Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 3 | 22 | 95% | +23.3% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 4 | 21 | 63% | +6.3% | medium |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 2 | 16 | 40% | -16.7% | low |
| Jay Huff | 2 | 16 | 43% |
Maxime Raynaud is in excellent form over his last 5 games, averaging 15.8 PPG and 9.0 RPG while playing 31.2 MPG—a significant spike from his 25.2 season average. His last 10-game stretch shows sustained excellence at 16.0 PPG and 8.7 RPG. San Antonio's defense ranks 111.88 in defensive rating with a scoring suppression of -0.795, offering limited resistance. In his lone head-to-head meeting vs the Spurs (Feb 21), Raynaud posted 16 PPG, 12 RPG, and 3 APG in 26 minutes, suggesting easy scoring opportunity. His 56.8% FG efficiency and aggressive rebounding (7.3 RPG season, 9.0 last 5) align perfectly with matchup weakness.
Victor Wembanyama allowed 19 points on 57% FG in 6 prior minutes vs Raynaud (Feb 21), indicating susceptibility to interior offense. San Antonio's 111.88 defensive rating ranks among NBA's weakest, providing minimal rim protection or perimeter coverage challenges.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maxime Raynaud▼ | Points | 14.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 32 | ✓ |
Maxime Raynaud▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 9 | ✓ |
Maxime Raynaud▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Maxime Raynaud▼ | PRA | 25.5 | OVER | 76%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 44 | ✓ |
Maxime Raynaud▼ | P+R | 23.5 | OVER | 74%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 41 | ✓ |
Maxime Raynaud▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Raynaud's last 5 composite of 24.8 (PPG+RPG) sits comfortably above this line with high floor given his recent 31.2 MPG average and hot shooting (56.8% FG). H2H precedent (28 combined) and Spurs' weak interior defense create favorable conditions for continued excellence in both categories.
| low |
| Mark Williams | 4 | 15 | 50% | -6.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 2 | 10 | 33 | 57% | 61% |
| Luke Kornet | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Bismack Biyombo | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Stephon Castle | 2 | 2 | 5 | 50% | 63% |
| Carter Bryant | 2 | 2 | 5 | 33% | 50% |
Raynaud averaging 15.8 PPG over last 5 games with elite 56.8% FG efficiency. Spurs' 111.88 defensive rating and -0.795 scoring suppression offer minimal resistance. Prior H2H (Feb 21) produced 16 PPG in 26 minutes.
Last 5 average of 9.0 RPG and last 10 average of 8.7 RPG both exceed 8.5 line. H2H matchup yielded 12 rebounds in just 26 minutes. Consistent rebounder against weak interior defense.
Last 5 games averaging 1.8 APG and last 10 at 1.7 APG slightly favor over. Recent uptick suggests increased playmaking role. H2H vs Spurs showed 3 assists in 26 minutes.
Last 5 composite (15.8 PPG + 9.0 RPG + 1.8 APG = 26.6) sits comfortably above 25.5. Recent form and minutes increase (31.2 MPG last 5) support sustained production across all three categories.
Last 5 points+rebounds average (15.8 + 9.0 = 24.8) exceeds 23.5. Consistent double-digit scoring paired with 9+ boards makes this combo highly probable. H2H was 28 combined (16+12).
Last 5 games averaging 1.6 BPG, well above 0.5 line. Trend is clearly up from 0.5 season average. Recent games show 3, 2, 0, 0 blocks—volatility exists but upside favors over against weaker interior.