AI Model:

Dyson Daniels▼

ATL · SF

PPG

11.5

RPG

6.7

APG

6.1

L5 PPG

13.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

11.5

13.2

RPG+2.3

6.7

9.0

APG-1.3

6.1

4.8

SPG-0.1

1.9

1.8

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

MIA

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs MIA: 4 pts

BKN

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs BKN: 7 pts

WAS

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs WAS: 6 pts

WAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs WAS: 13 pts

POR

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs POR: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MIL: 14 pts

PHI

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs PHI: 15 pts

DAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DAL: 14 pts

MIL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIL: 8 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 15 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5FANDUEL

56%

REB

OVER 6.5FANDUEL

64%

AST

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

53%

STL

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5FANDUEL

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 2.5

68%

P+R

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

55%

R+A

OVER 12.5FANDUEL

63%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.7

12.5

RPG

7.2

5.8

APG

6.1

5.0

vs DAL (H2H)10 games

PPG

10.2

RPG

4.6

APG

4.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Brunson	3	25	50%	-3.3%	medium
Cade Cunningham	3	21	38%	-14.2%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	2	20	50%	-7.3%	low
Brandon Ingram	4	18	83%

Dyson Daniels’ stocks and boards keep the floor high, but the scoring line looks tricky

Daniels is averaging 11.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG, and 6.1 APG on the season while logging 33.4 MPG, with his last 5 showing a bump to 13.2 PPG and 9.0 RPG. The trend is marked down overall, though his last 10 still show strong all-around production, especially 2.4 SPG and 2.9 stocks. Against Dallas, he has 10 games of history with 10.2 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 4.7 APG, and the game environment is not especially fast at a 100 pace. His recent workload and defensive numbers point to steadier value in rebounds/stocks than chasing a big scoring spike.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.2(↑ from 11.5)

RPG

9.0(↑ from 6.7)

APG

4.8(↓ from 6.1)

Stocks

2.6(↑ from 2.3)

Key Matchup

There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so no specific defender matchup data. Dallas has a 118.26 defensive rating and the game pace is 100, which points to a more controlled scoring environment than a track meet.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dyson Daniels▼	Points	11.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	19	✓
Dyson Daniels▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	6	✗
Dyson Daniels▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	4	✗
Dyson Daniels▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	80%	2	✓
Dyson Daniels▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Dyson Daniels▼	STL+BLK	2.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✗
Dyson Daniels▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	25	✗
Dyson Daniels▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	10	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

P+A17.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A13UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Dyson Daniels

Steals OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the clearest edge in the profile because Daniels is averaging 1.9 steals on the season and 2.4 over his last 10. The recent form is strong, the line is only 1.5, and his defensive activity has been consistent even with the broader trend marked down.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cooper Flagg	2	12	10	45%	45%
Khris Middleton	2	2	0	0%	0%
Naji Marshall	2	2	0	0%	0%
Max Christie	2	2	0	0%	0%
Klay Thompson	2	2	7	60%	70%

pointsOVER 11.556%MEDIUM

He is averaging 11.5 PPG on the season and 13.2 PPG over his last 5, so this sits right on the season mean with recent form leaning slightly up. Dallas has allowed him 14 points in their most recent meeting on 2026-03-10.

reboundsOVER 6.564%MEDIUM

Daniels is at 6.7 RPG for the season and 8.0 RPG across his last 10, with 9.0 RPG in the last 5. The recent rebounding trend is stronger than the season baseline, making 6.5 playable.

assistsOVER 5.553%MEDIUM

His season mean is 6.1 APG and his last 10 are exactly 6.0 APG, so the line is close to his typical output. The last 5 dipped to 4.8 APG, which keeps confidence moderate.

stealsOVER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 1.9 SPG on the season and 2.4 SPG over the last 10, which is well above the 1.5 line. His last 5 still sit at 1.8 SPG, so the defensive playmaking remains strong.

blocksUNDER 0.561%MEDIUM

Daniels is only at 0.4 BPG for the season, below the 0.5 threshold. Even though he has 0.8 BPG in the last 5, the season profile still leans under.

stocksOVER 2.568%MEDIUM

He averages 2.33 stocks on the season and 2.9 over the last 10, with 2.6 in the last 5. That gives him a solid chance to clear a projected mid-2s number.

prUNDER 18.555%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds sits at 18.2 using 11.5 PPG and 6.7 RPG, and his last 10 are 18.8 using 10.8 PPG and 8.0 RPG. With the line at 18.5, this is a tight call but slightly under on the season blend.

raOVER 12.563%MEDIUM

He combines for 12.8 rebounds plus assists on the season and 14.0 over his last 10. The recent rebounding surge supports the over more than the season average alone.

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Dyson Daniels’ stocks and boards keep the floor high, but the scoring line looks tricky

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 11.5 PTS