Oso Ighodaro—

PHX · C

PPG

5.9

RPG

4.8

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

5.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

5.9

5.0

RPG-0.2

4.8

4.6

APG+1.7

2.1

3.8

SPG-0.5

0.9

0.4

BPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

17.5

BOS

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs BOS: 4 pts

LAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAL: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAC: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs CHI: 10 pts

NOP

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs NOP: 13 pts

CHA

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHA: 2 pts

MIL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MIL: 8 pts

IND

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs IND: 6 pts

TOR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs TOR: 5 pts

BOS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BOS: 4 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

REB

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

AST

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

70%

PRA

UNDER 28.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

P+R

UNDER 25.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

P+A

UNDER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

R+A

UNDER 11.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

72%

BLK

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.7

7.9

RPG

5.4

5.7

APG

2.5

4.0

vs MIN (H2H)5 games

PPG

5.8

RPG

3.4

APG

1.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nikola Jokić	3	15	75%	+4.6%	medium
Jaxson Hayes	4	13	0%	-65.4%	medium
Rudy Gobert	3	10	80%	+14.6%	medium
Deandre Ayton	4	10	100%

Ighodaro Faces Rudy Gobert Test on B2B Road Game

Oso Ighodaro has shown modest offensive uptick in recent outings (7.4 PPG last 10 games vs 5.9 season average), but tonight he faces a challenging Minnesota defense anchored by Rudy Gobert, who has limited him to 6 points on 100% FG in 9.6 minutes of past head-to-head play. Phoenix is on a back-to-back road trip, and while Ighodaro's rebounding remains stable (5.9 RPG last 10), the Timberwolves' elite rim protection and 115.09 defensive rating present a tough matchup. His assist projection (3.8 APG last 5 games) offers better value than scoring tonight.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.0(→ from 5.9)

RPG

4.6(→ from 4.8)

APG

3.8(↑ from 2.1)

Stocks

1.2(↓ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

Rudy Gobert's rim protection and elite defensive positioning present a significant challenge. Gobert's prior head-to-head data shows only 6 points allowed to Ighodaro in 9.6 minutes, reflecting Minnesota's ability to control the paint. However, Julius Randle's vulnerability (18 points allowed in limited minutes) and Naz Reid's minimal defensive pressure offer secondary opportunities if rotations shift.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Oso Ighodaro▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	16	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	10	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	4	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	PRA	28.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	30	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	P+R	25.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	26	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	P+A	20.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	20	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	R+A	11.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	14	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	72%HIGH	—	50%	3	✓
Oso Ighodaro▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Oso Ighodaro▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	60%	3	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R15.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Oso Ighodaro

Assists OVER 3.5HIGH

Ighodaro's assist trajectory is clearly positive: 3.5 APG last 10 games, 3.8 APG last 5 games, and 4.0 APG in road splits. On a B2B away game with elevated minutes (26-27 MPG recently), his playmaking role appears secure. This line at 3.5 aligns with current performance floor and offers positive expected value.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Rudy Gobert	3	10	9	80%	80%
Julius Randle	3	6	10	33%	33%
Jaden McDaniels	3	2	8	67%	67%
Naz Reid	3	2	0	0%	0%
Jaylen Clark	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 17.562%MEDIUM

Season average is 5.9 PPG and recent form sits at 5.0-7.4 PPG range. Gobert's defensive history vs Ighodaro (6 pts allowed) and Minnesota's -5.1% scoring suppression make this line inflated relative to player's actual production profile.

reboundsUNDER 7.568%MEDIUM

Ighodaro averages 4.8 RPG season-wide and 5.9 RPG last 10 games. At 7.5, this requires elite rebounding performance. vs Minnesota (not a specific opponent split available), line overvalues his typical rebound volume.

assistsOVER 3.570%HIGH

Last 5 games: 3.8 APG. Last 10 games: 3.5 APG. Away splits show 4.0 APG average. While on a B2B, increased minutes (26.2 MPG last 5) and improved playmaking trends suggest hitting 3.5 is highly probable.

praUNDER 28.565%MEDIUM

Combining season averages (PPG 5.9 + RPG 4.8 + APG 2.1 = 12.8) yields significant shortfall from 28.5. Even with recent uptick and elevated minutes, this line assumes outlier production levels unlikely vs elite Minnesota defense.

prUNDER 25.563%MEDIUM

Points (5.9) + Rebounds (4.8) = 10.7 season average. Recent 10-game PPG of 7.4 + RPG of 5.9 = 13.3. Line at 25.5 assumes sustained elite performance against a tough rim-protecting unit.

paUNDER 20.561%MEDIUM

Points (5.9 season) + Assists (2.1 season) = 8.0. Recent uptick in assists (3.8 last 5) boosts projection to ~8.8-9.0 combined, still well short of 20.5 line.

raUNDER 11.559%MEDIUM

Rebounds (4.8) + Assists (2.1) = 6.9 season average. Recent form (5.9 RPG + 3.5 APG last 10 = 9.4) is closer, but B2B fatigue and Minnesota's defensive intensity make 11.5 a modest overline.

stealsOVER 0.572%HIGH

Season SPG 0.9, last 5 games 0.4, but last 10 games 0.8 SPG. At 0.5 line, Ighodaro's defensive activity profile suggests slight edge to OVER, particularly given 26+ MPG and road motivation.

blocksOVER 0.565%MEDIUM

Season BPG 0.6 and last 10 games 0.9 BPG provide solid foundation. While facing elite ball-mover Gobert, Ighodaro's recent block activity (0.8 last 5, 0.9 last 10) makes 0.5 line easily reachable.

stocksOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

Season stocks (STL+BLK) 1.56, last 10 games 1.7, last 5 games 1.2. Recent defensive engagement and 27+ MPG last 10 games support hitting 1.5 combined steals+blocks threshold.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS