AI Model:

Dejounte Murray▲

NOP · PG

PPG

19.8

RPG

5.5

APG

5.3

L5 PPG

22.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.4

19.8

22.2

RPG+1.3

5.5

6.8

APG-0.3

5.3

5.0

SPG-0.2

1.8

1.6

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

OVER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

DAL

2025-01-29

2025-01-29 vs DAL: 27 pts

BOS

2025-01-31

2025-01-31 vs BOS: 4 pts

GSW

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs GSW: 13 pts

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 15 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 19 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 27 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 35 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

AST

UNDER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 3

59%

OVER 3

55%

PRA

OVER 29.5FANDUEL

53%

P+A

OVER 23.5FANDUEL

52%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

20.3

20.4

RPG

4.9

7.0

APG

5.2

6.7

vs LAC (H2H)12 games

PPG

18.3

RPG

6.7

APG

7.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Reed Sheppard	2	9	60%	-8.4%	low
Amen Thompson	2	7	43%	-5.5%	low
Jalen Brunson	1	6	40%	-8.4%	low
Kris Dunn	2	6	63%	+1.6%

Murray’s all-around form is trending up with strong upside at home

Dejounte Murray’s recent production is trending higher, with his last 5 games at 22.2 PPG, 6.8 RPG, and 5.0 APG compared with season marks of 19.8, 5.5, and 5.3. He’s also been steady in steals, averaging 1.8 on the season and 1.6 over his last 5, which supports his stocks profile. The matchup data is mixed: his vs-opponent line sits at 18.25 PPG and 7.5 APG across 12 games, while the Clippers’ defense shows a 112.81 rating and 0.911 three suppression. With a home game and current questionable tag, his projection leans slightly below the strongest market numbers, but the multi-category floor remains solid.

Stat Trends

PPG

22.2(↑ from 19.8)

RPG

6.8(↑ from 5.5)

APG

5.0(→ from 5.3)

STL

1.6(→ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

The provided defensive data shows the Clippers at a 112.81 defensive rating with 0.911 three suppression. His head-to-head sample against this opponent is 12 games with 18.25 PPG, 6.67 RPG, and 7.5 APG, so the matchup has historically leaned more assist-heavy than pure scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dejounte Murray▼	Points	17.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	17	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	4	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Assists	6.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	11	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Dejounte Murray▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	STL+BLK	3	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	90%	1	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	Turnovers	3	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	30%	6	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	PRA	29.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	32	✓
Dejounte Murray▼	P+A	23.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	28	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA31.5UNDER10%logisticDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 5x3/1421%+24.0% edgeScorecard changed +3.0▼

3PM1.5UNDER10%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 5x5/1436%+10.0% edgeScorecard changed +3.0▼

R+A11.5OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)7/1450%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R22UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)6/1443%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A23UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)5/1436%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

PTS18.5OVER7%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)4/1429%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

REB6.5UNDER6%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)5/1436%Line moved +1.0; Value edge changed -0.065; Odds moved materially▼

AST6.5OVER6%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.302; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Dejounte Murray

Points OVER 17.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle because his season average is 19.8 PPG and his last 5 games are 22.2 PPG. Even with the questionable tag, the line is still below both his season baseline and recent form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Kris Dunn	2	6	5	50%	63%
Darius Garland	1	3	0	0%	0%
Derrick Jones Jr.	2	2	5	100%	125%
Bennedict Mathurin	1	2	2	100%	100%
Brook Lopez	2	2	3	100%	150%

pointsOVER 17.558%MEDIUM

His season average is 19.8 PPG and his last 5 are up to 22.2 PPG, both above 17.5. Even with the matchup and questionable tag, the number is below his recent production.

reboundsOVER 5.554%MEDIUM

He averages 5.5 rebounds on the season and 6.8 over his last 5, so this sits right at his baseline with recent momentum above it. The home split is 4.9 RPG, but his recent trend supports the over.

assistsUNDER 6.561%MEDIUM

His season average is 5.3 APG and his last 5 are 5.0 APG, both below 6.5. While his vs-opponent assist history is 7.5 APG, the current season and recent form do not support clearing this line consistently.

threesOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.63 made threes per game and 1.8 over the last 5, which clears 1.5. The recent game log also shows multiple outings with 2+ threes.

stealsOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 1.8 steals per game and 1.6 over the last 5, making 1.5 a playable threshold. His stocks production also remains strong at 2.0 on the season.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages just 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.2 over the last 5. That is well below the 0.5 line.

stocksUNDER 359%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.0, and his last 5 are 1.8. A 3.0 combined line would be above his normal output.

turnoversOVER 355%MEDIUM

He is at 3.0 turnovers per game on the season and 2.8 over the last 5. That gives the over a reasonable lean if the line lands around 3.0.

praOVER 29.553%MEDIUM

His season PRA from the provided means is 30.6 and his last 5 profile also supports a similar level. This is a narrow edge over the listed 29.5 line.

paOVER 23.552%MEDIUM

Using season means, his points plus assists project to 25.1, and his recent scoring is up. The line is slightly below that combined baseline.

timelineOVER 17.5 PTS