Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 3 | 17 | 50% | +1.2% | medium |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 3 | 16 | 66% | +10.2% | medium |
| CJ McCollum | 4 | 16 | 42% | -2.6% | medium |
| Stephen Curry | 2 | 13 | 60% |
Max Christie is averaging 12.5 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 2.1 assists on the season across 29.4 minutes, but his last-5 scoring has dipped to 10.4 points and his last-10 to 9.7. He is still playing starter minutes, and the recent game logs show he can pop for useful three-point volume, but the distribution has been volatile with several low-assist and low-rebound outings. Against Atlanta, the matchup profile is mixed: the Hawks allow a 116.56 defensive rating environment and play at a 100 pace, while Christie’s head-to-head sample versus this opponent is only 8.43 points in 23.29 minutes. The market is hanging his points around 11.5-13.5, which is close to his season average but above his recent form.
There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so the strongest input is the team environment: Atlanta has a 116.56 defensive rating and a 100 pace, with a scoring suppression of 0.285 and three-point suppression of -0.281. Christie has also averaged only 8.43 points in 7 games against Atlanta, which reinforces a modest scoring outlook.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Christie▼ | Points | 11.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 13 | ✗ |
Max Christie▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Max Christie▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% | 1 | ✗ |
Max Christie▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Max Christie▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Max Christie▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Max Christie▼ | PRA | 16.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 16 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest numbers-based angle because Christie averages 2.35 threes per game on the season and 2.4 over the last-5, with starter-level minutes still intact at 29.4 per game. The line is below both his season and recent three-point output, making it the strongest value play among his available props.
| low |
| Anthony Edwards | 4 | 13 | 41% | -7.9% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 2 | 7 | 10 | 50% | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 2 | 3 | 10 | 80% | 100% |
| Corey Kispert | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Dyson Daniels | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Gabe Vincent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 12.5, but the last-5 is 10.4 and last-10 is 9.7, which is below this number. He also averages just 8.43 points in 7 games vs Atlanta, which supports a cautious under lean.
Christie’s season rebound average is 3.3 and his last-5 is only 1.8. With a recent mean of 3.1 and a matchup line above that, the under is slightly favored.
His season assists are 2.1 and his away mean is 2.27, so 1.5 is a reachable number if he maintains starter minutes. The recent last-5 dip to 1.2 keeps confidence moderate rather than strong.
Christie averages 2.35 made threes per game on the season and 2.4 over the last-5, with 2.6 fg3m in the last-5 game logs. This is one of the cleaner volume-based overs on the board.
He averages 0.6 steals on the season and 1.2 over the last-5, so 0.5 is attainable. The recent steals trend is better than his baseline, but the variance is high.
Christie’s season block average is only 0.3, below the 0.5 threshold, and his last-10 is 0.2. Even with a few recent 1-block games, the under is still the safer side.
His season PRA is 18.0 based on 12.5 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 2.1 assists, but recent production has softened to 9.7/3.1/1.3 over the last-10. Given the recent scoring and assist drop, 16.5 is playable to the under.