Tristan da Silva▼

ORL · SF

PPG

9.6

RPG

3.8

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

13.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.2

9.6

13.8

RPG+0.6

3.8

4.4

APG+0.1

1.5

1.6

SPG+0.4

1.0

1.4

BPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

11.5

DET

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DET: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs WAS: 8 pts

DAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DAL: 19 pts

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 11 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 5 pts

CLE

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CLE: 23 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 26 pts

MIA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIA: 11 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs OKC: 2 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5

68%

REB

OVER 4.5

70%

AST

OVER 1.5

72%

3PM

OVER 1.5

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

71%

PRA

OVER 17.5

70%

P+A

OVER 13

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.2

8.9

RPG

4.0

5.1

APG

1.5

2.6

vs OKC (H2H)4 games

PPG

7.3

RPG

2.3

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	2	18	75%	+21.6%	low
Bilal Coulibaly	4	17	41%	-11.8%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	5	11	67%	+13.2%	medium
Duncan Robinson	3	10	25%

da Silva Bounces Back Against OKC After Brutal 8-Minute Outing

Tristan da Silva suffered a catastrophic 8-minute performance vs OKC on March 17 (2 pts, 1 reb), but his last 5-game stretch shows 13.8 PPG and improved role as a starter. The Magic are on a back-to-back, which historically boosts da Silva's scoring (12.56 PPG on B2B vs 9.64 season avg), and he maintains a 11.2 PPG home scoring average. However, his recent downward trend (13.8 L5 → 13.1 L10) and limited minutes variance suggest volatility, though increased recent playing time (28.4 MPG L5) and home court advantage provide structural support for a bounce-back game.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.8(↓ from 9.6)

RPG

4.4(↑ from 3.8)

3PM

1.6(→ from 1.6)

SPG

1.4(↑ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

OKC features ball-hawking perimeter defenders (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe), but the sample in the recent head-to-head is minimal and skewed by the March 17 blowout role reduction. OKC's mid-tier defense (107.71 rating) and three-point suppression tendency (0.879) are not elite, allowing da Silva to operate within his elevated recent efficiency envelope.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tristan da Silva▼	Points	11.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	13	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	4	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	70%	1	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	71%HIGH	—	50%	1	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	PRA	17.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	18	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	P+A	13	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	14	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

PTS12UNDER24%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB3.5OVER4%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

3PA4UNDER46%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

PRA18UNDER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

AST2UNDER33%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

STL1UNDER30%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 8x5/2025%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

3PM1UNDER6%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTM2UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

FTA2UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

Featured Pick

Tristan da Silva

Rebounds OVER 4.5HIGH

da Silva has posted 5+ rebounds in 6 of his last 10 games and averaged 5.3 RPG over that stretch. Back-to-back status and increased 28+ MPG role support continued rebound volume. The 4.5 line represents conservative expectation given his recent 4.4–5.3 range across recent windows.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	2	4	19	43%	46%
Ajay Mitchell	1	3	6	50%	50%
Alex Caruso	2	3	0	0%	0%
Isaiah Joe	2	2	3	50%	75%
Luguentz Dort	2	2	4	100%	100%

pointsOVER 11.568%MEDIUM

Back-to-back setting favors da Silva (12.56 PPG B2B vs 9.64 season), and he's at home where he averages 11.2 PPG. Last outing (8 min, 2 pts) was a severe outlier; recent 13.8 L5 PPG and 28.4 MPG support a return to form above the 11.5 line.

reboundsOVER 4.570%HIGH

da Silva has averaged 5.3 RPG over his last 10 games and 4.4 RPG last 5. Consistent rebounder with elevated recent output; projected line of 4.5 represents a modest benchmark he has exceeded in 7 of last 10 games.

assistsOVER 1.572%HIGH

Recent surge to 2.3 APG (L10) and 1.6 APG (L5) well above season 1.49 average. Back-to-back and home context typically elevate assists; away splits show 2.6 APG, and increased role minutes support continued facilitation above 1.5.

threesOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 1.6 3PM; last 10 games: 1.9 3PM. Season avg 1.64 3PM on 38.9% from three. Home splits favorable (1.93 3PM home vs 1.35 away). OKC's three-point suppression slightly positive (0.879) but not significant enough to suppress his elevated recent rate.

stocksOVER 1.571%HIGH

Stocks (steals + blocks) averaged 2.0 both L5 and L10, significantly above season 1.3. Recent increased defensive activity and back-to-back assignment (1.78 stocks B2B) support projection above 1.5 line.

praOVER 17.570%HIGH

Recent L5 PRA: 13.8 PPG + 4.4 RPG + 1.6 APG = 19.8 combined. Even accounting for downward regression, elevated minutes (28.4 MPG) and back-to-back bonus support a 17.5 line overcome.

paOVER 1368%MEDIUM

Points + assists: recent L5 averaging 15.4 (13.8 + 1.6). Home court and B2B context favor continued output; OKC defense allows above-average perimeter facilitation.

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

da Silva Bounces Back Against OKC After Brutal 8-Minute Outing

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 11.5 PTS