Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | 4 | 14 | 68% | -1.3% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 3 | 9 | 65% | -0.1% | medium |
| Nic Claxton | 3 | 9 | 100% | +39.9% | medium |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 3 | 8 | 29% |
Adem Bona has been a consistent contributor in recent action, averaging 6.0 PPG and 5.6 RPG over his last 10 games with increased 21.4 MPG—nearly 4 minutes above season average (17.6). Against Denver, he's faced them 3 times, posting modest 4.3 PPG and 3.3 RPG over 17 minutes, but Denver's 116.96 defensive rating and weak interior defense suggest opportunity. With Aaron Gordon logging just 3.6 minutes against Bona historically and allowing 0 FG%, the matchup is favorable for a rebounding-heavy performance.
Aaron Gordon has limited history guarding Bona (3.6 minutes total), and Denver's 116.96 defensive rating ranks lower in the league, presenting space for efficiency. Nikola Jokic's defensive assignment is minimal (1.5 minutes), reducing rim protection concerns for Bona's interior activity.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adem Bona▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 3 | ✗ |
Adem Bona▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 6 | ✓ |
Adem Bona▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 3 | ✗ |
Adem Bona▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | — | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Adem Bona▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 4 | ✗ |
Adem Bona▼ | P+R | 12.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% | 9 | ✓ |
Adem Bona▼ | PRA | 13.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 10 | ✓ |
Adem Bona▼ | R+A | 6.5 | OVER | 69%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 4 | ✗ |
Bona's last 10 games average 5.6 RPG at 21.4 MPG—a clear trend above season baseline. FanDuel's 5.5 line aligns with recent form. Denver's weak interior anchors limited live-rebounding pressure, favoring Bona's activity in a stable matchup environment.
| medium |
| Neemias Queta | 4 | 8 | 0% | -60.1% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 5 | 9 | 75% | 88% |
| Nikola Jokić | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 1 | 1 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Bona has averaged 5.6 RPG over last 10 games and 6.6 over last 5, with elevated MPG at 21.4. His recent form shows consistency above the 5.5 line.
Despite recent uptrend (6.0 PPG L10), Bona's season average (4.7) and history vs. Denver (4.3 PPG) suggest he'll fall short of 6.5. High line relative to his typical output.
Bona averages 1.0 BPG in last 5 and 0.9 in last 10, consistently below the 1.5 threshold. Recent games show only 1 block or fewer in multiple outings.
Bona has averaged 1.1 APG over last 10 games and 0.8 in last 5, well above season average (0.4). The 0.5 line is conservative given his elevated recent assist volume.
Season stocks average 1.63 but recent mean drops to 1.4 (last 5 & 10). At 1.5, line is slightly elevated versus trend; most games show 0.4-1.4 range.
Points (6.5) + Rebounds (5.5) = 12.0 projected. Bona's last 10 avg: 6.0 PPG + 5.6 RPG = 11.6. Consistently near or below the 12.5 line.
Points (6.0 L10) + Rebounds (5.6 L10) + Assists (1.1 L10) = 12.7. Bona's recent floor hovers below 13.5; limited upside given consistency at 6-12 range per game.
Rebounds (5.6 L10) + Assists (1.1 L10) = 6.7 projected. Recent games support crossing 6.5 threshold with elevated assist activity and strong rebounding.