AI Model:

Kris Dunn▲

LAC · SG

PPG

7.8

RPG

3.4

APG

3.7

L5 PPG

6.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

7.8

6.4

RPG+0.8

3.4

4.2

APG-0.1

3.7

3.6

SPG+1.2

1.6

2.8

BPG+0.1

0.1

0.2

OVER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

7.5

NOP

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs NOP: 9 pts

GSW

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs GSW: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs IND: 6 pts

SAS

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs SAS: 4 pts

MEM

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MEM: 0 pts

NYK

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs NYK: 5 pts

MIN

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs MIN: 5 pts

CHI

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CHI: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAC: 5 pts

SAS

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs SAS: 9 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 7.5FANDUEL

56%

REB

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

55%

3PM

OVER 0.5FANDUEL

74%

STL

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

91%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

53%

UNDER 1.5

72%

PRA

UNDER 19.5

57%

P+A

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

66%

P+R

UNDER 11.5FANDUEL

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.2

9.2

RPG

4.5

4.0

APG

4.3

5.9

vs NOP (H2H)10 games

PPG

8.0

RPG

2.9

APG

3.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Anthony Edwards	4	24	42%	-11.4%	medium
Luka Dončić	4	22	57%	-1.5%	medium
Russell Westbrook	3	14	40%	-8.2%	medium
Amen Thompson	4	12	83%

Dunn’s stocks are elite, but scoring volume stays modest

Kris Dunn’s form is trending up in all the right peripheral areas, with his last 5 games showing 6.4 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.6 APG, and a huge 2.8 SPG. His season averages still sit at just 7.8 points and 3.7 assists, while his recent assist and rebound production has held closer to his last-10 marks of 4.0 APG and 4.7 RPG. The matchup context is workable, as the opponent has a 119.71 defensive rating and the available line set is modest across most categories. The main fantasy edge remains defensive production rather than scoring, especially with his recent 2.3 stocks over the last 10 and 3.0 stocks over the last 5.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.4(↓ from 7.8)

RPG

4.2(↑ from 3.4)

APG

3.6(→ from 3.7)

SPG

2.8(↑ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available from the provided key defenders list. The opponent profile is neutral-to-friendly for peripherals, with a 119.71 defensive rating and modest lines across steals and threes.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kris Dunn▼	Points	7.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	6	✗
Kris Dunn▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
Kris Dunn▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	74%HIGH	—	70%	2	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	1	✗
Kris Dunn▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	91%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Kris Dunn▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	53%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	70%	2	✗
Kris Dunn▼	PRA	19.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	10	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+A	12.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	9	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	7	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5OVER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PRA12.5UNDER9%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

AST3.5OVER21%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R10OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

REB3.5UNDER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

STL2UNDER40%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%▼

3PM1UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

3PA2UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Kris Dunn

Steals OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest recent-form play on the board. Dunn has 1.6 steals per game for the season, 2.2 over the last 10, and 2.8 over the last 5, so he is clearing this number with momentum behind him.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Herbert Jones	4	6	11	57%	79%
Jeremiah Fears	4	6	14	45%	50%
Dejounte Murray	2	5	5	50%	63%
Jordan Poole	2	4	8	100%	150%
Trey Murphy III	3	4	11	50%	69%

pointsOVER 7.556%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.79 points, and the FanDuel line is 7.5, which is right on profile. The last 20 games are 7.5 PPG and his away split is 9.2 PPG, so the over has a slight edge despite the recent dip to 6.4 over the last 5.

reboundsOVER 3.558%MEDIUM

He is at 3.36 RPG for the season and 4.7 RPG over the last 10, which is above this number. Even with the season mean below the line, the recent rebound trend is strong enough to lean over.

assistsUNDER 4.555%MEDIUM

His season average is 3.66 APG and his last 5 is 3.6 APG, both below 4.5. He has reached 4.0 APG over the last 10, but the broader sample still points slightly under.

threesOVER 0.574%HIGH

He averages 1.01 made threes per game for the season and 1.0 over the last 5, well above a 0.5 line. The volume is consistent enough to support one made three.

stealsOVER 1.570%HIGH

His season average is 1.6 steals and he has 2.2 steals over the last 10 and 2.8 over the last 5. That recent surge makes the over playable even at 1.5.

blocksUNDER 0.591%HIGH

He averages just 0.1 blocks per game this season and 0.2 over the last 5. A 0.5 line is far above his normal production, so the under is the clear side.

stocksUNDER 2.553%MEDIUM

His combined season average is 1.72 stocks and his last 10 is 2.3, so 2.5 is still a demanding number. The last 5 at 3.0 shows upside, but the full-season baseline keeps this close to under.

turnoversUNDER 1.572%HIGH

He is at 1.4 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.0 over the last 10, with only 0.2 over the last 5. That makes a 1.5 projection look a bit high.

praUNDER 19.557%MEDIUM

Using his season averages of 7.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 3.7 assists, his baseline PRA is 14.9. Recent form is better, but 19.5 still asks for a strong scoring night that he has not consistently delivered.

paUNDER 12.566%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists total is 11.5, and even his last-20 blend of 7.5 PPG and 5.0 APG would land at 12.5. The current line is fair, but the season-long average leans under.

prUNDER 11.560%MEDIUM

He averages 11.16 points plus rebounds on the season, just below the line. Recent rebounds have improved, but his scoring has not been enough to push this comfortably over.

timelineOVER 7.5 PTS