Luke Kornet▼

SAS · C

PPG

6.7

RPG

6.2

APG

1.8

L5 PPG

5.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.5

6.7

5.2

RPG-1.8

6.2

4.4

APG-0.2

1.8

1.6

SPG0.0

0.4

BPG-0.5

1.1

0.6

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

6.5

TOR

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs TOR: 6 pts

BKN

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs BKN: 6 pts

NYK

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NYK: 2 pts

PHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHI: 2 pts

DET

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DET: 2 pts

LAC

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAC: 10 pts

HOU

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs HOU: 2 pts

BOS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BOS: 4 pts

DEN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DEN: 0 pts

CHA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs CHA: 10 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5

72%

REB

UNDER 5.5

68%

AST

OVER 1.5

65%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 13.5

71%

P+R

UNDER 11

69%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

4.9

3.1

RPG

5.5

4.3

APG

1.9

1.2

vs SAC (H2H)7 games

PPG

6.9

RPG

5.7

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Zach Edey	2	17	44%	-20.3%	low
Derik Queen	3	15	64%	-0.4%	medium
Isaiah Hartenstein	3	14	71%	+6.6%	medium
Donovan Clingan	2	14	68%

Kornet's Minutes & Form Trending Down Ahead of Sacramento Road Trip

Luke Kornet is dealing with a right knee injury (Questionable status) and has been in a significant production decline over the last 10-20 games, averaging just 4.4 PPG and 4.1 RPG on 16.5 MPG. The Spurs are on a back-to-back after playing yesterday, and Kornet's recent games show sporadic playing time (ranging 8–25 minutes) with inconsistent offensive output (0–10 PPG range). Against Sacramento specifically, he has a modest 7-game history averaging 6.9 PPG, but the Kings' defense is moderately strong (120.57 DRtg, +1.22 scoring suppression), and Domantas Sabonis—the primary defender—has held opponents to 44% FG. The injury status and fatigue context make under-props the safer play.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.2(↓ from 6.7)

RPG

4.4(↓ from 6.2)

APG

1.6(→ from 1.8)

Stocks (STL+BLK)

1.0(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Domantas Sabonis is the primary defender and has allowed 17 points on 44% FG in limited matchup data. Sacramento's overall defense (120.57 DRtg, +1.22 scoring suppression) is slightly above average but not elite, though the Kings' pace (100) and general structure should limit Kornet's offensive opportunities given his reduced role and injury concerns.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Luke Kornet▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	80%	4	✓
Luke Kornet▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	10	✗
Luke Kornet▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	2	✓
Luke Kornet▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	90%	3	✗
Luke Kornet▼	PRA	13.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	1/2	70%	16	✗
Luke Kornet▼	P+R	11	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A6.5UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)7/1839%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼

P+R10OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)10/1856%▼

Featured Pick

Luke Kornet

Points UNDER 6.5MEDIUM

Kornet's last-10 PPG is 4.4, well below the projected line, and recent game logs show consistent low scoring (0–10 PPG range). Right knee injury (Questionable status) and B2B back-to-back fatigue further reduce scoring ceiling. Sacramento's defense is neutral to slightly positive, making a high-floor bet unlikely.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Domantas Sabonis	1	7	6	38%	38%
Dylan Cardwell	1	4	4	40%	40%
Drew Eubanks	2	4	8	80%	80%
Maxime Raynaud	2	2	8	67%	67%
DeMar DeRozan	3	1	4	67%	67%

pointsUNDER 6.572%HIGH

Kornet's last-10 average is 4.4 PPG on declining minutes (16.5 MPG). Recent games show sporadic scoring (0–10 PPG). Right knee injury (Questionable) and B2B fatigue further reduce ceiling.

reboundsUNDER 5.568%MEDIUM

Last-10 rebound average is 4.1 per game vs. season 6.2. Declining minutes and recent game logs (1–8 rebounds) indicate lower rebounding activity. Playing time volatility is a risk factor.

assistsOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Season average is 1.82 APG with a 1.19 std; last-5 sits at 1.6. Home splits favor assists (1.9 APG), though this is an away game. Modest upside but dependent on minutes allocation.

stocksUNDER 1.570%HIGH

Last-5 stocks (STL+BLK) average 1.0 per game; last-10 is 0.7. One-game sample (2 STL, 2 BLK vs. DEN) was an outlier. Recent defensive production has trended downward with limited minutes.

praUNDER 13.571%HIGH

Points (4.4), Rebounds (4.1), and Assists (1.3) combined in last-10 yields ~9.8 per game. Injury status and B2B context tilt this under; season PRA would be ~14.7 but recent form and usage suggest a floor closer to 10.

prUNDER 1169%MEDIUM

Last-10 Points (4.4) + Rebounds (4.1) = 8.5 combined per game. Recent volatility and reduced minutes make the projected 11.0 line optimistic; recent trend favors under.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS