Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 18 | 43% | -19.2% | medium |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 16 | 75% | +12.9% | medium |
| Deandre Ayton | 3 | 15 | 57% | -5.0% | medium |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 14 | 50% |
Isaiah Hartenstein’s recent form is clearly down, with his last 5 games at 3.2 PPG, 7.4 RPG, and 4.4 APG over just 20.8 MPG, well below his season averages of 9.7, 9.2, and 3.6. The matchup is workable on paper, and his game log shows he produced 10 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists in his last meeting with Brooklyn on 2026-02-20. With OKC on a back-to-back and his minutes trending lower than his season rate, the safest projection leans toward rebounds/assists volume rather than scoring upside.
The provided defender data does not include specific defender matchup details, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Brooklyn’s defense has a 115.59 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which is a neutral-to-slightly slower environment for counting stats.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 84%HIGH | 2/2 | 30% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | P+R | 13.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | P+A | 8.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% |
Isaiah Hartenstein▼ | R+A | 10.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
This is the clearest edge from the data: Hartenstein’s last 5 are just 3.2 PPG, his last 10 are 6.8 PPG, and his minutes have fallen to 20.8 MPG. The back-to-back context for OKC adds more reason to fade his scoring, even though his season average is 9.7 PPG.
| medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 2 | 13 | 47% | -18.4% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 1 | 4 | 10 | 71% | 71% |
| Danny Wolf | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Noah Clowney | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50% | 50% |
| Nolan Traore | 1 | 1 | 7 | 67% | 83% |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
His season scoring is 9.7 PPG, but the last 5 games are only 3.2 PPG with 20.8 MPG. The recent trend and back-to-back context point to reduced scoring chances.
He averages 9.2 RPG on the season and 8.3 RPG at home, with 7.4 RPG over his last 5. Even with a recent dip, the rebound baseline is still above this line.
Hartenstein’s season average is 3.6 APG and his last 5 are 4.4 APG. The home split is also strong at 5.0 APG.
He averages 0.8 BPG on the season and 1.1 BPG at home, which supports a one-block outcome. The last 10 also show 1.1 BPG.
His season stocks average is 1.76 and recent stocks are 1.9, with home stocks at 1.8. That keeps this combo in play even with lower minutes.
He averages 9.7 points and 9.2 rebounds, and his recent combo output is still supported by the rebound floor. The last 5 scoring slump is the main risk, but the rebounding keeps PR viable.
His season averages combine to 13.3 PA when using points plus assists, and his last 5 assists volume has been elevated at 4.4 APG. Even with low scoring, the assist load helps.
He averages 12.8 RA on the season and 11.4 RA at home, but the last 5 have cooled to 11.8 RA with lower minutes. This is playable, but more dependent on board volume than scoring.