Victor Wembanyama—

SAS · C

PPG

24.3

RPG

11.1

APG

2.9

L5 PPG

29.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.3

24.3

29.6

RPG-0.3

11.1

10.8

APG+0.1

2.9

3.0

SPG+0.4

1.0

1.4

BPG+0.6

3.0

3.6

OVER 25.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

25.5

TOR

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs TOR: 12 pts

BKN

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs BKN: 12 pts

NYK

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NYK: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs PHI: 10 pts

DET

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DET: 38 pts

LAC

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAC: 27 pts

HOU

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs HOU: 29 pts

BOS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs BOS: 39 pts

CHA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs CHA: 32 pts

LAC

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs LAC: 21 pts

Over 25.5

Under 25.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 25.5FANDUEL

78%

REB

OVER 11.5FANDUEL

68%

AST

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

72%

BLK

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

70%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

65%

STL+BLK

OVER 4.5

74%

PRA

OVER 39.5FANDUEL

76%

P+R

OVER 36.5FANDUEL

75%

R+A

OVER 14.5FANDUEL

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

27.3

21.2

RPG

11.6

10.7

APG

3.1

3.3

vs SAC (H2H)5 games

PPG

28.4

RPG

13.0

APG

5.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Draymond Green	4	26	37%	-20.8%	medium
Jusuf Nurkić	3	23	38%	-18.7%	medium
Alperen Sengun	4	20	67%	+15.9%	medium
Daniel Gafford	2	15	44%

Wembanyama Primed for Scoring in Matchup vs. Kings' Weak Interior Defense

Victor Wembanyama is in elite form over his last 5 games, averaging 29.6 PPG while maintaining his elite defensive presence (5.0 stocks). Against Sacramento, he has strong historical splits, averaging 28.4 PPG over 5 games with a 32.4 MPG pace. The Kings' defense allows 120.57 DRTG with poor interior suppression—Domantas Sabonis has allowed 42 points in 24.1 minutes against Wembanyama. While SAS is on a back-to-back (which historically suppresses his scoring to 22.36 PPG), his recent momentum and Sacramento's defensive vulnerability outweigh that concern.

Stat Trends

PPG

29.6(↑ from 24.3)

RPG

10.8(→ from 11.1)

Stocks (STL+BLK)

5.0(↑ from 4.0)

3PM

2.8(↑ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

Domantas Sabonis is Wembanyama's primary defender and has allowed 42 points in 24.1 minutes (60.7% FG) in their head-to-head matchups, signaling Sacramento's interior defense is vulnerable to his size and skill. The Kings' league-poor 120.57 DRTG creates a favorable environment for Wembanyama's scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Victor Wembanyama▼	Points	25.5	OVER	78%HIGH	1/2	50%	18	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	Rebounds	11.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	8	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%	3	✓
Victor Wembanyama▼	Blocks	3.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	80%	1	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	STL+BLK	4.5	OVER	74%HIGH	—	70%	1	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	PRA	39.5	OVER	76%HIGH	1/2	40%	29	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	P+R	36.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2	60%	26	✗
Victor Wembanyama▼	R+A	14.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	11	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA39OVER24%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +4.0▼

PTS25.5UNDER24%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

BLK4UNDER52%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA6UNDER48%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x9/2045%▼

P+A29.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

FTM4.5UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA5.5UNDER1%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -4.0▼

R+A15.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+R38UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

REB12UNDER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

AST3UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

STL1UNDER35%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x7/2035%▼

3PM2UNDER47%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

Featured Pick

Victor Wembanyama

Points + Rebounds OVER 36.5HIGH

Wembanyama averages 40.4 PPG + RPG over the last 5 games and 41.4 PPG + RPG vs. Sacramento career (28.4 PPG, 13.0 RPG). The Kings' weak interior allows him to operate freely. Back-to-back fatigue is secondary to matchup advantage and recent elite form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Maxime Raynaud	2	13	20	35%	35%
Precious Achiuwa	2	2	4	50%	50%
DeMar DeRozan	2	2	6	50%	50%
Drew Eubanks	1	1	0	0%	0%
Russell Westbrook	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 25.578%HIGH

Last 5 games: 29.6 PPG. Vs. Sacramento: 28.4 PPG career. Kings allow 120.57 DRTG; Sabonis allowed 42 points in 24.1 minutes vs. Wembanyama. Back-to-back concern mitigated by recent elite scoring form.

reboundsOVER 11.568%MEDIUM

Season: 11.1 RPG, Last 5: 10.8 RPG. Home/away split shows 10.28 RPG away, but vs. Sacramento he averages 13.0 RPG across matchups. Slight lean OVER given opponent trends.

assistsOVER 2.572%HIGH

Last 10: 3.2 APG. Vs. Sacramento: 5.4 APG career (elite playmaking vs. this team). Recent trend shows 3.0 APG over last 5. Line is conservative relative to head-to-head history.

blocksOVER 3.570%HIGH

Last 10: 4.0 BPG. Last 5: 3.6 BPG. Recent games show consistent 4+ blocks. FanDuel line at 3.5 is value; he's been well above this threshold.

threesOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Last 5: 4.2 3PM. Last 20: 2.2 3PM. Recent uptick in 3-point volume (8 3PM vs. BOS, 5 3PM vs. CHA). Line at 2.5 is below recent average; mild OVER lean.

stocksOVER 4.574%HIGH

Last 5: 5.0 stocks. Last 10: 5.3 stocks. Season mean: 4.02 with recent std of 1.55 (tight cluster). Projected line 4.5 aligns with recent floor.

praOVER 39.576%HIGH

Last 5: 29.6 PPG + 3.0 APG + 10.8 RPG = 43.4 combined. Vs. Sacramento: 28.4 + 5.4 + 13.0 = 46.8. Line at 39.5 sits well below recent output.

prOVER 36.575%HIGH

Last 5: 29.6 PPG + 10.8 RPG = 40.4. Vs. Sacramento career: 28.4 + 13.0 = 41.4. Line is conservative; strong OVER value.

raOVER 14.568%MEDIUM

Last 5: 10.8 RPG + 3.0 APG = 13.8. Vs. Sacramento: 13.0 + 5.4 = 18.4 career. Line at 14.5 is just above recent 5-game baseline; marginal OVER given opponent edge.

timelineOVER 25.5 PTS