Kenrich Williams▲

OKC · PF

PPG

6.6

RPG

3.2

APG

1.4

L5 PPG

3.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.8

6.6

3.8

RPG-1.0

3.2

2.2

APG-0.4

1.4

1.0

SPG-0.5

0.5

0.0

BPG-0.1

0.1

0.0

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

MIL

2026-02-12

2026-02-12 vs MIL: 9 pts

BKN

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs BKN: 7 pts

CLE

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs CLE: 8 pts

TOR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs TOR: 0 pts

DET

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs DET: 13 pts

DAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DAL: 0 pts

CHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHI: 1 pts

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 3 pts

GSW

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs GSW: 13 pts

DEN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs DEN: 2 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

62%

REB

UNDER 4.5STAKE

65%

AST

UNDER 2.5STAKE

68%

3PM

UNDER 1

58%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 0.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 9.5STAKE

64%

P+R

UNDER 11.5STAKE

68%

R+A

UNDER 7.5STAKE

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.3

6.9

RPG

4.3

2.8

APG

1.6

1.0

vs ORL (H2H)7 games

PPG

4.9

RPG

4.4

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Victor Wembanyama	4	12	83%	+28.0%	medium
Naz Reid	3	7	88%	+25.2%	medium
Bobby Portis	2	6	50%	-9.8%	low
Quinten Post	2	5	0%

Williams Struggles in Recent Form Despite Home/Away Split Advantage

Kenrich Williams is trending down significantly in the last 5 games (3.8 PPG on 11.8 MPG) after averaging 7.6 PPG over his last 20. Tonight's matchup against Orlando features a below-average defense (114.06 rating) that suppresses scoring slightly (-0.289), but Williams has posted only 4.9 PPG in 7 career meetings with the Magic. OKC is on normal rest with limited games this week, while Orlando is back-to-back fatigued—a potential positive for role players seeking playing time. However, Williams' minute reduction and inconsistent scoring touch (recent 4.82 PPG std dev) suggests limited upside despite friendly matchup conditions.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.8(↓ from 6.6)

RPG

2.2(↓ from 3.2)

3PM

0.6(↓ from 1.0)

MPG

11.8(↓ from 15.7)

Key Matchup

Orlando's defense ranks 114.06 in net rating with slight scoring suppression (-0.289), offering a modest plus. However, Jonathan Isaac and Paolo Banchero combined have limited Williams to 5 points on 20% FG in recent matchups, and his 4.9 PPG career average vs. the Magic provides little encouragement.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Kenrich Williams▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Kenrich Williams▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Kenrich Williams▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	100%
Kenrich Williams▼	3PM	1	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Kenrich Williams▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%
Kenrich Williams▼	STL+BLK	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%
Kenrich Williams▼	P+A	9.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Kenrich Williams▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%
Kenrich Williams▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	80%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS8.5UNDER34%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)6/1250%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA12.5UNDER29%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)6/1250%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA1.5UNDER15%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/1250%▼

R+A4.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x4/1233%▼

P+A9OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)6/1250%▼

AST1UNDER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1242%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTM1UNDER37%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)3/1225%▼

REB2.5UNDER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)6/1250%▼

3PM1UNDER41%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x5/1242%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA2UNDER37%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x4/1233%▼

P+R11.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)6/1250%▼

Featured Pick

Kenrich Williams

Rebounds UNDER 4.5MEDIUM

Williams is averaging just 2.2 RPG in his last 5 games on a steep minute reduction (11.8 MPG). While his season rate suggests 3.2 per game, recent role compression and usage decline indicate he'll likely finish 2–3 boards short of 4.5. The under at -120 offers reasonable value given the downward trend.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jett Howard	1	1	0	0%	0%
Tristan da Silva	1	1	0	0%	0%
Noah Penda	1	1	0	0%	0%
Anthony Black	1	1	2	25%	25%
Jonathan Isaac	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

Williams has averaged just 3.8 PPG over last 5 games and 5.6 PPG last 10. Despite Orlando's soft defense, his 4.9 PPG vs. Magic historically and recent shooting struggles suggest he lands near or slightly below this line.

reboundsUNDER 4.565%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game average is just 2.2 RPG on minimal 11.8 MPG. While his last-20 shows 3.5 RPG, reduced minutes are the limiting factor. Unlikely to reach 4.5 in this usage pattern.

assistsUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

Season assist average is 1.4, recent 10-game 0.8, and last 5 just 1.0 APG. High variance (1.32 std dev) but downward trend and minimal role suggest under is safer despite 2.5 line.

threesUNDER 158%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 0.6 3PM; last 10: 1.0 3PM. While season average is 0.96, recent shooting decline and Orlando's defensive three-suppression (-1.223) creates modest headwind. Slight lean under but close call.

stealsUNDER 0.572%HIGH

Williams averaged 0.0 steals over last 5 games despite season average of 0.5. Recent 10 shows just 0.2 SPG. Limited defensive responsibility in rotation role makes consistent steals unlikely.

stocksUNDER 0.570%HIGH

Recent 5-game stocks: 0.0 combined (0 steals, 0 blocks). Even accounting for season average of 0.64, the downward trajectory and minimal recent production suggest under on 0.5 is safer.

paUNDER 9.564%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game P+A average is 4.8 (3.8 PPG + 1.0 APG). Last 10 is 6.4 (5.6 + 0.8). Both well below 9.5 line; reduced minutes and cold shooting limit combo potential.

prUNDER 11.568%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game P+R average is 6.0 (3.8 PPG + 2.2 RPG). Last 10 is 8.4 (5.6 + 2.8). Significantly below line even in better stretches; recent form suggests 8–9 range, well short of 11.5.

raUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

Recent 5-game R+A average is 3.2 (2.2 RPG + 1.0 APG). Last 10 is 3.6 (2.8 + 0.8). Significant gap to 7.5 line; both volume and efficiency have declined sharply.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS