Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody | 3 | 14 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| Christian Braun | 2 | 12 | 81% | +29.5% | low |
| Keegan Murray | 2 | 11 | 54% | +4.5% | low |
| Jaden McDaniels | 2 | 11 | 67% |
Devin Booker is in elite form over his last 5 games, averaging 34.2 PPG—a significant 8.5-point spike from his season average of 25.7 PPG. He's coming off back-to-back 40+ and 43-point performances (vs BOS and IND) and maintains strong volume with 35.0 MPG in that window. Minnesota's defense (115.09 DEFRTG, -5.1% scoring suppression) sits well below league average, and Booker has historically dominated this matchup, averaging 25.9 PPG on 35.4 MPG over 17 career games. The Timberwolves' primary perimeter defender Anthony Edwards has allowed 33 PPG to guards in recent matchups.
Anthony Edwards will likely draw primary assignment on Booker and has allowed 33 PPG to guards recently, while Jaden McDaniels (allowing 21 PPG) offers an alternative but less effective matchup. Minnesota's overall league-worst defense (115.09 DEFRTG) provides minimal resistance to Booker's elite scoring rhythm.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Devin Booker▼ | Points | 28.5 | OVER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 34 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | Assists | 4.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Devin Booker▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 6 | ✗ |
Devin Booker▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 76%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 1 | ✗ |
Devin Booker▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | PRA | 37.5 | OVER | 79%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 43 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | P+A | 32.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 37 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | P+R | 33.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 40 | ✓ |
Devin Booker▼ | R+A | 9.5 | OVER | 71%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 9 | ✗ |
Booker's last 5 PA average is 39.8, and his 17-game history vs Minnesota shows elite production (25.9 PPG, 6.94 APG). The DraftKings 32.5 PA line is significantly undervalued, but a derived 39.5 line reflects his true ceiling. This combo isolates his two strongest categories in a favorable matchup where the Timberwolves' weak perimeter defense cannot contain his scoring or assist generation.
| low |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 10 | 71% | +11.6% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels | 2 | 11 | 7 | 67% | 67% |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 2 | 5 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0% |
| Rudy Gobert | 2 | 2 | 6 | 100% | 100% |
| Jaylen Clark | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Booker's last 5 average of 34.2 PPG significantly exceeds the 28.5 line. Recent elite form, favorable matchup vs weak MIN defense (115.09 DEFRTG), and career 25.9 PPG average against this opponent all support the over.
Booker averages 5.96 APG on the season and 5.6 in his last 5 games. Home/away splits show 6.75 APG at home, and his 17-game history vs MIN shows 6.94 APG. The 4.5 line sits 1.5 assists below his typical production.
Booker's season average of 3.98 RPG and last 5 average of 4.2 RPG sit just below the 4.5 line. Recent games show volatility (3–7 range), and as a guard in a back-to-back scenario (b2b_mean: 3.11), rebounds remain a secondary stat for him.
Booker's last 5 average is 2.6 3PM, well above the 1.5 line. Season average of 1.88 3PM also exceeds the line, and recent games show consistent 3-point volume (2–5 makes per game). MIN offers no three-point suppression (0.089 suppression).
Season stocks average of 1.17 (STL+BLK) falls short of 1.5. Last 5 average of 1.0 stocks reinforces this. While b2b games show slightly lower defensive activity, the line sits above his typical production.
Booker's last 5 PRA average (PPG 34.2 + APG 5.6 + RPG 4.2) = 44.0, significantly above 37.5. Recent games show consistent production across all three categories, making this combo a strong lean toward the over.
Points + Assists average 39.8 in the last 5 games (34.2 PPG + 5.6 APG), well ahead of the 32.5 line. Booker's scoring surge combined with above-average assist rates makes this combo highly favorable.
Points + Rebounds in the last 5 average 38.4 (34.2 + 4.2), exceeding the 33.5 line. Hot scoring stretch paired with solid rebounding makes the over the play here.
Rebounds + Assists last 5 average 9.8 (4.2 + 5.6), marginally above the 9.5 line. His historical 6.94 APG against MIN pushes this lean slightly to the over, though with moderate confidence due to b2b variability on boards.