Cameron Johnson▲

DEN · SF

PPG

11.5

RPG

3.7

APG

2.4

L5 PPG

13.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

11.5

13.2

RPG-0.3

3.7

3.4

APG+0.4

2.4

2.8

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

OVER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

10.5

POR

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs POR: 15 pts

GSW

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs GSW: 9 pts

BOS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs BOS: 11 pts

OKC

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs OKC: 7 pts

MIN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIN: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NYK: 10 pts

OKC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs OKC: 6 pts

HOU

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs HOU: 17 pts

SAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs SAS: 15 pts

LAL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAL: 18 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 10.5FANDUEL

73%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

PRA

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

71%

P+R

OVER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

STL+BLK

STABLE 1.4

65%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

11.1

12.6

RPG

4.2

4.0

APG

2.9

2.0

vs PHI (H2H)10 games

PPG

14.7

RPG

3.8

APG

2.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	4	27	53%	-8.6%	medium
Russell Westbrook	4	13	63%	+2.5%	medium
Naji Marshall	3	12	50%	-4.6%	medium
Julian Champagnie	3	10	83%

Cameron Johnson heating up at home against weak 76ers defense

Johnson is trending upward with 13.2 PPG over his last 5 games, a clear bump from his 11.5 season average. He's averaging 14.7 PPG directly against Philadelphia in 10 career matchups, exploiting a 76ers defense that ranks 115.91 in defensive rating and allows a -29.9% three-point suppression (meaning teams shoot *better* from three against them). Facing Quentin Grimes as the primary defender on limited minutes (5.6 MPG allowed), Johnson is well-positioned to exceed his 10.5 points line, especially playing at home where he averages 11.1 PPG with improved three-point volume (2.2 per game).

Stat Trends

PPG

13.2(↑ from 11.5)

3PM

2.0(→ from 1.8)

Assists

2.8(↑ from 2.4)

Stocks

1.4(↑ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

Quentin Grimes is the primary defender assigned to Johnson with only 5.6 minutes of matchup data, holding him to 5 points on 25% FG. However, this limited sample suggests minimal defensive impact. Philadelphia's overall defense ranks 115.91 (weak) and struggles against three-point shooters (-29.9% suppression), playing directly into Johnson's 41% career three-point accuracy.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cameron Johnson▼	Points	10.5	OVER	73%HIGH	1/2	50%	18	✓
Cameron Johnson▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	40%	3	✓
Cameron Johnson▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	2	✗
Cameron Johnson▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	1	✗
Cameron Johnson▼	PRA	16.5	OVER	71%HIGH	1/2	60%	21	✓
Cameron Johnson▼	P+R	14.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%	20	✓
Cameron Johnson▼	STL+BLK	1.4	STABLE	65%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Cameron Johnson▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x7/2035%▼

P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Cameron Johnson

Points OVER 10.5HIGH

Johnson is trending up (13.2 PPG last 5 vs 11.5 season), averages 14.7 PPG in 10 matchups vs Philadelphia, and faces a bottom-tier defense (115.91 rating). Recent 18-point and 17-point performances confirm offensive rhythm. The line is artificially low relative to his form and opponent weakness.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Justin Edwards	1	3	6	40%	50%
Quentin Grimes	1	2	0	0%	0%
MarJon Beauchamp	1	1	0	0%	0%
VJ Edgecombe	1	1	4	67%	67%
Trendon Watford	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 10.573%HIGH

Johnson averages 14.7 PPG vs PHI historically and is up to 13.2 PPG in last 5 games. Philadelphia's defense ranks 115.91, well below league average. Recent 18-point (vs LAL) and 17-point (vs HOU) performances show offensive rhythm.

threesOVER 1.572%HIGH

Johnson shoots 41% from three on the season and averages 2.0 per game in last 5. Philadelphia's -29.9% three-point suppression actually favors perimeter shooters. He hit 4-for-10 threes vs LAL most recently.

reboundsOVER 3.568%MEDIUM

Johnson is averaging 4.1 RPG over last 10 games and 4.0 RPG away, slightly above the 3.5 line. Recent games show consistency: 5 rebounds vs SAS, 4 vs LAL, 3 vs OKC.

assistsOVER 2.570%HIGH

Johnson is up to 2.8 APG in last 5 and 2.7 over last 10. Home splits show 2.9 APG. Recent performances include 5 assists vs NYK, 4 vs HOU, showing playmaking upside.

praOVER 16.571%HIGH

Combined points (13.2 L5), rebounds (4.1 L10), and assists (2.8 L5) total ~20 PPG. Last 5 games show strong floor: 18+4+3=25, 15+5+1=21, 17+2+4=23. Only two games below 16.5 combined since early March.

prOVER 14.570%HIGH

Points (13.2 L5) plus rebounds (4.1 L10) averaging ~17.3 combined. Last 5 games: 22, 20, 19, 9, 13—three of five well above line. Career vs PHI is 14.7 PPG with solid rebounding.

stocksSTABLE 1.465%MEDIUM

Season stocks (STL+BLK) average 1.02, but last 5 and last 10 both at 1.4. High variance (std 1.62 recent). Two recent games show 2 stocks each (vs HOU, vs BOS), offset by zero-stock games. Line set exactly at recent mean—slight lean neutral.

blocksOVER 0.562%MEDIUM

Johnson averaging 0.6 BPG in last 5 and 0.8 over last 10. Recent activity includes 2 blocks vs HOU, 2 vs BOS, 1 vs LAL. The 0.5 line is achievable but not guaranteed—moderate confidence.

timelineOVER 10.5 PTS