Malik Monk▲

SAC · PG

PPG

12.6

RPG

1.9

APG

2.7

L5 PPG

15.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.4

12.6

15.0

RPG-0.1

1.9

1.8

APG+0.5

2.7

3.2

SPG-0.6

0.6

0.0

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

OVER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

ORL

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs ORL: 14 pts

SAS

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs SAS: 19 pts

MEM

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs MEM: 10 pts

HOU

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs HOU: 7 pts

DAL

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs DAL: 8 pts

LAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAL: 10 pts

PHX

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHX: 13 pts

NOP

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs NOP: 18 pts

CHI

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHI: 30 pts

IND

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs IND: 4 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 13.5STAKE

76%

AST

UNDER 3.5STAKE

64%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

68%

3PM

OVER 2

71%

STL

UNDER 0.5STAKE

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1

66%

P+A

OVER 16.5STAKE

73%

P+R

OVER 15.5STAKE

75%

R+A

UNDER 5.5STAKE

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

11.7

RPG

1.7

1.8

APG

2.9

3.3

vs SAS (H2H)15 games

PPG

17.9

RPG

3.7

APG

4.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tim Hardaway Jr.	3	10	63%	+6.5%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	9	71%	+13.6%	medium
Aaron Holiday	3	9	38%	-18.5%	medium
Gabe Vincent	3	8	0%

Monk Surges at Home vs. Spurs Defense; Points OVER Sweet Spot

Malik Monk is on an upward trend with 15.0 PPG over his last 5 games, significantly above his season average of 12.6 PPG. Playing at home tonight—where he averages 15.6 PPG and 2.8 3PM—gives him a meaningful boost against San Antonio's below-average defense (111.88 def rating, -0.795 scoring suppression). His head-to-head record vs. the Spurs is exceptional: 17.9 PPG on 29.6 minutes across 15 games, with his last meeting on Feb 21 yielding 19 points in 28 minutes. The 13.5 points line is conservative given his recent form and home advantage.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.0(↑ from 12.6)

3PM

2.0(→ from 2.0)

APG

3.2(↑ from 2.7)

Home PPG

15.0(→ from 15.6)

Key Matchup

Julian Champagnie will likely draw primary assignment but has allowed 24 PPG on 54.5% FG in limited minutes (18.2 MP). Devin Vassell (10.7 MP) and Keldon Johnson (10.7 MP) offer rotation depth but neither has significant recent volume against Monk.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Malik Monk▼	Points	13.5	OVER	76%HIGH	1/2	40%
Malik Monk▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Malik Monk▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%
Malik Monk▼	3PM	2	OVER	71%HIGH	1/2	40%
Malik Monk▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	—	80%
Malik Monk▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%
Malik Monk▼	STL+BLK	1	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	90%
Malik Monk▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	73%HIGH	2/2	40%
Malik Monk▼	P+R	15.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2	40%
Malik Monk▼	R+A	5.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

REB1.5OVER36%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA18UNDER20%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PTS11.5UNDER4%gbt_pointsAvoid (6/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTA2UNDER39%gbtAvoid (6/20)5/2025%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R14.5UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A17UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (6/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

AST4UNDER2%gbt_assistsAvoid (5/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PM2UNDER16%gbt_three_pmAvoid (5/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PA5UNDER30%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (5/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

FTM1UNDER25%gbtAvoid (4/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

Featured Pick

Malik Monk

Points OVER 13.5HIGH

Monk's last-5 average of 15.0 PPG sits 1.5 points above the line. His home/away split is dramatic (15.6 vs. 11.7 PPG), and tonight he plays at home. Most critically, his career average vs. San Antonio is 17.9 PPG across 15 games, with his most recent matchup (Feb 21) generating 19 points in 28 minutes at Sacramento. Line appears set at season average and does not account for elite history vs. this specific opponent or recent upward trend.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Devin Vassell	2	5	7	50%	63%
Julian Champagnie	2	3	0	0%	0%
Harrison Barnes	2	3	9	75%	100%
Dylan Harper	1	2	4	50%	50%
Keldon Johnson	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 13.576%HIGH

Last 5 games average 15.0 PPG; home splits show 15.6 PPG; vs. Spurs career average 17.9 PPG across 15 games with most recent outing at 19 points.

assistsUNDER 3.564%MEDIUM

Last 5 average 3.2 APG and season mean is 2.66; line sits 0.84 above recent mean. High variance in assists (std 1.76 recent) creates uncertainty.

reboundsUNDER 2.568%MEDIUM

Season mean 1.92 RPG and last 5 average 1.8 RPG; Monk rarely crashes boards in rotation role. Line overestimates rebound opportunity.

threesOVER 271%HIGH

Home 3PM average 2.8 per game; season mean 2.02. Spurs allow -0.459 three-point suppression (slightly permissive). Line projected at season average undervalues home splits.

stealsUNDER 0.565%MEDIUM

Season mean 0.6 SPG but last 5 average 0.0 SPG; recent form shows decline in defensive activity. Even-money odds on 0.5 line offer no edge.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

Season mean 0.4 BPG; last 5 average 0.2 BPG. Monk is a guard with limited shot-blocking volume. Heavy -323 under odds confirm low expectation.

stocksUNDER 166%MEDIUM

Season mean 0.94 stocks; last 5 average 0.2 stocks. Recent defensive decline not justified by line at exactly season mean.

paOVER 16.573%HIGH

Points 15.0 last-5 average + Assists 3.2 last-5 average = 18.2 projected; line 16.5 sits below recent combined output. Home advantage amplifies scoring floor.

prOVER 15.575%HIGH

Points 15.0 last-5 + Rebounds 1.8 last-5 = 16.8; home PPG 15.6 + RPG 1.7 = 17.3. Line slightly conservative vs. recent home performance.

raUNDER 5.570%HIGH

Rebounds 1.8 last-5 + Assists 3.2 last-5 = 5.0; seasonal split shows 2.89 home APG + 1.93 home RPG = 4.82. Line overvalues rebound + assist pairing.

timelineOVER 13.5 PTS