AI Model:

Brandin Podziemski▲

GSW · PG

PPG

13.0

RPG

5.2

APG

3.7

L5 PPG

16.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.6

13.0

16.6

RPG+0.6

5.2

5.8

APG+0.7

3.7

4.4

SPG+0.3

1.1

1.4

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

MEM

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MEM: 19 pts

LAL

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs LAL: 9 pts

LAC

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs LAC: 22 pts

HOU

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs HOU: 26 pts

OKC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs OKC: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs UTA: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHI: 9 pts

MIN

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs MIN: 25 pts

NYK

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs NYK: 25 pts

WAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs WAS: 10 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

56%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

54%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

63%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

52%

P+R

UNDER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

P+A

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.5

15.2

RPG

6.7

7.2

APG

5.0

4.1

vs BOS (H2H)2 games

PPG

8.0

RPG

6.0

APG

3.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Christian Braun	4	12	67%	+21.1%	medium
Kris Dunn	3	10	81%	+16.9%	medium
Austin Reaves	3	10	43%	-2.7%	medium
Jaylen Wells	3	9	17%

Podziemski’s minutes and usage are trending up, but Boston raises the bar

Brandin Podziemski is in strong recent form, with his last 5 games at 16.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 4.4 APG while logging 32.6 MPG, all above his season averages of 13.0, 5.2, and 3.7. His last 10 is even hotter at 17.6 PPG and 6.6 RPG, but the matchup context is tougher: Boston’s opponent profile shows a 107.07 defensive rating, 100 pace, and -1.906 scoring suppression. He has also been modest in the head-to-head sample versus Boston, averaging 8.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 3.5 APG in 21.5 MPG across 2 games.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.6(↑ from 13.0)

RPG

5.8(↑ from 5.2)

APG

4.4(↑ from 3.7)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available beyond the listed key defenders, and the opponent context points to a tougher scoring environment with a 107.07 defensive rating and -1.906 scoring suppression. Boston’s three suppression also works against his perimeter volume, which matters because his recent scoring has leaned on shot-making from deep.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Brandin Podziemski▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	10	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	6	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	10%	0	✗
Brandin Podziemski▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	16	✓
Brandin Podziemski▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	15	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS15.5OVER20%logisticDecent Leg (15/20)OVER 2x12/2060%+8.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA25.5OVER12%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)12/2060%+7.2% edgeConfidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

AST4.5UNDER5%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.141▼

P+A22OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

R+A10.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

P+R23.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

3PM1.5OVER47%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 7x15/2075%+11.4% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH; Line moved -1.0; Value edge shifted +0.117▼

REB5.5UNDER7%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.361; Odds moved materially▼

Featured Pick

Brandin Podziemski

Points UNDER 14.5MEDIUM

The market line is above his season scoring average of 13.0, and his direct history vs Boston is only 8.0 PPG across 2 games. He is trending up, but Boston’s scoring suppression plus a tougher matchup profile makes the under the best balance of projection and price.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Derrick White	2	7	4	40%	40%
Payton Pritchard	2	3	9	60%	90%
Jaylen Brown	2	3	10	71%	71%
Baylor Scheierman	2	3	0	0%	0%
Sam Hauser	2	1	3	100%	150%

pointsUNDER 14.558%MEDIUM

His season scoring average is 13.0, and the last 20 is 14.8, so 14.5 is right at his current range. Boston’s scoring suppression and his 8.0 PPG average in 2 games vs this opponent make the under slightly preferable.

reboundsOVER 5.556%MEDIUM

He is averaging 5.2 RPG for the season and 6.6 RPG over the last 10, with recent minutes up to 34.0. The current line sits close to that recent production, and his rebounding trend is clearly stronger than his season baseline.

assistsUNDER 4.554%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 3.67 and his last 20 is 4.5 exactly, so this is a fair number but not an easy over. The Boston head-to-head sample is only 3.5 APG, which nudges this slightly under.

threesUNDER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.82 made threes per game on the season and 2.6 over the last 5 and last 10, but the 2.5 line is still above his season mean. Boston’s three suppression is positive for the defense, so the under is the safer side.

stealsUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 1.1, which is below the 1.5 line, and his last 10 is exactly 1.0. Even with some recent spike games, the standard baseline favors the under.

blocksOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.2 blocks per game on the season, but this line is only 0.5 and his recent game log includes a block on 2026-03-10. This is still volatile, but it is the meaningful block threshold.

prUNDER 20.555%MEDIUM

His season P+R baseline is 18.27 using 13.03 points and 5.24 rebounds, while the last 10 is about 24.2, showing a clear recent lift. Because the line is above both his season norm and close to the top end of his recent range, the under is slightly safer.

paUNDER 18.560%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists average is 16.70, and his last 5 is 21.0 only because scoring has spiked recently. The opponent sample and season baseline both sit below this line.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS