Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 3 | 15 | 50% | +3.0% | medium |
| Duncan Robinson | 2 | 8 | 58% | +8.6% | low |
| Amen Thompson | 3 | 8 | 33% | -8.1% | medium |
| Reed Sheppard | 4 | 8 | 57% |
Nique Clifford has been a revelation over his last 10 games, averaging 13.0 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 3.8 APG on 34.1 MPG—a dramatic leap from his season baseline of 7.6 PPG on 23.6 minutes. He's particularly strong at home (13.0 PPG) and his last-10 assist rate (3.8 APG) suggests increased offensive responsibility. San Antonio's defense ranks 111.88 in rating with minimal scoring suppression (-0.795), presenting an opportunity for elevated production. Clifford's recent streak includes a 26-point outburst vs. LAL and consistent double-digit scoring, though his 4.5 PPG average vs. SAS historically suggests caution.
San Antonio's weak perimeter defense (3-point suppression -0.459) and high defensive rating (111.88) offer a favorable environment. Limited head-to-head data vs. Spurs (4.5 PPG in 2 prior games) is a minor red flag, but recent improvements in role and minutes suggest Clifford's current form may overpower historical splits.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nique Clifford▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 15 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 8 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 7 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Nique Clifford▼ | Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
Nique Clifford▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 73%HIGH | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | PRA | 19.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 30 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | P+R | 15.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 23 | ✓ |
Nique Clifford▼ | STL+BLK | 2 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Clifford's last-10 combined average is 22.1 (13.0 PPG + 5.3 RPG + 3.8 APG), providing a 2.6-point cushion above the line. Extended 34.1 MPG, elevated role, and Spurs' weak defense create a high-probability scenario. This combo captures his well-rounded recent contributions.
| medium |
| Deni Avdija | 3 | 7 | 50% | +4.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie | 3 | 5 | 5 | 40% | 50% |
| Stephon Castle | 3 | 4 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Keldon Johnson | 3 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Dylan Harper | 2 | 4 | 7 | 60% | 70% |
| Carter Bryant | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Last-10 average of 13.0 PPG on 34.1 MPG, recent home performance 13.0 PPG, and weak Spurs defense (111.88 rating) support exceeding the line. Home-court advantage and elevated role reinforce bullish case.
Last-10 average 5.3 RPG and last-5 average 4.6 RPG exceed the 4.5 line. Extended minutes (34.1 MPG) and increased volume create rebound opportunity.
Last-10 average 3.8 APG and last-5 average 3.8 APG are right at/above the line. Clifford's expanded offensive role over recent stretch supports surpassing 3.5.
Last-10 average 1.4 3PM falls slightly short of 1.5. While recent uptick exists, consistency is mixed with games ranging 0–3 made threes. Line is slightly elevated relative to rolling average.
Last-10 average 1.9 SPG and last-5 average 1.8 SPG comfortably exceed 1.5. Defensive intensity on recent film supports this prop.
Season average 0.3 BPG and last-10 average 0.4 BPG are below the 0.5 line. Clifford is not a shot-blocker; limited defensive role makes this a fade.
Last-10 cumulative (PPG 13.0 + APG 3.8 + RPG 5.3 = 22.1) exceeds 19.5. Recent production trends and elevated minutes support the over.
Last-10 average PPG (13.0) + RPG (5.3) = 18.3, well above 15.5. Home court and recent form solidify this prop.
Last-10 combined steals + blocks average 2.3, last-5 average 2.2. Defensive activity remains elevated; exceeding 2.0 is likely.