AI Model:

Saddiq Bey▼

NOP · SF

PPG

17.2

RPG

5.7

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

15.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

17.2

15.8

RPG+0.5

5.7

6.2

APG-0.5

2.5

2.0

SPG+0.3

0.9

1.2

BPG+0.3

0.1

0.4

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

UTA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs UTA: 42 pts

UTA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs UTA: 24 pts

LAC

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs LAC: 14 pts

LAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs LAL: 18 pts

SAC

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs SAC: 20 pts

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 23 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 5 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 23 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

60%

REB

OVER 5.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

62%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

57%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

78%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 1.5

59%

PRA

UNDER 24.5FANDUEL

57%

P+A

UNDER 19.5FANDUEL

55%

P+R

OVER 22.5FANDUEL

54%

R+A

OVER 7.5FANDUEL

55%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.1

21.5

RPG

6.3

4.9

APG

2.4

3.1

vs LAC (H2H)9 games

PPG

14.2

RPG

5.0

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Dillon Brooks	3	14	40%	-5.1%	medium
Julius Randle	3	14	55%	+4.9%	medium
Rui Hachimura	3	13	0%	-45.1%	medium
P.J. Washington	4	12	93%

Bey’s volume is solid, but the market is pricing in a modest night

Saddiq Bey is averaging 17.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 2.5 assists in 30.9 minutes this season, and his recent workload has stayed strong at 32.7 minutes over the last 10. The form is mixed: he’s at 15.8 PPG over the last 5 but 19.7 PPG over the last 10, while his season trend is listed as down. This matchup comes with a tougher scoring profile against LA Clippers defense that shows a 112.81 defensive rating and a 0.582 scoring suppression, and his head-to-head history against this opponent is only 14.222222222222221 PPG across 9 games. With home averages of 18.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.4 assists, he still has a stable floor, but the current lines sit close to his season marks.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.8(↓ from 17.2)

RPG

6.2(↑ from 5.7)

APG

2.0(↓ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data can be used beyond the listed key defenders, so the main edge comes from the overall team numbers. LA Clippers have a 112.81 defensive rating, a 100 pace, and a 0.582 scoring suppression, which points to a more controlled scoring environment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Saddiq Bey▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	25	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	5	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	4	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	5	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	78%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	70%	2	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	PRA	24.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	34	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	P+A	19.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	29	✗
Saddiq Bey▼	P+R	22.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	30	✓
Saddiq Bey▼	R+A	7.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9	✓

ML Scout Analysis

3PM2.5OVER9%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)12/2060%+13.7% edge▼

R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼

PTS21.5OVER29%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA30.5OVER13%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

REB5.5OVER11%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.307▼

P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%▼

AST3.5UNDER27%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x6/2030%+8.5% edge▼

Featured Pick

Saddiq Bey

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest numbers-based angle in the profile. Bey’s season average is just 0.1 blocks per game, and even his last 5 average of 0.4 still leaves plenty of room for the under to cash.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brook Lopez	4	8	6	50%	50%
Jordan Miller	3	7	4	67%	67%
Kawhi Leonard	3	7	6	60%	60%
John Collins	4	7	14	67%	78%
Derrick Jones Jr.	4	5	4	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 17.560%MEDIUM

He is averaging 17.2 points for the season and 15.8 over the last 5, both slightly below this number. His 9-game history vs this opponent is 14.222222222222221 PPG, which supports a cautious stance.

reboundsOVER 5.558%MEDIUM

Bey is at 5.7 rebounds per game on the season and 6.2 over the last 5, with a home mean of 6.09. The rebound line is right near his average, but the recent and home trends lean slightly up.

assistsUNDER 2.556%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 2.5, but the last 5 are down to 2.0 and his last game was 3, so production is volatile. With season std at 1.75, this is a less reliable over than his scoring or rebounding spots.

threesOVER 1.562%MEDIUM

He averages 1.9 made threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, both above 1.5. His away three volume is 2.13 made per game, which gives this prop a decent path even with the opponent’s 0.911 three suppression.

stealsOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 steals per game for the season and 1.2 over the last 5. The threshold is low enough that one steal is very realistic, though the matchup and variance keep confidence moderate.

blocksUNDER 0.578%HIGH

He averages only 0.1 blocks per game on the season and 0.4 over the last 5. Even with one recent block, the season baseline makes the under the clear side.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.02 and recent mean is 1.2, both below a 1.5 expectation. This is a reasonable fade unless he pops in both steals and blocks.

turnoversUNDER 1.559%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 turnovers on the season and 1.2 over the last 10, with just 0.6 over the last 5. The recent trend suggests he can stay under a low turnover number.

praUNDER 24.557%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 25.4 using the provided averages, while the last 5 are 24.0 and the last 10 are 27.8. The line is tightly matched to his baseline, but the opponent history and recent scoring dip slightly favor the under.

paUNDER 19.555%MEDIUM

Points plus assists is 19.7 by season average, essentially on the number. With his scoring trending down over the last 5, the under has a small edge.

prOVER 22.554%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds is 22.9, and recent form has been 22.0 over the last 5 and 25.0 over the last 10. This is near fair value, but the season mean gives a slight over lean.

raOVER 7.555%MEDIUM

Rebounds plus assists sits at 8.2 on the season and 8.2 over the last 10. That gives this combo a modest cushion above the 7.5 line.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS