AI Model:

Isaiah Hartenstein▼

OKC · C

PPG

9.7

RPG

9.2

APG

3.6

L5 PPG

3.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-6.5

9.7

3.2

RPG-1.8

9.2

7.4

APG+0.8

3.6

4.4

SPG-0.3

0.9

0.6

BPG+0.6

0.8

1.4

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

5.5

LAL

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs LAL: 10 pts

PHX

2026-02-11

2026-02-11 vs PHX: 8 pts

BKN

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs BKN: 10 pts

CLE

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs CLE: 13 pts

TOR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs TOR: 11 pts

DEN

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DEN: 9 pts

DAL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DAL: 7 pts

NYK

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs NYK: 0 pts

MIN

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIN: 0 pts

ORL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs ORL: 0 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

84%

REB

OVER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

58%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

61%

P+R

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

P+A

OVER 8.5FANDUEL

68%

R+A

OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.0

6.4

RPG

8.3

7.3

APG

5.0

2.7

vs BKN (H2H)9 games

PPG

7.9

RPG

6.2

APG

2.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	3	18	43%	-19.2%	medium
Luke Kornet	3	16	75%	+12.9%	medium
Deandre Ayton	3	15	57%	-5.0%	medium
Drew Eubanks	3	14	50%

Hartenstein’s counting stats are slipping, but rebounds and assists still give him a solid floor

Isaiah Hartenstein’s recent form is clearly down, with his last 5 games at 3.2 PPG, 7.4 RPG, and 4.4 APG over just 20.8 MPG, well below his season averages of 9.7, 9.2, and 3.6. The matchup is workable on paper, and his game log shows he produced 10 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists in his last meeting with Brooklyn on 2026-02-20. With OKC on a back-to-back and his minutes trending lower than his season rate, the safest projection leans toward rebounds/assists volume rather than scoring upside.

Stat Trends

PPG

3.2(↓ from 9.7)

RPG

7.4(↓ from 9.2)

APG

4.4(↑ from 3.6)

Key Matchup

The provided defender data does not include specific defender matchup details, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Brooklyn’s defense has a 115.59 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which is a neutral-to-slightly slower environment for counting stats.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	2/2	30%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	80%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	P+A	8.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Isaiah Hartenstein▼	R+A	10.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS7.5UNDER14%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

AST3.5OVER8%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x11/2055%+6.2% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.187▼

PRA18.5OVER24%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.158▼

R+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A11.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

REB8.5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

P+R16OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Isaiah Hartenstein

Points UNDER 5.5HIGH

This is the clearest edge from the data: Hartenstein’s last 5 are just 3.2 PPG, his last 10 are 6.8 PPG, and his minutes have fallen to 20.8 MPG. The back-to-back context for OKC adds more reason to fade his scoring, even though his season average is 9.7 PPG.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Day'Ron Sharpe	1	4	10	71%	71%
Danny Wolf	1	2	2	33%	33%
Noah Clowney	1	1	3	50%	50%
Nolan Traore	1	1	7	67%	83%
Michael Porter Jr.	1	1	2	25%	25%

pointsUNDER 5.584%HIGH

His season scoring is 9.7 PPG, but the last 5 games are only 3.2 PPG with 20.8 MPG. The recent trend and back-to-back context point to reduced scoring chances.

reboundsOVER 7.563%MEDIUM

He averages 9.2 RPG on the season and 8.3 RPG at home, with 7.4 RPG over his last 5. Even with a recent dip, the rebound baseline is still above this line.

assistsOVER 2.572%HIGH

Hartenstein’s season average is 3.6 APG and his last 5 are 4.4 APG. The home split is also strong at 5.0 APG.

blocksOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 BPG on the season and 1.1 BPG at home, which supports a one-block outcome. The last 10 also show 1.1 BPG.

stocksOVER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.76 and recent stocks are 1.9, with home stocks at 1.8. That keeps this combo in play even with lower minutes.

prOVER 13.566%MEDIUM

He averages 9.7 points and 9.2 rebounds, and his recent combo output is still supported by the rebound floor. The last 5 scoring slump is the main risk, but the rebounding keeps PR viable.

paOVER 8.568%MEDIUM

His season averages combine to 13.3 PA when using points plus assists, and his last 5 assists volume has been elevated at 4.4 APG. Even with low scoring, the assist load helps.

raOVER 10.557%MEDIUM

He averages 12.8 RA on the season and 11.4 RA at home, but the last 5 have cooled to 11.8 RA with lower minutes. This is playable, but more dependent on board volume than scoring.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS