VJ Edgecombe▲

PHI · PG

PPG

15.5

RPG

5.6

APG

3.9

L5 PPG

14.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.3

15.5

14.2

RPG+0.4

5.6

6.0

APG-0.7

3.9

3.2

SPG-0.2

1.4

1.2

BPG+0.8

0.6

1.4

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

18.5

NOP

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs NOP: 14 pts

MIN

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs MIN: 24 pts

IND

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs IND: 23 pts

MIA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs MIA: 19 pts

BOS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BOS: 23 pts

SAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAS: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MEM: 21 pts

DET

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DET: 10 pts

BKN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BKN: 16 pts

POR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs POR: 18 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

STL

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

72%

PRA

UNDER 27.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

P+R

UNDER 23.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

P+A

UNDER 22.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

R+A

OVER 8.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.6

15.9

RPG

6.2

6.1

APG

3.7

3.2

vs DEN (H2H)1 games

PPG

17.0

RPG

8.0

APG

9.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Brunson	4	23	38%	-10.5%	medium
Derrick White	4	21	27%	-23.8%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	16	52%	-2.9%	medium
Andrew Nembhard	3	16	53%

Edgecombe Uptrend Faces Tough Denver Defense in Away Matchup

VJ Edgecombe is trending up with 17.4 PPG over his last 10 games, but tonight's matchup against Denver presents significant challenges. The Nuggets rank among the league's elite defensively (116.96 DEF rating) with strong three-point suppression (-0.617), which directly impacts Edgecombe's away splits where he averages 2.2 FG3M per game. Despite his improved scoring form, the defensive pressure and lack of specific matchup data suggest a more conservative outlook, though his rebounding and playmaking should remain steady.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.2(↑ from 15.5)

RPG

6.0(↑ from 5.6)

APG

3.2(↓ from 3.9)

3PM

0.4(↓ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

Denver's elite defense (116.96 rating) with strong three-point suppression (-0.617) directly challenges Edgecombe's away game. No specific defender matchup data available, but the Nuggets' defensive system will likely limit his scoring efficiency and three-point volume.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
VJ Edgecombe▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	9	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	4	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	0	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	0	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	72%HIGH	—	60%	1	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	PRA	27.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	16	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	P+R	23.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	12	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	P+A	22.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	13	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	R+A	8.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	50%	7	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

PTS12.5UNDER0%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)16/2080%▼

PRA21.5UNDER28%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)14/2070%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

AST3.5UNDER25%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

STL1.5UNDER51%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER2%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)9/2045%+9.1% edge▼

FTM2.5UNDER34%gbtAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼

FTA3UNDER41%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

3PA5UNDER41%gbtAvoid (6/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

REB5.5UNDER29%gbt_reboundsAvoid (5/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

VJ Edgecombe

Blocks OVER 0.5HIGH

Edgecombe's recent form shows 1.4 BPG over his last 5 games with multiple games at 2 blocks (vs POR, DET, SAS). This is well above the 0.5 line with a strong recent trend. The over has -210 odds at BetMGM, making it a high-confidence play despite the defensive matchup being unfavorable for his scoring.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Pickett	1	7	0	0%	0%
Christian Braun	1	2	2	0%	0%
Spencer Jones	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jamal Murray	1	2	2	0%	0%
Bruce Brown	2	2	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 18.562%MEDIUM

Denver's elite defense (116.96 rating) with strong three-point suppression (-0.617) should limit Edgecombe's scoring. His away scoring (15.9 PPG) and recent last-5 average (14.2 PPG) both fall below the 18.5 line, and he lacks volume against this opponent defensively.

reboundsOVER 5.568%MEDIUM

Edgecombe's last-5 and last-10 rebounding averages (6.0 and 6.2 RPG respectively) exceed the 5.5 line. He maintains consistent rebounding across home/away (6.1-6.2 RPG) and has grabbed double-digit rebounds in recent games (12 vs POR, 8 vs MIA, 7 vs IND/MIN).

assistsUNDER 3.558%MEDIUM

Last-5 APG (3.2) and last-10 APG (3.1) both sit below 3.5. While season average is 3.88, recent trend shows decline in playmaking volume, and away splits (3.2 APG) support the under in this Denver matchup.

threesOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Despite Denver's three-point suppression, Edgecombe's away splits show 2.48 FG3M per game and last-10 shows 1.7 FG3M. His season average is 1.98, supporting the slight edge over 1.5 on volume, though Denver's defense will test this prop.

stealsUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Last-5 steals average 1.2 per game, below the 1.5 line. Season average is 1.4 SPG with recent standard deviation of 1.13, suggesting lower-end variance. Away splits (1.3 SPG) provide modest support for the under.

blocksOVER 0.572%HIGH

Last-5 blocks average 1.4 BPG, well above 0.5. Recent games show 2 blocks vs POR, 1 vs BKN, 2 vs DET, and 2 vs SAS. Season average is 0.6 BPG, but recent form is elevated. This is a strong over bet.

praUNDER 27.564%MEDIUM

Combining last-5 averages: 14.2 PPG + 6.0 RPG + 3.2 APG = 23.4, below 27.5. Denver's defense will suppress points and three-point volume, limiting ceiling potential. Recent games show high variance, making the under more reliable.

prUNDER 23.560%MEDIUM

Last-5 points (14.2) + rebounds (6.0) = 20.2, below 23.5. Away scoring drops to 15.9 PPG, and while rebounding is strong, the combo falls short of the line against Denver's defensive pressure.

paUNDER 22.558%MEDIUM

Last-5 points (14.2) + assists (3.2) = 17.4, well below 22.5. Away splits show 15.9 PPG and 3.2 APG for a combo of 19.1. Denver's defense and limited playmaking volume support the under.

raOVER 8.570%HIGH

Last-5 rebounds (6.0) + assists (3.2) = 9.2, above 8.5. This is Edgecombe's most reliable combo, with consistent rebounding and steady playmaking. Strong over choice.

stocksOVER 268%MEDIUM

Last-5 combined steals + blocks (2.6) exceeds 2.0. Blocks have spiked recently (1.4 last-5 average) while steals remain solid (1.2), making this combo over attractive.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS