Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels | 2 | 6 | 65% | -16.9% | low |
| Nikola Jokić | 1 | 4 | 67% | -21.3% | low |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 2 | 4 | 50% | -26.9% | low |
| Jericho Sims | 2 | 3 | 100% |
Mason Plumlee is seeing drastically reduced minutes (6.4 MPG last 5 games) and is firmly in a reserve rotation role for San Antonio. His season averages are minimal across the board (1.6 PPG, 2.7 RPG in 8.2 MPG), and recent games show a downward trend with particularly low offensive output. While he does have a strong historical matchup versus Sacramento (7.4 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 3.2 APG in 22.8 MPG in prior meetings), those numbers came when he was getting substantial playing time—a situation unlikely to repeat given his current bench role. Sacramento's defense ranks in the bottom 10 (120.57 defensive rating), which would normally be encouraging, but Plumlee's limited opportunity and the Spurs' back-to-back situation further constrain upside.
Domantas Sabonis is Sacramento's primary defender and has logged extensive minutes (38.9 per game vs. Plumlee historically). While Sacramento's overall defense is weak (120.57 rating), Sabonis remains a capable interior defender who will likely limit Plumlee's opportunities in the paint. The Kings' weak defense doesn't provide much relief given Plumlee's severely limited role.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Plumlee▼ | Points | 2.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% |
Mason Plumlee▼ | Rebounds | 3 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Mason Plumlee▼ | Assists | 1 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% |
Mason Plumlee▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Plumlee's minutes have contracted sharply to 6.4 MPG over the last 5 games, and he's averaging just 1.2 PPG in that span. Even though he historically performs well vs. Sacramento in meaningful playing time (7.4 PPG), his current bench role and negative trend make the under the better play. The Spurs' back-to-back status further reduces opportunity.
| low |
| Jarrett Allen | 2 | 2 | 50% | -26.9% | low |
Plumlee is averaging just 1.2 PPG over his last 5 games with only 6.4 MPG. Even against a weak defensive opponent, his role is too limited and recent scoring trend too negative to support over a 2.5 line.
Last 5 average is 2.4 RPG with declining MPG. While his season average sits at 2.7 and he has slight upside in fewer minutes played, the downward trajectory and limited opportunity make the under slightly favored.
Last 5 APG is just 0.4, well below his season average of 1.0. Despite a strong home game history (3.2 APG away), Plumlee's current role and reduced minutes make assists difficult to project above the line.
Plumlee has averaged 0.6 stocks over last 5 games and 0.7 in last 10, slightly above his season mean of 0.47. Even with limited minutes, his defensive activity has been consistent enough to edge over a 0.5 threshold.