Julian Champagnie▲

SAS · PF

PPG

11.0

RPG

5.9

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

7.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.0

11.0

7.0

RPG-0.1

5.9

5.8

APG+0.1

1.5

1.6

SPG+0.4

0.8

1.2

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

BKN

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs BKN: 26 pts

NYK

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NYK: 3 pts

PHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHI: 10 pts

DET

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DET: 16 pts

LAC

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAC: 20 pts

HOU

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs HOU: 11 pts

BOS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BOS: 0 pts

DEN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DEN: 8 pts

CHA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs CHA: 9 pts

LAC

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAC: 7 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

REB

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

72%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

70%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

66%

P+A

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

P+R

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

PRA

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.5

10.6

RPG

5.6

5.0

APG

1.5

1.8

vs SAC (H2H)10 games

PPG

13.2

RPG

4.1

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	4	14	63%	+6.5%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	3	14	40%	-13.5%	medium
Jake LaRavia	4	13	50%	-3.5%	medium
Desmond Bane	2	11	54%

Champagnie faces defensive gauntlet but has offensive upside vs Sacramento

Julian Champagnie is on a back-to-back after limited rest, which historically elevates his scoring (14.31 PPG in B2B situations vs 11.0 season average). However, Sacramento's defense is well-above average (120.57 rating with 1.22 scoring suppression), and he'll encounter DeMar DeRozan and De'Aaron Fox—both of whom have allowed him to shoot efficiently in limited matchup samples. His last five games show a dip to 7.0 PPG despite maintaining 28.2 MPG, signaling recent struggles. Rebounds remain stable near 5.8-5.9 per game, offering the best floor.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.0(↓ from 11.0)

RPG

5.8(→ from 5.9)

APG

1.6(→ from 1.5)

3PM

1.2(↓ from 2.4)

Stocks

1.8(↑ from 1.2)

Key Matchup

Sacramento's DeMar DeRozan and De'Aaron Fox have allowed Champagnie to shoot efficiently in head-to-head samples (combining 36 minutes allowed 18 PPG on 73% FG), but Sacramento's team defense (120.57 rating, 1.22x scoring suppression) is elite. The low-rest back-to-back and recent offensive slump (7.0 PPG last 5) offset any individual matchup advantage.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Julian Champagnie▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	17	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Julian Champagnie▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	40%	1	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	5	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	70%HIGH	—	50%	0	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	P+A	12.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	18	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	18	✗
Julian Champagnie▼	PRA	17.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	19	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11UNDER15%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

AST2UNDER10%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x3/2015%▼

3PM2.5UNDER20%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

PRA19UNDER9%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼

REB6UNDER20%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

3PA6UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼

P+A12.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

FTA0.5UNDER6%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%▼

P+R16.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Julian Champagnie

Steals OVER 0.5MEDIUM

Champagnie's last-5 average of 1.2 steals per game and away-game average of 1.1 SPG significantly outpace the 0.5 line. Sacramento's offensive pace creates steal opportunities, and +125 odds provide favorable risk-reward relative to recent form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nique Clifford	3	5	5	50%	63%
Keegan Murray	1	5	9	80%	90%
DeMar DeRozan	3	3	6	60%	60%
Malik Monk	2	3	3	100%	150%
Russell Westbrook	3	3	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 10.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 games average 7.0 PPG despite 28+ MPG. Sacramento's defense (120.57 rating) is elite, and back-to-back fatigue with only 1-day rest offsets B2B scoring boost.

reboundsUNDER 5.562%MEDIUM

Season average 5.9 and last-5 average 5.8 are both below the 5.5 line. Consistent rebound floor but Sacramento's pace (100) isn't conducive to elevated rebound volume.

assistsOVER 1.572%HIGH

Season and last-5 averages both at 1.5-1.6 APG. Away splits show 1.8 APG. Positive odds (166) reflect undervaluation of assist consistency; expects underdog role facilitates more ball movement.

threesUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 1.2 3PM per game. Season long: 2.36 3PM. Recent cold stretch and Sacramento's three-point suppression (1.116x) argue against hitting 2.5 threshold.

stealsOVER 0.570%HIGH

Last 5 games: 1.2 SPG. Season: 0.8 SPG. Away splits show 1.1 SPG. Positive recent trend and Sacramento's offensive pace create steal opportunities; +125 odds offer value.

stocksOVER 1.566%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 1.8 stocks. Away splits: 1.59 stocks. Outperforms season average (1.24) on road; defensive activity has spiked recently.

paUNDER 12.564%MEDIUM

Points down to 7.0 (last 5), assists stable at 1.6—combined projection ~8.6. Sacramento's elite defense limits scoring component; combo plays below market expectation.

prUNDER 15.560%MEDIUM

Points (7.0 last 5) + rebounds (5.8 last 5) = 12.8 combined. Sacramento's defense suppresses scoring, and rebound line at 5.5 suggests modest ceiling for this combo.

praUNDER 17.562%MEDIUM

Last 5 games: 7.0 + 5.8 + 1.6 = 14.4 PRA. Season mean 18.5, but recent form significantly below. Elite opponent defense makes 17.5 a difficult target.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS