Christian Braun▲

DEN · SG

PPG

10.9

RPG

4.9

APG

2.9

L5 PPG

10.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.3

10.9

10.6

RPG+0.5

4.9

5.4

APG+0.1

2.9

3.0

SPG+0.3

0.7

1.0

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

BOS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs BOS: 6 pts

OKC

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs OKC: 23 pts

MIN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIN: 15 pts

UTA

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs UTA: 11 pts

LAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs LAL: 15 pts

NYK

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NYK: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs OKC: 4 pts

HOU

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs HOU: 19 pts

SAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs SAS: 11 pts

LAL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAL: 12 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

OVER 4.5FANDUEL

70%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

3PM

OVER 1.5BETONLINEAG

68%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

62%

PRA

OVER 19.5FANDUEL

68%

P+A

OVER 14.5FANDUEL

71%

P+R

OVER 16.5FANDUEL

70%

R+A

OVER 7.5FANDUEL

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.0

10.3

RPG

5.2

5.3

APG

2.9

3.1

vs PHI (H2H)5 games

PPG

11.2

RPG

2.8

APG

1.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Deni Avdija	4	20	50%	-1.5%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	2	19	57%	+1.8%	low
Luka Dončić	2	18	57%	-1.5%	low
Brandin Podziemski	4	15	50%

Braun Riding Upward Trend at Home vs. Soft Philly Defense

Christian Braun has trending upward over his last 10 games (12.3 PPG, 5.9 RPG) and benefits significantly from playing at home, where he averages 12.0 PPG and 5.2 RPG compared to 10.3 PPG away. Philadelphia's defense ranks 115.91 in defensive rating and allows 0.14 scoring above average, creating favorable conditions. Denver has 3 days rest while Philly is on 2 days, giving the Nuggets a small edge. Recent games show volatility—a 19-point outburst vs. HOU followed by a 4-point struggle vs. OKC—but the upward trend and home-court advantage support moderate confidence in his over-props tonight.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.6(↑ from 10.9)

RPG

5.4(↑ from 4.9)

APG

3.0(→ from 2.9)

3PM

1.2(↑ from 0.9)

Home PPG

(↑ from 12.0)

Key Matchup

Philadelphia's defense ranks 115.91 in defensive rating with 0.14 scoring suppression—below average. Justin Edwards and Adem Bona have minimal defensive minutes against Braun (1.9 and 0.5 minutes respectively), suggesting no specific lock-down matchup. This creates a permissive environment for Braun's scoring and efficiency.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Christian Braun▼	Points	11.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	50%	22	✓
Christian Braun▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	5	✓
Christian Braun▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✓
Christian Braun▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	2	✓
Christian Braun▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✗
Christian Braun▼	PRA	19.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	30	✓
Christian Braun▼	P+A	14.5	OVER	71%HIGH	2/2	60%	25	✓
Christian Braun▼	P+R	16.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	27	✓
Christian Braun▼	R+A	7.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	8	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R19.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

P+A16.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Christian Braun

Points + Rebounds + Assists OVER 19.5HIGH

Braun's last-10 average of 20.9 combined (12.3 PPG + 5.9 RPG + 2.8 APG) significantly exceeds the 19.5 line. Home splits yield 20.1 combined, and his last three games averaged 27, 24, and 22 PRA. Philadelphia's permissive defense and Denver's 3-day rest advantage support a strong output night.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Quentin Grimes	1	4	2	25%	25%
VJ Edgecombe	1	1	0	0%	0%
Cameron Payne	1	1	5	100%	125%
Dominick Barlow	1	1	0	0%	0%
Andre Drummond	1	1	2	25%	25%

pointsOVER 11.572%HIGH

Braun averages 12.3 PPG over last 10 games and 12.0 PPG at home. Philadelphia's defense allows 0.14 scoring above average. Recent home games (vs. HOU 19 pts, vs. LAL 15 pts, vs. MIN 15 pts) show consistent output above the line.

reboundsOVER 4.570%HIGH

Braun averages 5.9 RPG over last 10 and 5.4 RPG over last 5 games. Home splits show 5.2 RPG. Recent consistency (9 vs. SAS, 8 vs. OKC, 6 vs. UTA) supports targeting over 4.5.

assistsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Braun's season average of 2.91 APG and last-10 average of 2.8 APG sit near the line. Home splits favor assists (3.29 APG at home vs. 2.61 away). Recent games show 3, 5, 4, 4, 1 assists—mixed volatility but slight edge to over.

threesOVER 1.568%MEDIUM

Braun is shooting well from three recently: 1.4 FG3M over last 10 games and 1.2 over last 5. Home 3PM average is 1.5. Recent games include 3 vs. HOU, 2 vs. SAS, 2 vs. LAL. Upward trend in volume and efficiency supports over.

stocksUNDER 162%MEDIUM

Braun's season stocks average 0.97 (STL+BLK) with recent 10-game average at 0.9. Home splits show significantly lower stocks (0.2 vs. 1.3 away). Defensive metrics don't support above-average production in this category.

praOVER 19.568%MEDIUM

Combining points (12.3 L10), rebounds (5.9 L10), and assists (2.8 L10) yields 20.9 PPG over last 10 games. Home averages: 12.0 + 5.2 + 2.9 = 20.1. Recent three-game stretch: 35, 24, 22 combined—strong support for over 19.5.

paOVER 14.571%HIGH

Points (12.3 L10) + Assists (2.8 L10) = 15.1 combined. Home splits: 12.0 + 2.9 = 14.9. Recent games with 5, 4, 3 assists paired with 11-19 points consistently exceed this threshold.

prOVER 16.570%HIGH

Points (12.3 L10) + Rebounds (5.9 L10) = 18.2 combined. Home splits: 12.0 + 5.2 = 17.2. Last 10 games show consistent 15+ PR output with recent games at 16, 17, 19, 20 levels.

raOVER 7.568%MEDIUM

Rebounds (5.9 L10) + Assists (2.8 L10) = 8.7 combined. Home splits: 5.2 + 2.9 = 8.1. Recent games include 11 RA (9 reb + 2 ast), 13 RA (4 reb + 3 ast), 10 RA (6 reb + 4 ast).

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS