AI Model:

P.J. Washington▲

DAL · PF

PPG

14.1

RPG

7.0

APG

1.9

L5 PPG

13.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

14.1

13.2

RPG+1.2

7.0

8.2

APG-0.3

1.9

1.6

SPG+0.6

1.0

1.6

BPG-0.7

1.1

0.4

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

14.5

IND

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs IND: 23 pts

BKN

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs BKN: 13 pts

CHA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs CHA: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs ORL: 18 pts

BOS

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs BOS: 5 pts

TOR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs TOR: 9 pts

ATL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs ATL: 7 pts

MEM

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MEM: 12 pts

CLE

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs CLE: 20 pts

NOP

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs NOP: 18 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

AST

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

60%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

62%

P+R

UNDER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

PRA

UNDER 23.5DRAFTKINGS

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.8

13.3

RPG

5.2

6.4

APG

1.4

1.9

vs ATL (H2H)13 games

PPG

15.3

RPG

6.4

APG

2.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	21	52%	+5.0%	medium
LeBron James	3	17	58%	+7.6%	medium
Zion Williamson	3	15	77%	+31.9%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	36%

P.J. Washington’s all-around floor is solid, but the points line looks fair

P.J. Washington is averaging 14.1 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 1.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 1.1 BPG on the season while logging 31.0 MPG, with his recent trend marked up. Over his last 5 games he’s at 13.2 PPG and 8.2 RPG, showing steadier rebounding than scoring, and his last 10 (13.8 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 1.9 APG) are close to season norms. The matchup data is mixed: his season-to-season efficiency is supported by a 13-game average of 15.3 PPG vs Atlanta, but the Hawks’ scoring suppression and his home split of 9.8 PPG create some caution. Overall, the strongest angle is on his secondary production rather than an aggressive points chase.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.2(↓ from 14.1)

RPG

8.2(↑ from 7.0)

APG

1.6(↓ from 1.9)

Stocks

2.0(→ from 2.1)

Key Matchup

He has a 13-game average of 15.3 PPG, 6.38 RPG, and 2.77 APG vs Atlanta, so the historical matchup is productive overall. At the same time, the provided opponent defense notes a 116.56 defensive rating and scoring suppression, which tempers the ceiling a bit.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
P.J. Washington▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	23	✗
P.J. Washington▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	9	✓
P.J. Washington▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✗
P.J. Washington▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✓
P.J. Washington▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
P.J. Washington▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	—	30%	2	✓
P.J. Washington▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	32	✗
P.J. Washington▼	PRA	23.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	33	✗

ML Scout Analysis

AST1.5UNDER23%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM; Line nudged -0.5; Scorecard changed +4.0▼

PRA21.5UNDER11%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Line nudged -0.5; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

PTS13.5UNDER13%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Value edge changed +0.046; Odds moved materially; Scorecard changed +4.0▼

P+R21OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A15.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

REB6.5UNDER23%logisticAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Line moved +1.0; Value edge changed +0.075▼

3PM1.5UNDER2%logisticAvoid (7/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

P.J. Washington

Rebounds OVER 6.5MEDIUM

His rebounding profile is the steadiest part of his production: 7.0 RPG on the season, 8.2 RPG over the last 5, and 7.21 RPG in away games. The line is accessible at 6.5, and his recent minutes are stable at 30.4 to 30.9 MPG.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jalen Johnson	2	10	5	29%	36%
Dyson Daniels	2	4	7	75%	75%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	2	2	14	86%	100%
CJ McCollum	2	1	2	50%	50%
Onyeka Okongwu	2	1	5	50%	63%

pointsUNDER 14.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 14.1 and last 5 is 13.2, both below 14.5, while his home scoring is only 9.8 PPG. Even with a 15.3 PPG average vs Atlanta, the current line sits slightly above his baseline production.

reboundsOVER 6.557%MEDIUM

He averages 7.0 RPG on the season and 8.2 RPG over his last 5, with 7.21 RPG in away games and 7.71 in b2b splits. The 6.5 line is a touch low relative to his recent and season rebounding profile.

assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

Washington’s season mean is 1.86 APG and his last 10 is 1.9 APG, both above 1.5. The variance is moderate, but the line is below his typical playmaking output.

threesOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He averages 1.31 made threes per game on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, with 1.5 away and 1.43 in b2b contexts. The line is slightly above his season mean, but recent volume supports a push toward the over.

blocksOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.1 BPG and his last 10 is 0.6 BPG, so clearing 0.5 remains very live. The recent game logs also show multiple 1-block outings.

stocksOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

He combines 1.0 SPG and 1.1 BPG on the season for 2.1 stocks, with 2.0 stocks over the last 5. That makes 1.5 a favorable threshold despite some recent block volatility.

prUNDER 20.556%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds is 21.1 by raw averages, but the current form is 13.2 PPG and 8.2 RPG, and his home scoring dip lowers the ceiling. This is close, but the under has slight value given the scoring drag.

praUNDER 23.559%MEDIUM

Using season averages, he projects around 23.0 PRA (14.1 + 7.0 + 1.9), which is just below the line. Recent scoring is softer at 13.2 PPG, making the under slightly preferable.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS