AI Model:

Draymond Green▼

GSW · C

PPG

8.6

RPG

5.6

APG

5.3

L5 PPG

9.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.2

8.6

9.8

RPG-0.4

5.6

5.2

APG+1.7

5.3

7.0

SPG+0.4

0.8

1.2

BPG-0.2

0.6

0.4

OVER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

8.5

SAS

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs SAS: 17 pts

BOS

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs BOS: 0 pts

NOP

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NOP: 11 pts

LAL

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs LAL: 7 pts

LAC

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs LAC: 4 pts

HOU

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs HOU: 10 pts

OKC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs OKC: 16 pts

UTA

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs UTA: 6 pts

CHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHI: 12 pts

WAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs WAS: 5 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 8.5FANDUEL

55%

REB

UNDER 5.5FANDUEL

56%

AST

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

64%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

54%

OVER 2

60%

P+A

OVER 13.5FANDUEL

61%

P+R

OVER 13.5FANDUEL

59%

R+A

OVER 10.5FANDUEL

63%

UNDER 0

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.7

7.1

RPG

5.5

4.7

APG

4.8

6.1

vs BOS (H2H)9 games

PPG

5.8

RPG

6.4

APG

5.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Victor Wembanyama	4	25	53%	+6.4%	medium
Nikola Jokić	3	16	58%	+7.8%	medium
Zion Williamson	2	12	42%	-0.1%	low
Alperen Sengun	2	11	47%

Draymond's assist volume is the clearest path in a lower-scoring spot

Draymond Green is averaging 8.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 5.3 APG on the season, with his last 5 rising to 9.8 PPG and 7.0 APG as his minutes climbed to 31.6. The trend flag is down, though, and his opponent history against Boston is modest at 5.777777777777778 PPG and 5.333333333333333 APG across 9 games. Boston's scoring suppression is listed at -1.906, which supports a more restrained scoring outlook, while his recent turnover rate of 2.0-2.1 per game keeps combo overs from getting too aggressive.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.8(↑ from 8.6)

RPG

5.2(↓ from 5.6)

APG

7.0(↑ from 5.3)

Stocks

1.6(↑ from 1.4)

Key Matchup

Boston's opponent profile shows a 107.07 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a scoring suppression mark of -1.906, which leans against an inflated scoring environment. The provided key defender data does not create a clear one-on-one angle here, so there is no specific defender matchup data.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Draymond Green▼	Points	8.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	13	✓
Draymond Green▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	5	✓
Draymond Green▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	5	✗
Draymond Green▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	3	✓
Draymond Green▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	80%	1	✓
Draymond Green▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	—	80%	0	✓
Draymond Green▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	30%	4	✓
Draymond Green▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	18	✓
Draymond Green▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	18	✓
Draymond Green▼	R+A	10.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	10	✗
Draymond Green▼	Double-Double	0	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	—	—	—	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS9.5OVER8%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed +0.070; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

REB5.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x9/2045%+8.3% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted +0.228; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A12UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x13/2065%▼

PRA22.5OVER3%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

P+R14.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

AST6.5OVER20%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM1.5OVER0%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Draymond Green

Assists OVER 5.5HIGH

This is the cleanest read because his season average is 5.3 APG, his last 10 is 6.4 APG, and his last 5 jumps to 7.0 APG. With his minutes up to 31.6 in the last 5, the passing volume is strong enough to clear 5.5 more often than not.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jaylen Brown	2	6	6	38%	38%
Neemias Queta	2	4	0	0%	0%
Derrick White	2	2	0	0%	0%
Jayson Tatum	1	2	1	0%	0%
Ron Harper Jr.	2	2	3	50%	75%

pointsOVER 8.555%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.59 and last 5 is 9.8, so 8.5 sits just below his recent form. The matchup is not ideal for a big scoring night, but the line is still workable.

reboundsUNDER 5.556%MEDIUM

He averages 5.6 rebounds on the season but only 5.2 over the last 5 and 5.5 over the last 10. With Boston listed at -1.906 scoring suppression, the under is slightly cleaner than the over.

assistsOVER 5.564%MEDIUM

Draymond is at 5.3 APG for the season and 7.0 APG over the last 5, with 6.4 over the last 10. His recent minute bump to 31.6 supports the passing volume.

threesOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.56 threes per game and 1.6 over the last 5, so 1.5 is close to his baseline. Recent games include 4 made threes against CHI and 4 against OKC, showing ceiling.

stealsUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.8 steals and 1.2 over the last 5, but the 1.5 line is above both season and recent means. The variance is high enough that the under still grades better.

blocksUNDER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks on the season, but only 0.4 over the last 5 and 0.3 over the last 20. The 0.5 line is live, but the recent production points slightly under.

turnoversOVER 260%MEDIUM

His last 5 topg is 2.0 and last 20 is 2.1, so the turnover rate is stable around that threshold. Given the playmaking load, the over is fair if this line is available.

paOVER 13.561%MEDIUM

He has 5.3 APG and 8.6 PPG on the season, and 13.5 is below his combined season baseline of 13.93. His last 5 form also supports the combo.

prOVER 13.559%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 14.19, and his last 5 combined scoring/rebounding remains competitive despite the matchup. The line is slightly under his mean.

raOVER 10.563%MEDIUM

He averages 5.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists, giving him a strong season baseline for this combo. The last 5 assist surge makes 10.5 a playable over.

double_doubleUNDER 068%MEDIUM

He has solid all-around production, but the season numbers do not show consistent near-double-double scoring, and his points are still only 8.6 per game. That makes the double-double less likely than his other props.

timelineOVER 8.5 PTS