only 6 minutes played with 0 points, 4 boards, and 3 assists. Historically vs the Magic, Hartenstein averages 6.3 PPG across 11 meetings. Orlando's defense ranks 114.06 in defensive rating with a -0.289 scoring suppression, presenting a moderate challenge. With questionable consistency and reduced playing time, Hartenstein faces significant headwinds despite his season rebounding prowess.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.2(↓ from 9.9)

RPG

6.8(↓ from 9.3)

APG

3.4(→ from 3.5)

MPG

18.8(↓ from 25.4)

Stocks

1.8(→ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

Goga Bitadze is Orlando's primary rim defender (20.5 min vs centers) and has allowed 11 points on 45% FG to opposing centers. Hartenstein's recent scoring collapse and 6-minute stint vs Orlando on 3/17 suggest Bitadze's physicality and positioning are limiting his offensive opportunities at the rim.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	40%	0	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	7	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	8	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	50%	7	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	P+A	10.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	8	✗
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	15	✗
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

AST2.5OVER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)14/2070%+19.3% edge▼

PRA17.5OVER13%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)13/2065%+14.3% edge▼

P+A8.5OVER40%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)14/2070%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

PTS6.5UNDER23%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

REB7.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%▼

R+A10.5OVER30%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)13/2065%▼

P+R15.5OVER10%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Isaiah Hartenstein

Points UNDER 7.5HIGH

Hartenstein's last 5 average of 3.2 PPG is stark evidence of a dramatic decline. His most recent game vs Orlando resulted in 0 points in 6 minutes, and historically he averages just 6.3 PPG against the Magic. Even accounting for potential minute normalization, the 7.5 line projects a +130% improvement from recent form—unsustainable given usage trends and matchup difficulty.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Paolo Banchero	2	6	10	50%	56%
Moritz Wagner	2	4	2	0%	0%
Wendell Carter Jr.	2	1	0	0%	0%
Goga Bitadze	1	1	0	0%	0%
Desmond Bane	2	1	5	100%	125%

pointsUNDER 7.572%HIGH

Hartenstein is averaging 3.2 PPG over last 5 games and just posted 0 points in 6 minutes vs Orlando on 3/17. Against the Magic historically, he averages 6.3 PPG with reduced efficiency.

reboundsUNDER 7.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 average of 6.8 RPG and recent game saw only 4 rebounds in limited 6 minutes. Reduced minutes (18.8 MPG L5) make the 7.5 line a stretch despite season 9.3 RPG average.

assistsOVER 2.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 average 3.4 APG and season average 3.5 APG. Recent game vs Orlando had 3 assists despite limited minutes. Assist production remains stable relative to usage.

prUNDER 15.570%HIGH

Points + Rebounds combination hurts given scoring collapse (3.2 L5) and rebounding decline (6.8 L5). Last 5 combined P+R average approximately 10.0, well short of 15.5.

paOVER 10.562%MEDIUM

Points (3.2 L5) + Assists (3.4 L5) combine for ~6.6 L5 average, but the line sits at 10.5. Marginal, but recent assist consistency and home court splits (5.0 APG at home) suggest modest upside if minutes normalize.

raUNDER 10.566%MEDIUM

Rebounds (6.8 L5) + Assists (3.4 L5) = ~10.2 combined last 5 games. Current form and minute reduction make this line slightly ambitious, though historically stable categories.

stealsUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

Season 1.0 SPG, last 5 only 0.6 SPG. Limited minutes (18.8 L5) reduce steal opportunity. Goga Bitadze (Magic's primary C) has held opponents to 45% FG and 11 points.

blocksOVER 0.563%MEDIUM

Last 5 average 1.2 BPG and season 0.8 BPG. Recent games show block production (2 blocks on 3/15, 2 blocks on 3/1, 2 blocks on 2/27). Even reduced minutes support block upside.

stocksOVER 1.566%MEDIUM

Season 1.78 STL+BLK average and last 5 average 1.8 stocks. Recent form stable on defense, and blocks remain productive despite scoring struggles. Orlando's defense allows moderate suppression.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS