Russell Westbrook▼

SAC · PG

PPG

15.4

RPG

5.5

APG

6.6

L5 PPG

17.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.8

15.4

17.2

RPG+1.3

5.5

6.8

APG+3.0

6.6

9.6

SPG+0.9

1.3

2.2

BPG0.0

0.2

OVER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

16.5

ORL

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs ORL: 5 pts

SAS

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs SAS: 7 pts

MEM

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs MEM: 25 pts

HOU

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs HOU: 22 pts

LAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAL: 14 pts

PHX

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHX: 16 pts

NOP

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs NOP: 19 pts

CHI

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CHI: 23 pts

IND

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs IND: 16 pts

LAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAC: 12 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 16.5BETMGM

72%

AST

OVER 6.5FANDUEL

78%

REB

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

68%

3PM

OVER 1.5BETMGM

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

70%

PRA

OVER 30.5BETMGM

74%

P+A

OVER 24.5BETMGM

72%

P+R

OVER 23.5BETMGM

70%

R+A

OVER 12.5BETMGM

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.0

15.0

RPG

3.5

4.3

APG

6.8

4.6

vs SAS (H2H)18 games

PPG

14.9

RPG

7.3

APG

6.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Amen Thompson	3	13	50%	+7.3%	medium
Luka Dončić	3	12	67%	+24.0%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	3	11	71%	+24.0%	medium
Aaron Gordon	2	11	75%

Westbrook Surges at Home: Elevated Assist Volume & Scoring Line Play vs. Spurs

Russell Westbrook has caught fire in his last 5 games, averaging 17.2 PPG, 9.6 APG, and 32.4 MPG—a significant uptick from his season norms. Playing at home in Sacramento, he averages 17.0 PPG and 6.8 APG, showing clear home-court advantage. Against the Spurs specifically (18 career meetings), Westbrook averages 14.9 PPG, 7.3 RPG, and 6.5 APG at 30.5 MPG. The Spurs' defense ranks bottom-third (111.88 DRTG) with modest three-point suppression. Most critically, Westbrook's recent 5-game window shows elevated assists (9.6 APG) well above his 6.5 sportsbook line across multiple books.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.2(↑ from 15.4)

APG

9.6(↑ from 6.6)

RPG

6.8(↑ from 5.5)

Stocks

2.4(↑ from 1.5)

3PM

2.4(→ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

Devin Vassell is the primary defender with 11 points allowed on 41.7% FG. Keldon Johnson's ultra-low 5.3% FG (1-of-19) suggests Sacramento exploitation. The Spurs' 111.88 DRTG and minimal three-point suppression (-0.459) align poorly with stopping Westbrook's elevated assist volume and home-court efficiency.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Russell Westbrook▼	Points	16.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	40%	5	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	Assists	6.5	OVER	78%HIGH	2/2	60%	10	✓
Russell Westbrook▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	1	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	—	40%	0	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	PRA	30.5	OVER	74%HIGH	1/2	50%	16	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	P+A	24.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	50%	15	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	P+R	23.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	6	✗
Russell Westbrook▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	11	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS14UNDER14%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

REB3OVER34%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

AST5OVER48%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 7x9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA6UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

P+R18.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A20.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

3PM2UNDER49%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

FTM1.5UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

PRA23UNDER2%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 6x7/2035%▼

STL1UNDER33%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%▼

FTA2UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

Featured Pick

Russell Westbrook

Assists OVER 6.5HIGH

Westbrook's last 5 average of 9.6 APG is 3.1 assists above the 6.5 line. Season stats (6.58 mean) sit right at the line, but his recent 5-game surge is undeniable. Against a mediocre Spurs defense and with elevated home minutes (29.1 MPG home vs. 26.8 away), the over represents the highest-conviction play. Bet this across multiple books offering favorable odds.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
De'Aaron Fox	3	7	16	58%	67%
Harrison Barnes	3	5	5	50%	63%
Julian Champagnie	3	4	3	100%	150%
Stephon Castle	3	4	3	33%	33%
Devin Vassell	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 16.572%HIGH

Last 5 average of 17.2 PPG exceeds the 16.5 line. Home splits (17.0 PPG) and recent surge momentum support over. Season std dev of 6.16 creates variance, but hot stretch justifies slight edge.

assistsOVER 6.578%HIGH

Last 5 average of 9.6 APG significantly outpaces 6.5 line. Recent 10-game average remains elevated at 6.6. Spurs allow neutral assist opportunities. This is Westbrook's clearest edge.

reboundsOVER 5.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 average of 6.8 RPG exceeds the 5.5 line. Westbrook's recent rebound surge has been notable. Season std dev of 3.56 and recent std of 3.82 create some variance, but momentum favors over.

threesOVER 1.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 average of 2.4 3PM and season average of 2.03 PPM exceed 1.5 line. Home splits show 2.42 3PM. Recent 10-game average dips to 1.9, showing some regression, but still favors over at 1.5.

stocksOVER 1.570%HIGH

Last 5 average of 2.4 stocks (STL+BLK) and recent 10-game of 1.6 both exceed 1.5 projected line. Season mean of 1.48 suggests close variance, but recent uptick supports over.

praOVER 30.574%HIGH

Last 5 combined (PPG 17.2 + APG 9.6 + RPG 6.8 = 33.6) well exceeds 30.5. Recent hot streak and home advantage support strong over case.

paOVER 24.572%HIGH

Last 5 points (17.2) + assists (9.6) = 26.8, exceeding 24.5 line. Season home splits (17.0 PPG + 6.8 APG = 23.8) are close, but recent surge pushes over.

prOVER 23.570%HIGH

Last 5 points (17.2) + rebounds (6.8) = 24.0, marginally above 23.5. Recent rebound spike provides edge, though rebounds remain more volatile than points.

raOVER 12.568%MEDIUM

Last 5 rebounds (6.8) + assists (9.6) = 16.4, exceeding 12.5 line comfortably. Recent assist and rebound surge support over.

timelineOVER 16.5 PTS