AI Model:

Derrick White▲

BOS · PG

PPG

17.5

RPG

4.5

APG

5.7

L5 PPG

19.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.7

17.5

19.2

RPG+0.7

4.5

5.2

APG-0.5

5.7

5.2

SPG-0.4

1.2

0.8

BPG-0.4

1.4

1.0

OVER 16.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

16.5

DEN

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs DEN: 20 pts

BKN

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BKN: 12 pts

PHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs PHI: 21 pts

MIL

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs MIL: 18 pts

CHA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs CHA: 29 pts

DAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DAL: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs CLE: 6 pts

SAS

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAS: 34 pts

WAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs WAS: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs PHX: 21 pts

Over 16.5

Under 16.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

3PM

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

63%

BLK

UNDER 1.5STAKE

62%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

58%

OVER 1.5

61%

P+R

OVER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

P+A

OVER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.4

17.9

RPG

3.8

4.4

APG

6.1

7.1

vs GSW (H2H)11 games

PPG

12.5

RPG

3.5

APG

4.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	4	17	40%	-6.2%	medium
Desmond Bane	3	14	63%	+10.5%	medium
Tobias Harris	4	14	61%	+17.6%	medium
Kelly Oubre Jr.	4	12	31%

White’s all-around production is trending up at home

Derrick White enters with an upward form trend, posting 19.2 PPG over his last 5 and 19.6 PPG over his last 10 versus a 17.5 season average. He also remains a strong multi-category contributor, with 5.7 APG, 4.5 RPG, 1.2 SPG, and 1.4 BPG on the season, plus 34.2 MPG in a full starting role. This matchup comes with a Warriors team profile that shows a 114.27 defensive rating and -0.55 three suppression, while White has also been stronger in recent scoring volume than his season baseline. His head-to-head line is more muted at 12.545454545454545 PPG and 4.2727272727272725 APG over 11 games, so the best angle is leaning on the current home-form and prop market rather than opponent history alone.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.2(↑ from 17.5)

RPG

5.2(↑ from 4.5)

APG

5.2(→ from 5.7)

Stocks

1.8(↓ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

no specific defender matchup data. The Warriors have a 114.27 defensive rating and -0.55 three suppression, which matters for a player taking 2.89 threes per game and 3.3 over his last 10. White’s opponent history is softer at 12.545454545454545 PPG and 4.2727272727272725 APG in 11 games, so the matchup leans more toward controlled production than a ceiling game.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Derrick White▼	Points	16.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	11	✗
Derrick White▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	6	✓
Derrick White▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✗
Derrick White▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	1	✗
Derrick White▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	80%	3	✗
Derrick White▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Derrick White▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%	4	✗
Derrick White▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✓
Derrick White▼	P+R	20.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	17	✗
Derrick White▼	P+A	21.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	12	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5OVER0%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.145▼

REB3.5UNDER8%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)15/2075%▼

AST4.5OVER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.139▼

3PM2.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

PRA22.5UNDER6%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x9/2045%▼

P+A21UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

STL1.5UNDER59%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 6x5/2025%▼

BLK0.5OVER12%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

R+A9.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Derrick White

Assists OVER 4.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board relative to White’s role and recent passing output. He averages 5.7 APG on the season, 5.6 over the last 10, and 6.1 at home, all above the 4.5 line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandin Podziemski	2	5	2	0%	0%
Gui Santos	2	4	7	60%	70%
Gary Payton II	2	3	4	100%	100%
De'Anthony Melton	2	3	3	50%	75%
Will Richard	2	3	5	100%	125%

pointsOVER 16.568%MEDIUM

His season average is 17.5 PPG and he has been at 19.2 PPG over the last 5 and 19.6 over the last 10. The market line at 16.5 sits below both his season and recent form.

reboundsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

White is at 4.5 RPG for the season and 5.2 RPG over the last 5, with home splits at 3.8 and away at 4.4. The line is right on his season mean, so the edge is modest.

assistsOVER 4.569%MEDIUM

He averages 5.7 APG on the season and 5.6 over the last 10, with an away mean of 7.1 and a home mean of 6.1. A 4.5 line is below his normal distribution and recent usage.

threesOVER 2.564%MEDIUM

White averages 2.89 made threes per game this season and 3.3 over the last 10, with 3.18 at home. The 2.5 line is below his recent and season-long make rate.

stealsUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season steals average is 1.2, but it has dipped to 0.8 over the last 5 and 1.0 over the last 10. A 1.5 line asks for a better-than-normal defensive event rate.

blocksUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

White’s 1.4 blocks per game is strong, but the 1.5 line remains above the most likely outcome and his last 5 is 1.0. The volatility here is still significant.

stocksUNDER 2.558%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.58, but recent production is 1.8 over the last 5 and 2.2 over the last 10. Because the standard deviation is 1.71, this combo is fairly volatile.

turnoversOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

He is at 1.8 turnovers per game over the last 10 and has multiple recent games with 2+ turnovers, including 4 against PHX and 4 against PHI. The recent baseline points toward at least 2 turnovers more often than not.

prOVER 20.566%MEDIUM

White averages 17.5 points and 4.5 rebounds, which already sums to 22.0, and his recent scoring has climbed to 19.2 PPG. The 20.5 line is below his season P+R output.

paOVER 21.570%HIGH

His season points plus assists profile is 23.2 using 17.5 PPG and 5.7 APG, with recent assists staying near 5.6. A 21.5 line sits below both season and recent combined production.

timelineOVER 16.5 PTS